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Research & Commentary Results

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Even with all eyes on Gaza, the struggle for Israel’s democracy continues
Photo by Mostafa Alkharouf/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Even with all eyes on Gaza, the struggle for Israel’s democracy continues

    The costs that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the State of Israel have been paying following the government’s first months in office have become more and more significant in recent weeks, and are they are not forgotten even as Israelis focus on coping with a cycle of warfare with Palestinian Islamic Jihad in Gaza.

    May 14, 2023

    Decarbonization and Political Transformation in Iraq: The Impact on Politics, Society and Regional Relations
  • تعليق
  • Decarbonization and Political Transformation in Iraq: The Impact on Politics, Society and Regional Relations

    What happens when a petrostate loses its oil rents? While the oil market continues to go through boom-and-bust cycles, cases such as Iraq provide evidence of how the rapid loss of oil revenues—traumatic decarbonization—may affect the politics and stability of these petrostates. In Iraq, multiple shocks to oil revenues from 2014 through 2020 fundamentally altered the organization and concentration of political power in Iraq with destabilizing and democratic consequences.

    May 4, 2023

    The IRGC’s enmity toward Israel is an aberration in Iranian history
    الصورة من مورتزا نيكوبزل/نورفوتو عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • The IRGC’s enmity toward Israel is an aberration in Iranian history

    Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is at its core an ideological army, not a national one, and its notorious enmity toward Israel is an aberration in Iranian history. But many Israelis to this day think Iran could be a natural partner as long as the country gave up its pursuit of ideologically driven regional dominance, disavow calls for the destruction of Israel, and were instead to again allow the regular army, the Artesh, to pursue Iranian national interests.

    May 3, 2023

    السياسة الكمومية في الشرق الأوسط
    الصورة من جاك جيز/وكالة فرانس برس عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • السياسة الكمومية في الشرق الأوسط

    تركزت جميع النزاعات التاريخية والحديثة في الشرق الأوسط حول الاعتبارات الإقليمية الكلاسيكية المتعلقة بفقدان الأراضي أو استعادتها. وللخروج من هذه الدوامة، كان من الضروري الابتعاد عن أحد الأسباب الجذرية الرئيسية للنزاع: الجغرافيا. وقد تكون التغيرات الحالية في المنطقة، التي تتميز بتوجه كبير نحو تخفيف حدة التوتر واستعداد متزايد للانفصال بشكل دوري عن الحلفاء التقليديين، مؤشرات على حدوث تحول جذري عميق نحو "السياسة الكمومية".

    1 مايو 2023

    Monday Briefing: People power — the Israeli version
  • تعليق
  • Monday Briefing: People power — the Israeli version

    اقرأ تقرير MEI الأسبوعي الذي يتضمن تحليلات الخبراء للتطورات الإقليمية الرئيسية للأسبوع المقبل.

    1 مايو 2023

    The judicial “reform” will make things worse, but Israel’s Supreme Court has long failed Palestinian citizens
    Photo by Matan Golan/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The judicial “reform” will make things worse, but Israel’s Supreme Court has long failed Palestinian citizens

    Over the past several months, the eyes of the world have been on the massive demonstrations in Israel against the Netanyahu government’s proposed judicial “reform.” Even though Palestinian citizens of Israel are likely to be the group most affected by the proposed changes, they have been notable for their absence, for the most part, from the protests. While Jewish citizens are worried about what the proposed changes might mean for Israel’s judiciary and the future of its democracy, the Supreme Court and the legal system more broadly have long failed to protect the rights of the country’s Palestinian citizens.

    April 17, 2023

    Iran-Iraq competition in regional maritime and overland transit corridors
    Photo by Iraqi Prime Ministry Press Office / Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Iran-Iraq competition in regional maritime and overland transit corridors

    In recent years, Iraq has become one of the leading destinations for Chinese investments in the Middle East and a crucial link in Beijing’s Belt and Road Initiative. To capitalize on its geostrategic location and central position within the Chinese BRI, Iraq is seeking to develop a sprawling new 54-square-kilometer port project, known as al-Faw Grand Port, which will reduce the country’s reliance on Arab Gulf ports and overland transit from Iran and Turkey. The project also underscores Iraq’s growing economic rivalry with neighboring Iran, as both countries seek to carve out a similar niche in handling regional transit traffic.

    April 11, 2023

    The Israeli protests: What’s happened and what’s likely to come
    Photo by Saeed Qaq/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The Israeli protests: What’s happened and what’s likely to come

    Monday, March 27 was supposed to be a red-letter day for the new far-right Israeli coalition government, when it planned to slide through the Knesset the central provision of its “judicial overhaul” bill, comfortably ahead of the Passover recess beginning on April 2. Instead, it ended up being one of the most extraordinary days in Israeli history. Spurred by the “firing” of Defense Minister Yoav Gallant by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu the evening before, the demonstrations against the overhaul, which had been building in intensity for over two months, became overwhelming.

    April 3, 2023

    Israel and Azerbaijan: Trusted friends and reliable partners
    Photo by Israeli Government Press Office (GPO) / Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Israel and Azerbaijan: Trusted friends and reliable partners

    Israeli-Azerbaijani relations are based on two main pillars: patient and cordial political relations as well as defense cooperation and arms sales. While the former reached a more intensive level this year, with the opening of an Azerbaijani embassy in Tel Aviv in late March, the latter pillar of the relationship was well developed long before, as Israel became Azerbaijan’s largest weapons supplier.

    April 3, 2023

    If the US wants to make its mark on the future of Israeli democracy, it’s time it moved from words to deeds
    Photo by Saeed Qaq/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • If the US wants to make its mark on the future of Israeli democracy, it’s time it moved from words to deeds

    As Israel’s hardline coalition government is ramming through legislation that would radically alter the country’s political character and system of government, alarm bells are finally ringing in Washington. Even President Joe Biden has finally picked up the phone and expressed his concern to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu about his anti-democratic agenda. The growing American apprehension, however, has yet to be translated into meaningful policy action.

    March 24, 2023

    Iraq and the naivety of change, 20 years on
    Photo by Wathiq Khuzaie /Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • Iraq and the naivety of change, 20 years on

    The painful reality is that Washington’s hastily cobbled together ethno-sectarian political system for post-2003 Iraq ended up doing the opposite of what it intended. The regional domino effect was also the opposite of what the U.S. had hoped for, as Iraq became a cautionary tale that regimes could use to undermine the democratic desires of their own populations.

    March 20, 2023