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Iran-Pakistan: Will Border Tensions Boil Over?
  • Analysis
  • Iran-Pakistan: Will Border Tensions Boil Over?

    This article was first published on BBC News.

    There have been a number of rounds of border skirmishes between Iran and Pakistan since the first week of October. However, reports that Pakistani forces have returned mortar fire is highly unusual and represents an increase in tensions that have marred this region for years.

    Contemporary Indonesian Pilgrimage to Hadramawt, Yemen
  • Analysis
  • Contemporary Indonesian Pilgrimage to Hadramawt, Yemen

    The past decade has witnessed a steady increase in the numbers of Indonesians embarking on pilgrimage (ziyara) to the Hadramawt valley of the former South Yemen. Despite the considerable presence of the Hadrami diaspora in Indonesia, the idea of a pilgrimage to Hadramawt did not really exist among Indonesian Muslims of non-Hadrami descent until rather recently.

    October 24, 2014

    Iran’s Approach to Extreme Sunni Militants
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s Approach to Extreme Sunni Militants

    This article was first published by The National Interest.

    The conventional wisdom in Washington is that Tehran regards Sunni-jihadist movements as ideologically incompatible rivals. This is not surprising, as the bulk of Sunni-jihadist literature makes it clear that Shia-majority Iran is considered to be the embodiment of apostasy. To most Sunni jihadists, including those from ISIS, Iran is an archenemy surpassing both Israel and the United States.

    The Huthi Ascent to Power
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • The Huthi Ascent to Power

    After capturing Amran in mid-summer, the emboldened Huthi movement (Ansar Allah) began a fall campaign against the national capital, surrounding Sana‘a with armed camps, organizing large demonstrations around government buildings inside the city, and demanding that the government repeal its recent decision to lift fuel subsidies before resigning. Tensions turned bloody on September 9 when gunfire broke out as Huthi demonstrators tried to force their way into the Prime Minister’s office in downtown Sana‘a.[1]

    September 15, 2014

    Iran and Saudi Arabia: Detente on the Horizon?
  • Analysis
  • Iran and Saudi Arabia: Detente on the Horizon?

    This article first appeared in The National Interest.

    After a year of hesitation, Iranian president Hassan Rouhani is signaling his readiness to reach out to Tehran’s chief regional rival—Saudi Arabia. Last week, a top official was sent to Riyadh; he was the most senior Iranian visitor to the country since Rouhani’s election in June 2013.

    The Fall of Amran and the Future of the Islah Party in Yemen
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • The Fall of Amran and the Future of the Islah Party in Yemen

    As the world’s attention was riveted on the lightening conquests of the Islamic State in Iraq, Yemen’s al-Huthi movement made an equally stunning but largely unnoticed military advance on Amran Governorate and captured the provincial capital, Amran, in July. The fall of Amran has extraordinary political significance: The al-Huthi advance dislodged the al-Ahmar family’s grip on the leadership of the Hashid tribal confederation, a central political pillar of the Yemeni Republic since 1962, and threatens the survival of the Islah Party itself.

    August 25, 2014

    War in Gaza: A chance for Iran, Hamas to turn a page?
  • Analysis
  • War in Gaza: A chance for Iran, Hamas to turn a page?

    Read full article on CNN.

    Israel’s ongoing military operation in Gaza — Protective Edge — has animated the Shia Islamist leadership in Tehran.

    The bloody conflict, and the global Muslim outrage it has provoked, is held by the Iranian regime as a chance to redeem itself in the eyes of the Sunni Muslim majority in the world.

    Iran’s Moment of Truth with Maliki
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s Moment of Truth with Maliki

    The swift and violent rise of the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) continues to rattle the cages of power in Tehran. Overnight, Iran’s ally in Baghdad, Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki, is suddenly fighting for his political life and the country of Iraq, which he had largely inherited from the Americans. Maliki has been a solid friend of Iran, but rapidly shifting realities inside Iraq can turn him into an expendable ally, making him more into a liability than an asset.