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Research & Commentary Results

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America in Afghanistan
الصورة من BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP عبر Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • America in Afghanistan

    In the recently released Showtime documentary “Kingdom of Silence” by Alex Gibney and Lawrence Wright, I made the statement that with hindsight the U.S. may have been better off never having occupied Afghanistan. That comment has brought some questions and responses, so let me be clear about what I mean and why.

    October 5, 2020

    Ideology, and not just energy, explains Turkey's Mediterranean disruptions
    Photo by BULENT KILIC/AFP via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • Ideology, and not just energy, explains Turkey's Mediterranean disruptions

    Over the next few days, European Union leaders will meet to discuss potential sanctions against Turkey based on Ankara’s aggressive energy claims against EU members Greece and Cyprus. Conflicting interests within the EU itself will likely preclude the bloc from actually imposing sanctions. But at the core of the recent crisis between Greece and Turkey lies a dangerous ideological model—not a mere dispute over energy resources.

    September 22, 2020

    Kata’ib Khattab al-Shishani: Fact or fiction?
    Photo by MOHAMMED AL-RIFAI/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Kata’ib Khattab al-Shishani: Fact or fiction?

    Foreign fighters have played a major role in Syria’s ongoing conflict, with a presence in the country that numbered in the tens of thousands at its peak. One of the most mythologized sources of foreign recruits has been Chechnya, the once-separatist province of Russia’s North Caucasus that was reconquered by the Russian army in the early 2000s. Several thousand Chechen fighters traveled to Syria to fight in various opposition and Islamist factions, where their battlefield prowess made them a prized commodity among Syrian rebel militants.

    September 16, 2020

    Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East
  • التحليل
  • Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East

    In a new briefing book released ahead of the U.S. elections in November, entitled Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East, MEI scholars lay out key issues across the region, highlight the U.S. interests at stake, and provide policy insights and recommendations for the path forward. 

    Erdogan pulls a rabbit out of his hat with Black Sea gas find, but is it all it seems?
    Photo by Mustafa Kamaci/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Erdogan pulls a rabbit out of his hat with Black Sea gas find, but is it all it seems?

    “God has opened the door to unprecedented wealth for us,” said an enthusiastic Recep Tayyip Erdogan as he announced that Turkey had made its biggest-ever discovery of natural gas on Aug. 21. He promised that gas from the 320-billion-cubic-meter deep-sea find would reach consumers in 2023, but industry experts are skeptical and have raised questions about the feasibility of the discovery.

    Fixing Iraq’s power sector
    Photo by HUSSEIN FALEH/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Fixing Iraq’s power sector

    Iraq’s long-running electricity dilemma is now a daily source of public misery. The struggle of the power generation and distribution system to keep up with relentless demand caused by almost free electricity, especially as temperatures soar to record levels of over 120 degrees, is likely to get worse without reforms.

    August 10, 2020

    The Paris Agreement in the Black Sea Region
  • التحليل
  • The Paris Agreement in the Black Sea Region

    The annual Conference of the Parties (COP) was initiated by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in 1995 to assess progress made by UN members in dealing with climate change. Some meetings have had practical and measurable outcomes, such as the Kyoto Protocol of 1997. But arguably the most well-known meeting is the 2015 COP21 in Paris, also known as the Paris Agreement.

    August 7, 2020

    The GERD Dispute and the Horn of Africa
    معهد الشرق الأوسط
  • Podcast
  • The GERD Dispute and the Horn of Africa

    MEI’s Mirette Mabrouk and Guled Ahmed join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the ongoing dispute between Egypt, Sudan, and Ethiopia over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), recent developments in Somaliland, and changing dynamics in the Horn of Africa.

    July 30, 2020

    Linking the past to the future: Economic diversification and tourism in Oman
    Photo by GIUSEPPE CACACE/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Linking the past to the future: Economic diversification and tourism in Oman

    Oman’s new ruler, Sultan Haitham, only has a short timeframe in which to aggressively diversify the country’s economy and reduce its dependency on hydrocarbon exports. This already difficult task is further complicated by the twin challenges of the global coronavirus pandemic and low oil prices, both of which limit the government’s fiscal room for maneuver. One obvious sector that Oman should consider expanding rapidly is its tourism industry.

    July 23, 2020

    OPEC+ cautiously increasing production
    Photo by Omar Marques/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • OPEC+ cautiously increasing production

    So far, Saudi Arabia’s push for OPEC+ restraint appears to be working. If projections of a gradual demand recovery in 2020 are accurate, the Saudis should be able to reaffirm their centrality as market stabilizers.

    July 17, 2020

    HTS and al-Qaeda in Syria: Reconciling the irreconcilable
    Photo by OMAR HAJ KADOUR/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • HTS and al-Qaeda in Syria: Reconciling the irreconcilable

    HTS launched multiple raids on SBS, forcing its factions to close their military bases and banning the formation of any new factions or operations rooms. In doing so, it has killed two birds with one stone: demarcating new redlines for its rivals and demonstrating its usefulness to its Turkish “partner” and the international community in their war on terrorism.

    July 15, 2020

    The eastern Mediterranean heats up as conflicts over energy move onshore
    Photo by Mustafa Kamaci/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The eastern Mediterranean heats up as conflicts over energy move onshore

    Not too long ago, the Mediterranean was described as “NATO’s lake” — a sleepy backwater in a world dominated by conflict. Today, Israel’s quarrels with Lebanon, Palestine, and Syria are viewed — and minimized — as legacy conflicts, overshadowed by a new and unstable strategic environment centered upon competing visions of offshore energy and security in the eastern Mediterranean.

    July 14, 2020