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The Mecca Joint Défense Agreement: A New Geometry of Middle Eastern Power?
  • التحليل
  • The Mecca Joint Défense Agreement: A New Geometry of Middle Eastern Power?

    On August 7, 2026, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan signed the Mecca Joint Défense Agreement, a collective-defense pact widely compared to NATO’s Article 5. This essay argues that the comparison is misleading. Mecca borrows NATO’s language of solidarity without yet possessing NATO’s institutional machinery, and the Houthi offensive against Saudi Arabia in September 2026 provided an early and revealing test of what the agreement actually means in practice. Neither Pakistan nor Turkey automatically entered the fight on Saudi Arabia’s behalf, and Washington, despite an initial reluctance to strike directly, remained indispensable through intelligence support and a major proposed F-35 sale. Drawing on realist alliance theory — Hans Morgenthau, Kenneth Waltz, Stephen Walt, Glenn Snyder, and Steven David — and on the precedent of the Central Treaty Organization (CENTO), the essay contends that the Middle East is not dividing into rival blocs but moving from hierarchy toward a looser, overlapping geometry of hedged partnerships, in which American exclusivity is eroding considerably faster than American primacy.

    The Mecca Alliance Meets the Red Sea – Saudi Arabia’s New Defense Pact Faces Its First Major Test
  • تعليق
  • The Mecca Alliance Meets the Red Sea – Saudi Arabia’s New Defense Pact Faces Its First Major Test

    When Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan agreed to a mutual defense pact in August, it was principally seen as a political commitment. The “Mecca alliance,” as it was dubbed, stipulated that an armed attack on one would be treated as an attack on all three, accompanied by deeper military cooperation.

    The Case for a Middle Course in Afghanistan
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  • The Case for a Middle Course in Afghanistan

    I was a teenage Afghan refugee in Pakistan’s tribal areas when the Twin Towers fell. Almost nobody around us understood the politics of what had happened, but we knew that something had changed for good. Afghanistan, which until then had been our private tragedy and our first exile from Taliban rule, had suddenly become the world’s concern, with the United States leading the response.

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    The Arabs: A History
    معهد الشرق الأوسط

    The Arabs: A History

    March 10 – January 1, 1970, March 10 - 3:54 PM – 12:00 AM
    January 1 - 3:54 PM – 12:00 AM

    1761 N Street NW, Washington, 20036

    Inside the Taliban
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    Inside the Taliban

    March 10 – January 1, 1970, March 10 - 2:51 PM – 12:00 AM
    January 1 - 2:51 PM – 12:00 AM

    1761 N Street NW, Washington, 20036

    Inside the Taliban
    معهد الشرق الأوسط
  • Video
  • Inside the Taliban

    The Middle East Institute is proud to host Kandahar-based writers and researchers Alex Strick van Linschoten and Felix Kuehn for a discussion about the state of the Taliban in Afghanistan and the current situation in Kandahar. Strick van Linschoten and Kuehn translated and edited My Life with the Taliban, an account of the inner workings of the organization from the perspective of former Taliban minister and ambassador to Pakistan, Mullah Abdul Salam Zaeef, who was arrested following the overthrow of the Taliban and spent four years in Guantanamo Bay.

    March 3, 2010

    Writing on Culture: The Missing Factor in Discussions on the Middle East
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  • Video
  • Writing on Culture: The Missing Factor in Discussions on the Middle East

    The Middle East Institute is proud to host MEI scholar Andrea Rugh for a discussion about Middle Eastern culture and her most recent book, Simple Gestures: A Cultural Journey Into the Middle East. Since US involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan, the importance of culture has become all too clear. Yet, although most scholars agree on its importance, few address culture in ways that provide better understanding to audiences who might benefit, such as policy makers, the media and the American public.

    February 23, 2010

    Rebuilding Trust Begins with Trust
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  • التحليل
  • Rebuilding Trust Begins with Trust

    This Op/Ed was published first on February 3, 2010 by McClatchy Tribune.

    The bipartisan Kerry Lugar Bill provides a multi-year, super-sized economic aid program to the people of Pakistan. This is the right approach to improved US-Pakistan relations. The majority of Pakistanis distrust the US because they believe we favor military dictators over civilian democrats and are quick to abandon promised economic aid programs once we have achieved our security goals.

    February 3, 2010

    Iranian Migrants in the Arab Countries of the Persian Gulf
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  • التحليل
  • Iranian Migrants in the Arab Countries of the Persian Gulf

    This essay examines migration from the Iranian coastal region of the Persian Gulf to the nearby Arab countries. At the center of this research are questions of cross-border relationships, the construction of transnational spaces in border migration, and strategies for maintaining networks in both the home and host countries.

    February 2, 2010

    Forgotten Futures: History, Memoir, Afghanistan
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  • التحليل
  • Forgotten Futures: History, Memoir, Afghanistan

    Originally posted December 2009

    In his book From My Memories, Khaled Sediq recounts the following incident from the mid-1960s regarding a visit by him and some other members of his family to Mohammad Zahir, King of Afghanistan from 1933 to 1973:

    Finally, after uttering some conventional statements, such as, Afghanistan belongs to you and you belong to Afghanistan, he also added: ‘Even though unpleasant events have happened, yet, I have forgotten about them, you, too, try to forget.’[1]

    February 2, 2010

    From Identity Crisis to Identity in Crisis in Afghanistan
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  • From Identity Crisis to Identity in Crisis in Afghanistan

    When social order is politically disturbed in a society like Afghanistan, inter- and intra-group dynamics set forces in motion that cannot be harnessed once unleashed. While group dynamics dictate, for instance, that majorities behave as an integrative and cohesive force as their sense of loyalty lies in the wellbeing of the collective whole, a minority’s interests may on occasion diverge in the pursuit of greener pastures across the fence, allowing themselves to be used as vulnerable pawns by others.

    December 16, 2009

    Secretary Clinton's Challenges in Pakistan
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  • التحليل
  • Secretary Clinton's Challenges in Pakistan

    Secretary Clinton’s visit to Pakistan has been a serious attempt to use public diplomacy to help the troubled US Pakistan relations. Her reaching out to people with a mix of soft power and hard talk was refreshing. It is time to ‘clear the air’ she said. But a lot more work needs to be done in the realm of policy to bring about a meaningful change in the relationship. The problems between Pakistan and the United States, referred to as the “trust deficit” for want of a better word, are many and mask much complexity at the heart of policy and systemic issues on both sides.

    November 5, 2009

    All Is Not Yet Lost
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  • التحليل
  • All Is Not Yet Lost

    This Commentary was originally published as an op-ed in The Washington Times on October 11, 2009.

    October 13, 2009

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