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Research & Commentary Results

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Can Erdoğan Survive Without the Kurdish Question?
Photo by YASIN AKGUL/AFP via Getty Images.
  • التحليل
  • Can Erdoğan Survive Without the Kurdish Question?

    Since Erdoğan adopted a nationalist and militarist approach to reverse the results of the June 2015 elections, the Kurdish political movement has faced immense pressure. The line between the PKK and other non-violent political actors has blurred in the eyes of the elites in Ankara. Leaders and officials of the pro-Kurdish HDP have been arrested and the party has been demonized in the media. This paper aims to understand the motivation behind Erdoğan’s approach to the Kurdish question and explore the potential implications for the upcoming elections in June 2023.

    October 11, 2022

    Religion, Nationalism, and Populism in Turkey Under the AKP
    Photo by Directorate of Communications/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images.
  • التحليل
  • Religion, Nationalism, and Populism in Turkey Under the AKP

    Over its two decades in power, the AKP has shaped relations between different social groups in Turkey based on religious belonging. It altered people’s perceptions of national identity by making “being a Muslim Turk” more appealing for many at home and abroad, and created new public spaces and collective memories embellished with national heroism sacralized by religious references. Moving beyond Turkey’s oft-cited secular-pious cleavage, this paper aims to shed light on the AKP’s complex relationship with religion through the lens of nationalism, populism, and performance as a means of political mobilization.

    October 6, 2022

    The Strategies and Struggles of the Turkish Opposition under Autocratization
    Photo by Baris Oral/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images.
  • التحليل
  • The Strategies and Struggles of the Turkish Opposition under Autocratization

    President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has thus far enjoyed a fragmented opposition and utilized polarization to cement divisions. However, the introduction of a hyper-presidential system after the 2017 constitutional referendum and Erdoğan’s 2018 election victory have provided the necessary impetus for the opposition parties to form an alliance. This paper charts Turkey’s autocratization under AKP rule, addresses the strategies adopted by its political opposition, and maps out the opportunities and risks they face in the run-up to the June 2023 presidential elections.

    October 4, 2022

    Turkish Views: Crisis and Opportunities for Turkey in 2023
    Photo by Turkish Presidency / Murat Cetinmuhurdar / Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Turkish Views: Crisis and Opportunities for Turkey in 2023

    As the Turkish Republic enters its centennial year, it seems to be at an inflection point. What has been the impact of the AKP’s rule and how might the opposition change Turkey’s direction if they manage to come to power? In this series of papers, seven prominent Turkish scholars weigh in on these questions, thinking about this from a wide variety of perspectives and focusing on a range of specific fields of policy, explaining how we got to the current juncture and where Turkey might go from here.

    Monday Briefing: Iranian women’s uprising: Too personal and too political
  • تعليق
  • Monday Briefing: Iranian women’s uprising: Too personal and too political

    اقرأ تقرير MEI الأسبوعي الذي يتضمن تحليلات الخبراء للتطورات الإقليمية الرئيسية للأسبوع المقبل.

    September 26, 2022

    Catastrophic floods: Understanding the gravity of Pakistan’s health and food crises
    Photo by HUSNAIN ALI/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Catastrophic floods: Understanding the gravity of Pakistan’s health and food crises

    Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif recently warned that his country needs “an infinite amount of funding” to support flood relief efforts. Torrential rains and heavy flooding have killed more than 1,550 people and displaced millions. Compounding the challenge are Pakistan’s intensifying food and health crises, as flood-borne diseases surge and nearly two-thirds of the country’s food basket has been destroyed.

    September 22, 2022

    Pakistan at 75: The clock has run out for business as usual
    Photo by RIZWAN TABASSUM/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Pakistan at 75: The clock has run out for business as usual

    On Aug. 14, Pakistan marked its 75th independence day, like many of the preceding 74, in a state of political and economic crisis. Days later, epic floods would befall the country, submerging a third of it under water. Pakistan can no longer afford business as usual.

    September 7, 2022

    Dysfunctional centralization and growing fragility under Taliban rule
    MARCUS YAM / LOS ANGELES TIMES
  • التحليل
  • Dysfunctional centralization and growing fragility under Taliban rule

    One year ago, on Aug. 31, 2021, the last foreign soldier left Afghanistan. Since then, the situation in the country has only grown more fragile, marked by deteriorating living conditions, widespread human rights violations, and increasing political instability. One key contributing factor to the crisis is a dysfunctional centralized governance structure that has become more paralyzed and unresponsive under Taliban control.

    September 6, 2022

    On the anniversary of the US withdrawal from Afghanistan
    Photo by U.S. Central Command via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • On the anniversary of the US withdrawal from Afghanistan

    On Aug. 30, 2021, the commander of the 82nd Airborne Division, Maj. Gen. Chris Donahue, boarded the last U.S. military flight out of Hamid Karzai International Airport in Kabul. For many, the image of the final American soldier stepping onto a C-17 military transport plane marked the end of the war. But even as we remember the chaotic end of America’s longest war, we should also recall the sublime acts of loyalty and resolve that took place simultaneously.

    Is Chechnya’s leader a ticking time-bomb for Russian-Turkish relations?
    Photo by Sefa Karacan/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Is Chechnya’s leader a ticking time-bomb for Russian-Turkish relations?

    Chechen strongman and close Putin ally Ramzan Kadyrov claims he met with Turkish officials to discuss cooperation. If true, the claim would signify Turkey’s possible backsliding on some of its previous commitments as well as trigger a negative reaction from Ukraine.

    August 19, 2022