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Research & Commentary Results

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Robust diplomacy is Washington’s only chance to stop a Lebanon-Israel war
Photo by Houssam Shbaro/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Robust diplomacy is Washington’s only chance to stop a Lebanon-Israel war

    In navigating the thickening fog of war, ongoing US-led mediation must actively take two critical steps to pull Lebanon and Israel back from the brink and avoid a direct US-Iran confrontation: secure credible guarantees on compliance and endorse local efforts to elect an independent president.

    Reinventing a square wheel: Can a revitalized Palestinian Authority lead the way to a better “day after?”
    Photo by EVELYN HOCKSTEIN/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Reinventing a square wheel: Can a revitalized Palestinian Authority lead the way to a better “day after?”

    As questions about regarding who can take over governance of the war-torn Gaza Strip, Washington and other are pinning their hopes on a revitalized Palestinian Authority. But such “revitalization,” if limited to “strengthening” the PA cabinet and making only minor improvements in governance, will ensure that Gaza will remain a “super camp” and a source of recurring/persistent instability for Palestine and Israel.

    January 10, 2024

    The US is key to preventing an Israel-Lebanon war
    Photo by JALAA MAREY/AFP via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • The US is key to preventing an Israel-Lebanon war

    The current escalation between Israeli and Hezbollah forces necessitates immediate action from the international community to prevent a widening of the Gaza war, and the US is positioned in a leadership role to mollify tensions, beginning with diplomatic actions to stabilize the Lebanese-Israeli border, helping to pacify the broader region as a result.

    January 5, 2024

    Israel and Lebanon are sliding into war, but the US can still stop it
  • تعليق
  • Israel and Lebanon are sliding into war, but the US can still stop it

    A battle for hearts and minds is being waged in the winding alleyways of Beirut. The Lebanese are anxiously going about their lives while keeping an eye on the intensifying border skirmishes between Israel and the Iranian-backed militant group Hezbollah. 

    Plastered across the city walls and hanging from lampposts is the enigmatic image of Abu Obeida, Hamas’s masked spokesperson. Wrapped in a red kufiyah, the traditional Arab head garb, he is put forth as a symbol of defiance against Israel.

    Is Saudi-Israel normalization still on the table?
    Andre Malerba/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Is Saudi-Israel normalization still on the table?

    In response to the Oct. 7 attacks and subsequent bombing and invasion of the Gaza Strip, most media outlets and think tanks concluded that Hamas initiated the war to sever the path toward normalization between Saudi Arabia and Israel. Prior to the Hamas strike, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MbS) said his country was moving steadily in the direction of normalizing relations with Israel.

    December 22, 2023

    Soleimani birthed Iran’s Axis of Resistance, Ghaani coordinated it
    Photo by STR/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Soleimani birthed Iran’s Axis of Resistance, Ghaani coordinated it

    Iranian strategy in the Middle East has long centered on nurturing regional proxies and partners — a so-called “Axis of Resistance” — to mount an existential threat to Israel by encircling it in a ring of fire. The bloody war between Israel and Hamas sparked by the latter’s Oct. 7 massacre is the first large-scale implementation of this Axis of Resistance doctrine. Quds Force commander Esmail Ghaani’s lasting contribution will be the network’s entry into the battlefield in a comprehensive and coordinated manner.

    December 15, 2023

    Gaza war hasn’t halted de-escalation efforts in Yemen
    الصورة من وكالة فرانس برس عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • Gaza war hasn’t halted de-escalation efforts in Yemen

    Over the past two months, the Houthi rebels in Yemen have launched missiles and drones into Israel, attacked several commercial ships in the Red Sea, and threatened to block all ships sailing to Israel, regardless of nationality, until Gaza receives humanitarian aid. In the Gulf, there is a growing fear that the situation could constrain ongoing de-escalation talks between Riyadh, the Republic of Yemen Government, and the Houthis, or even take them back to square one were conflict dynamics to escalate.

    December 12, 2023

    Wars create opportunities for peaceful change: Will the Gaza war serve as a case in point?
    Photo by AHMAD GHARABLI/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Wars create opportunities for peaceful change: Will the Gaza war serve as a case in point?

    While war is still raging in Gaza following Hamas’ brutal Oct. 7 attack on Israel, it nonetheless arguably offers an opportunity for a profound shift in the modalities of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, which looked unlikely in the period preceding the war. Based on analysis of several examples from the history of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, this article asserts that in order to seize the opportunity, both sides will need legitimate leaderships that enjoy international support and are willing and determined to make concessions and build trust.

    December 7, 2023

    Change and continuity in India’s relations with Israel and Palestine
    DEBBIE HILL/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Change and continuity in India’s relations with Israel and Palestine

    India’s response to the Oct. 7 terrorist attack on Israel and the ensuing Israel-Hamas war have underscored the notable shift in India-Israel bilateral relations that has taken place under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi.

    December 5, 2023

    War delays but likely will not fully derail IMEC plans
    Photo by EVELYN HOCKSTEIN/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • War delays but likely will not fully derail IMEC plans

    The Oct. 7 Hamas attack against Israel and the latter’s ongoing military operation in Gaza have stalled progress in the development of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor and raised questions about its prospects for eventual completion. The IMEC faces multiple viability challenges, but none of them are insurmountable; thus, its participants are unlikely to abandon it.

    The day after in Gaza is today
    Photo by Mustafa Hassona/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The day after in Gaza is today

    The international community is focused on “the day after” in Gaza, built on the comforting but illusory assumption that Oct. 7 never happened. In contrast, Israel and Hamas alike are engaged in a zero-sum contest to build a new system created out of blood and fire. When we consider the options for Gaza, the most instructive point of departure is the day before — that is, the evolution of Israeli occupation policies in the half century since the June 1967 war.

    1 ديسمبر 2023