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Research & Commentary Results

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854 Results
Morocco and Israel: Economic Opportunities, Military Incentives, and Moral Hazards
الصورة من جاك جيز/وكالة فرانس برس عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • Morocco and Israel: Economic Opportunities, Military Incentives, and Moral Hazards

    The December 2020 Moroccan-Israeli normalization deal has evolved from a vehicle enabling Morocco to gain long-sought U.S. recognition of its claims on Western Sahara to a broader strategic partnership with Israel. But the relationship further strains relations with neighboring rival Algeria.

    In Turkish-Russian relations, the Ukraine grain deal is not the point
    The image is courtesy of the author.
  • التحليل
  • In Turkish-Russian relations, the Ukraine grain deal is not the point

    The Ukraine grain export deal, which Turkey helped mediate over the summer, was saved last week to much fanfare; but the central unaddressed issue remains lifting Russia’s illegal blockade of Ukrainian ports, so Ukraine can freely trade with the world.

    November 9, 2022

    As liquidity problems worsen, Turkey turns to capital controls and informal FX flows
    Photo by Tunahan Turhan/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • As liquidity problems worsen, Turkey turns to capital controls and informal FX flows

    The Turkish economy’s foreign exchange liquidity problem is getting worse. The current account balance has been in the red this year with a monthly deficit of around $5 billion. The government has so far managed to avoid a repeat of the December 2021 currency shock by restricting capital mobility, further tightening regulations in October 2022.

    November 7, 2022

    Egyptian “national dialogue” will kick off amid difficult domestic situation
    Photo by ATTILA KISBENEDEK/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Egyptian “national dialogue” will kick off amid difficult domestic situation

    The “national dialogue” that Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah el-Sisi called for more than five months ago has nearly concluded its lengthy preparatory stage, though the official launch has repeatedly been pushed back. It will be a rare chance for opposition parties to present alternative policies to those of the president. But whether the dialogue marks a genuine change in the regime’s authoritarian policies remains to be seen.

    October 20, 2022

    The economic backdrop of Iran’s protests
    الصورة من وكالة فرانس برس عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • The economic backdrop of Iran’s protests

    As protesters’ slogans and chants have made clear, the current protests are definitely not about the economy, but about opposition to the regime more broadly and its political and social oppression. Yet Iran’s economic problems have created an atmosphere that encouraged and fueled protesters’ anger and have done nothing to help the regime.

    Amid Lebanon’s perfect storm of crises, water demands attention
    Photo by Susanna D'Aliesio/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Amid Lebanon’s perfect storm of crises, water demands attention

    Lebanese crises have repeatedly made international news since October 2019, when the country witnessed the start of a popular revolution against a stagnant and corrupt political elite. Much less discussed but no less critical is the issue of water. The problem has been slumbering for years but has recently come to light along with other failings of the Lebanese government.

    October 17, 2022

    The Turkish Economy under the Presidential System
    Photo by Erhan Demirtas/Bloomberg via Getty Images.
  • التحليل
  • The Turkish Economy under the Presidential System

    Over the past decade, Turkey has been on a steadily downward economic trajectory. Throughout this long period of turmoil the government has pursued a range of different economic policies, most of which were inconsistent with one another. The transition to a presidential system under Erdoğan has had a disastrous impact on Turkey’s economic institutions and administration. This paper explores the impact of the presidential system on the Turkish economy, the country’s economic outlook, and potential solutions to the current crisis, as well as the opposition’s role and ability to implement them, with an eye to the June 2023 elections.

    October 13, 2022

    Contending with Reality in Palestine & Israel
  • Podcast
  • Contending with Reality in Palestine & Israel

    Today’s two-part episode is a study in contrasts. On one hand, the Partnership for Peace Fund strives to create a social and economic environment in which sustainable peace can become possible. On the other, hard political realities and gridlock undermine cooperation at every turn.

    October 4, 2022

    OPEC+: Neither with the West, nor with the East
    Photographer: Simon Dawson/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • OPEC+: Neither with the West, nor with the East

    Under current, highly unpredictable market conditions, it is unreasonable for OPEC to make sharp movements to saturate the oil market or withdraw a significant number of barrels from it to meet divergent Western interests of lowering prices and punishing Russia.

    Catastrophic floods: Understanding the gravity of Pakistan’s health and food crises
    Photo by HUSNAIN ALI/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Catastrophic floods: Understanding the gravity of Pakistan’s health and food crises

    Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif recently warned that his country needs “an infinite amount of funding” to support flood relief efforts. Torrential rains and heavy flooding have killed more than 1,550 people and displaced millions. Compounding the challenge are Pakistan’s intensifying food and health crises, as flood-borne diseases surge and nearly two-thirds of the country’s food basket has been destroyed.

    September 22, 2022