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A Coalition of Uncertainty
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  • A Coalition of Uncertainty

    One way to grasp the immense difficulty facing President Obama as he tries to forge an effective international coalition to oppose the Islamic State is to examine the difference between this effort and the last time the United States led a diverse group of countries to take on a conflict in the Middle East: Operation Desert Storm, in 1991.

    September 15, 2014

    The Huthi Ascent to Power
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  • The Huthi Ascent to Power

    After capturing Amran in mid-summer, the emboldened Huthi movement (Ansar Allah) began a fall campaign against the national capital, surrounding Sana‘a with armed camps, organizing large demonstrations around government buildings inside the city, and demanding that the government repeal its recent decision to lift fuel subsidies before resigning. Tensions turned bloody on September 9 when gunfire broke out as Huthi demonstrators tried to force their way into the Prime Minister’s office in downtown Sana‘a.[1]

    September 15, 2014

    Turkey: A Reluctant Partner in the Fight against the Islamic State
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  • Turkey: A Reluctant Partner in the Fight against the Islamic State

    Last week, President Obama laid out his strategy to fight the Islamic State (also known as ISIS or ISIL). The strategy includes a systematic campaign of airstrikes; support to forces fighting ISIS on the ground, including Iraqi Security forces and the Peshmerga (the Kurdish armed forces); redoubling U.S. efforts to cut off ISIS funding; improving intelligence; strengthening defenses; and stemming the flow of foreign fighters into and out of the Middle East.

    Upgrading Israeli-South Korean Relations: Can Seoul Tilt in Favor of Jerusalem?
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  • Upgrading Israeli-South Korean Relations: Can Seoul Tilt in Favor of Jerusalem?

    Israel has come to recognize South Korea as being of increasing importance to its economic, security, and diplomatic interests. Meanwhile, Israeli innovation has attracted South Korean businesses and investors. As a result, Israel-South Korean economic ties have grown in recent years, albeit with little fanfare. These positive developments could eventually lead Seoul to alter its official policy toward Israel.

    September 15, 2014

    Secular Parties in Egypt’s Political Landscape
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  • Secular Parties in Egypt’s Political Landscape

    Most of Egypt’s newly created secular political parties have complained bitterly about the Parliament Election Law, which former Interim President Adly Mansour rushed to approve in his last day in office, before handing over power to newly-elected President Abdel Fattah el-Sissi.

    September 11, 2014

    Iran and Saudi Arabia: Detente on the Horizon?
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  • Iran and Saudi Arabia: Detente on the Horizon?

    This article first appeared in The National Interest.

    After a year of hesitation, Iranian president Hassan Rouhani is signaling his readiness to reach out to Tehran’s chief regional rival—Saudi Arabia. Last week, a top official was sent to Riyadh; he was the most senior Iranian visitor to the country since Rouhani’s election in June 2013.

    ISIS strategy check: Rule out a U.S. war
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  • ISIS strategy check: Rule out a U.S. war

    This op-ed was first published in the New York Daily News.

    The United States might not have had a strategy for battling ISIS last week, but it does now. The NATO summit in Wales produced one. It reflects President Obama’s instincts and his ability to corral fractious allies.

    It also says nothing about the use of force by the United States.

    September 8, 2014

    Egyptian Economic Challenges and Policy Exigencies
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  • Egyptian Economic Challenges and Policy Exigencies

    In the last three years, Egypt’s economic position has deteriorated dramatically. Domestic and external deficits have increased, causing public debt to grow sharply, external reserves to fall, investment to shrink, and inflation to increase. In the process, growth decelerated, unemployment rose, income distribution worsened, and the medium term economic outlook became clouded.

    September 8, 2014

    Extremist Groups in Syria
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  • Extremist Groups in Syria

    Three and a half years into the Syrian civil war, it is clear that any hopes that the overall insurgency against the Assad regime might develop in a more “mainstream” and “moderate” direction have dissipated.[1]

    September 7, 2014

    On Probation: The Open-Ended Future of Sino-Israeli Relations
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  • On Probation: The Open-Ended Future of Sino-Israeli Relations

    China, “a quarter of mankind,” can no longer be ignored.[1] Economic reform is not the essence of Deng Xiaoping’s revolution; opening China to the outside world is. Israel is part of this phenomenon. After thirty years of no relations (and even mutual hostility); ten years of unofficial relations; and more than twenty years of official relations, both countries have managed to overcome their earlier illusions and to come to terms with the limits of their bilateral relations.

    September 5, 2014

    Pakistan's Political Turmoil: Interview with Dr. Marvin Weinbaum
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  • Pakistan's Political Turmoil: Interview with Dr. Marvin Weinbaum

    The crisis in Pakistan is coming to a head. Of course it’s been building since the 15th of August, but now we’re faced with a situation in which this government is either going to survive or, very likely, were going to see a military takeover.

    The big question is where does the military stand, because everybody realizes that ultimately the outcome will depend on what the military is willing to accept or, indeed, what the military wants.

    Delivering Innovation to the “Zero-Defects” Culture: Japanese Conservatism Meets Israeli Risk-Taking
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  • Delivering Innovation to the “Zero-Defects” Culture: Japanese Conservatism Meets Israeli Risk-Taking

    Despite the fact that Japan was one of the first countries in the world to recognize Israel as an independent nation, and despite the fact that relations between the two peoples have been generally amicable, the business linkages that would have been mutually beneficial have been very slow to develop. Only quite recently has there been a change in the wind that promises much more positive economic interaction between Israel and Japan as we enter the second half of this second decade of the new millennium.

    September 4, 2014