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Can Russian-Iranian alignment in Syria last?
Iran's President Hassan Rouhani (L) and Russia's President Vladimir Putin shake hands as they meet on the sidelines of a meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) Council of Heads of State.
  • Analysis
  • Can Russian-Iranian alignment in Syria last?

    While the Turkish military offensive against the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in northern Syria might, once again, bring Moscow and Tehran together tactically in support of Assad’s rule and Syrian sovereignty, the two powers have fundamentally different visions for the war-ravaged country’s future.

    October 16, 2019

    A dream scenario for ISIS in northeastern Syria
    A photo taken from Turkey's Sanliurfa province, on October 09, 2019 shows smoke rises at the site of Ras al-Ayn city of Syria as Turkish troops along with the Syrian National Army begin Operation Peace Spring in northern Syria against PKK/YPG, Daesh terrorists.
  • Analysis
  • A dream scenario for ISIS in northeastern Syria

    Turkey’s cross-border incursion into northeastern Syria has stirred up a hornet’s nest of instability and threats. If left unchecked, this latest “war within a war” will have deeply destabilizing consequences for many years.

    The European Commission’s new president and the MENA region: Status quo or change?
    BRUSSELS, BELGIUM - SEPTEMBER 10, 2019: EU Commission President-elect Ursula von der Leyen is posing in front of the Berlaymont, the EU Commission headquarter on September 10, 2019. Today, the elected President Ursula von der Leyen presented the new Commission, it will reflect the priorities and ambitions set out in the Political Guidelines. The Commission is structured around the objectives President-elect von der Leyen was elected on by the European Parliament. (Photo by Thierry Monasse/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • The European Commission’s new president and the MENA region: Status quo or change?

    European Council President Charles Michel may have the most prestigious political post in the European Union, but the true power lies with the European Commission, the Union’s executive branch, whose president represents the EU abroad. Will the nomination of Ursula von der Leyen, the first woman to hold this post, affect relations between the EU and the Middle East in the years ahead?  For her part, von der Leyen has said she will focus mainly on such matters as an “ambitious climate agenda,” a fair social market economy, and safeguarding democratic values in Europe, but the president-elect will also have to address developments in the Middle East. This will not be new territory for her.

    October 15, 2019

    Turkey’s Asia Anew Initiative: Assessment and Shortcomings
    Turkish FM Mevlut Cavusoglu | Ambassadors' Conference | 8-8-19
  • Analysis
  • Turkey’s Asia Anew Initiative: Assessment and Shortcomings

    On August 5, 2019 Turkey’s Foreign Ministry launched the Asia Anew initiative, whose declared aim is to give greater weight to cooperation with Asian countries in four substantive areas. This article shows that, although few details have emerged regarding how Ankara intends to implement this initiative, there is nonetheless sufficient reason to question whether it is viable or sustainable.

    October 15, 2019

    Turkey’s Endgame in Syria
  • Analysis
  • Turkey’s Endgame in Syria

    In a stunning announcement on Sunday, the Trump administration gave the nod to a Turkish military incursion into northeastern Syria, an operation that would entail clashes with Washington’s Kurdish allies in the area. The U.S. military, which has around 1,000 troops in Syria, would not “support or be involved in the operation.” But the White House said it would pull back U.S. forces stationed near the Syrian-Turkish border to clear the way for Ankara’s troops.

    Iraqi youth protesters: Who they are, what they want, and what’s next
    Protesters shout slogans during an anti-government demonstration against the provision of jobs and the alleged government corruption, in Tahrir Square in central Baghdad.
  • Analysis
  • Iraqi youth protesters: Who they are, what they want, and what’s next

    “We reached a level of injustice we could no longer take. For every action, there is a reaction,” explained one civil society activist following the Oct. 1 outbreak of protests in Baghdad and central and southern Iraq.

    October 14, 2019

    Broken Partnerships: Can Washington Get Security Cooperation Right?
  • Analysis
  • Broken Partnerships: Can Washington Get Security Cooperation Right?

    The erosion of U.S. global hegemony in recent years is rarely a matter of dispute among American strategists. The United States has lost its preeminence in part because others, most notably China, have caught up, but also because it has overextended and exhausted itself abroad, leading to budget constraints, rightist populism, and acute political polarization at home.

    October 11, 2019

    Putin’s visit to Riyadh could help shape the next chapter of Russia-Saudi relations
    Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Russia's President Vladimir Putin attend a meeting at the G20 Summit in Osaka on June 28, 2019. (Photo by Brendan Smialowski / AFP) (Photo credit should read BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Putin’s visit to Riyadh could help shape the next chapter of Russia-Saudi relations

    President Vladimir Putin heads to Riyadh to try to pry loose multi-billion-dollar investments that Saudi Arabia has pledged to Russia but failed to deliver on. Putin also hopes to persuade the kingdom to increase two-way trade.

    October 9, 2019

    Fair competition is needed to economically empower women in the Arab world
    Careem offices on June 23, 2018 in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
  • Analysis
  • Fair competition is needed to economically empower women in the Arab world

    Female labor force participation levels in Arab countries are the lowest in the world — despite the rising educational attainment of women reaching working age. Indeed, young women across the Arab world exceed the education levels of young men, who are worrisomely falling behind. Remedying the underrepresentation of Arab women in the labor force and reviving the educational motivation of young men are both social and economic imperatives.

    October 8, 2019

    China-Iraq Relations: Poised for a “Quantum Leap”?
    PM Adil Abdul-Mahdi & Pres. Xi Xinping, Sept 9, 2019 (Lintao Zhang/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • China-Iraq Relations: Poised for a “Quantum Leap”?

    Upon arriving in Beijing on September 19 at the head of a 55-member delegation, Iraq Prime Minister Adel Abdul-Mahdi described the visit to China as heralding a “quantum leap” in bilateral relations. The five-day visit culminated in the signing of eight wide-ranging memoranda of understanding (MoUs), a framework credit agreement, and the announcement of plans for Iraq to join China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Since then, however, a wave of angry anti-government protests have swept across much of Iraq, leaving more than 100 dead and thousands wounded — a vivid reminder of the country’s ongoing struggle for stability and of the obstacles to the further consolidation of China-Iraq relations.

    Russia’s efforts to expand the Astana process in Syria
     President of Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdogan (C), President of Russia Vladimir Putin (L) and President of Iran Hassan Rouhani (R) pose for a photo after the joint press conference held within the Turkey-Russia-Iran trilateral summit at Cankaya Mansion in Ankara, Turkey on September 16, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Russia’s efforts to expand the Astana process in Syria

    On Sept. 16, the presidents of Russia, Iran, and Turkey met in Ankara to discuss the resolution of the Syrian civil war. In all three countries, the Ankara summit was hailed as a major success, as negotiations on the formation of a Syrian constitutional committee concluded and progress was made toward resolving other outstanding challenges, such as the future of northeastern Syria and the ongoing struggle for Idlib.

    October 7, 2019

    Trade, Reform, and Revitalization: Toward a US-Egypt Free Trade Agreement
  • Analysis
  • Trade, Reform, and Revitalization: Toward a US-Egypt Free Trade Agreement

    A question as to the value of a U.S.-Egypt Free Trade Agreement (FTA) misses the point. The question should not be whether an FTA would be in the interest of both parties since there is abundant evidence that it would. The question is what kind of FTA would best suit the needs, both short and long term, of the two parties: shallow integration or deep integration? This report argues that notwithstanding several hurdles, it is in the interest of both countries to move swiftly and decisively toward a deep FTA.

    Saudi Arabia's hidden gem: Al-Ula
  • Analysis
  • Saudi Arabia's hidden gem: Al-Ula

    Saudi Arabia’s archeological treasures have long been hidden in plain sight, known mainly to the people living in their proximity and a handful of scholars. But five recent UNESCO World Heritage Site designations have highlighted the universal value of the country’s material legacy.

    October 3, 2019

    The war in Syria is far from over, but its nature is changing
    A Syrian rebel fighter aims his Kalashnikov assault rifle as he stands near the frontline against government forces west of the embattled southern city of Daraa on July 3, 2018.
  • Analysis
  • The war in Syria is far from over, but its nature is changing

    As ISIS’s territorial “state” was simultaneously rolled back and then defeated, an international consensus increasingly emerged that claimed Syria’s war was “winding down.” There is no doubt that the geographic scope and intensity of conflict is not what it was at the height of hostilities in 2014 and 2015, but it is certainly not finished either.