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Syrian, Iranian-Led Forces Capture Abu Kamal, Threaten to Confront U.S. and S.D.F.
  • Analysis
  • Syrian, Iranian-Led Forces Capture Abu Kamal, Threaten to Confront U.S. and S.D.F.

    The Syrian Army and Iranian-led forces have captured Abu Kamal, a strategic border town in eastern Syria and the last major ISIS stronghold in the country, Iranian and Arab media report. While the physical and military defeat of the Islamic State is good news, the rapid territorial gains by pro-Syrian regime forces, particularly in the oil-rich eastern province of Deir Ezzor, have increased the risk of a potential confrontation with U.S.-backed Syrian opposition forces that have also captured strategic areas from ISIS in northern and eastern Syria.

    November 8, 2017

    Saudi-Turkey Maintaining Warm Relations despite Qatar Crisis
  • Analysis
  • Saudi-Turkey Maintaining Warm Relations despite Qatar Crisis

    Qatar is Turkey’s closest ally in the Gulf Cooperation Council (G.C.C.) and, since 2011, Ankara has become Doha’s most important regional ally. From Syria to Libya, the Qataris and Turks have worked in tandem to pursue shared interests, chiefly via support for Islamist non-state actors. More than four months into the G.C.C. crisis, Ankara has played a pivotal role in assisting Qatar weather the blockade imposed by a quartet of Arab countries—Bahrain, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates (U.A.E.).

    November 8, 2017

    What Hariri's Resignation Means for Lebanon
  • Analysis
  • What Hariri's Resignation Means for Lebanon

    Read the full article on Foreign Affairs.

    On November 4, 2017, Saad Hariri announced live on Al Arabiya satellite television that he had resigned as Lebanese prime minister.

    November 7, 2017

    The Political (or Social) Economy of Sectarianism in Lebanon
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • The Political (or Social) Economy of Sectarianism in Lebanon

    Most of the literature that seeks to explain sectarianism in Lebanon focuses on its history or on the regional and geopolitical dynamics associated with it. Relatively few studies have examined the internal factors that shape the process of sectarianization and sustain sectarianism today. However, if one does not first understand the present dynamics of sectarianism and the material and structural factors that shape it, then exploring the history of the phenomenon in an attempt to locate its “roots” is unlikely to be very illuminating. This essay seeks to shed light on the current political economy of sectarianism in Lebanon so as to advance our understanding of this phenomenon.

    November 7, 2017

    Kayhan Threatens Houthis Will Target Dubai Next
  • Analysis
  • Kayhan Threatens Houthis Will Target Dubai Next

    The Houthi missile attack against King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh on Saturday not only heightened tension between Saudi Arabia and Iran, but also triggered a war of words between media outlets representing different factions in the Islamic Republic.

    November 7, 2017

    Harakat al-Nujaba Reacts to U.S. Move to Sanction Iran-Backed Iraqi Militias
  • Analysis
  • Harakat al-Nujaba Reacts to U.S. Move to Sanction Iran-Backed Iraqi Militias

    Harakat al-Nujaba, a militia unit within Iraq’s Popular Mobilization Forces (P.M.F.), lashed out at the United States for seeking to impose sanctions against the group and other Iranian-sponsored militia organizations fighting in Iraq and Syria. On November 3, a bill was introduced the U.S. House of Representatives, entitled “Iranian Proxies Terrorist Sanctions Act of 2017,” which, if passed, will impose terrorism-related sanctions with respect to Asa’ib Ahl al-Haq and Harakat al-Nujaba groups.

    November 7, 2017

    Mohammed bin Salman’s High-Wire Act | Monday Briefing
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Mohammed bin Salman’s High-Wire Act | Monday Briefing

    In this week’s Monday Briefing, MEI experts Gerald Feierstein, Paul Salem, Ruba Husari, Amal Kandeel, and Gonul Tol provide analysis on recent and upcoming events including the arrests of numerous prominent Saudi government officials and leading businessmen on charges of corruption, Lebanese Prime Minister Hariri’s resignation, oil prices in the Middle East hitting new highs, the threat to MENA due to rising temperature levels in the region, and the Turkish prime minister’s visit to Washington.

    November 6, 2017

    Hariri’s Resignation Alarms Tehran about Lebanon’s Future
  • Analysis
  • Hariri’s Resignation Alarms Tehran about Lebanon’s Future

    The resignation of Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri on Sunday has sent shockwaves in Tehran. While Iranian leaders and their regional allies try to appear measured and confident, they fear that political instability in Lebanon and a potential war between Israel and Iran’s ally Hezbollah – particularly at a time when Hezbollah and other Iranian proxies are still engaged in the Syrian war – could adversely impact Tehran’s regional ambitions.

    November 6, 2017

    Iran Sees Hariri’s Resignation as Part of U.S.-led Plan to Counter Its Regional Influence
  • Analysis
  • Iran Sees Hariri’s Resignation as Part of U.S.-led Plan to Counter Its Regional Influence

    Saad Hariri’s unexpected resignation has rattled Tehran. Many Iranian officials, analysts and media outlets warn that the Lebanese prime minister’s resignation is part of a broader strategy by the United States and its regional allies – particularly Israel and Saudi Arabia – to counter the growing influence of Iran and its proxies in the Middle East.

    November 6, 2017

    U.S. Needs a Political Strategy for Iraq
  • Analysis
  • U.S. Needs a Political Strategy for Iraq

    The sudden resignation of Massoud Barzani as president of the Kurdish Region of Iraq (K.R.I.) casts into high relief the challenges that confront U.S. policy in the region today. Focused military action has set ISIS on its heels. Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Joseph Dunford, U.S.

    November 3, 2017

    Hardliners Accuse Europe of "Betraying" Iran on Nuclear Deal
  • Analysis
  • Hardliners Accuse Europe of "Betraying" Iran on Nuclear Deal

    A prominent Iranian cleric today warned the Rouhani government against trusting European powers to renegotiate the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), the nuclear deal Tehran signed with world powers in 2015. “The Europeans are currently betraying [us] and defending the Americans.

    November 3, 2017

    Militants Kill Eight Iranian Border Guards near Turkish Border
  • Analysis
  • Militants Kill Eight Iranian Border Guards near Turkish Border

    The Iranian media reports that at least eight Iranian border guards were killed in clashes with an armed group today in the northwestern province of West Azarbaijan. Alireza Radfar, the deputy governor-general of West Azerbaijan, said the “terrorists” also sustained heavy casualties. He added that security forces are conducting a search operation in the area for other members of the group.

    November 3, 2017