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Research & Commentary Results

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Georgia through a Middle East lens
This aerial photograph taken on September 22, 2018, shows The River Kura (Mtkvari) in the Georgian capital Tbilisi.
  • التحليل
  • Georgia through a Middle East lens

    Given their territorial proximity, the regional actors of the Middle East have always had an interest in Georgia and the South Caucasus as a window to Europe. The collapse of the Soviet Union brought an end to Georgia’s isolation, and in the years since the country has gradually started reclaiming its historical role as a cultural and economic crossroads between Asia, the Middle East, and Europe.

    December 16, 2019

    Azerbaijani gas is now ready to flow all the way to Europe
    Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (3rd L) and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev (2nd L) attend the opening ceremony of the TANAP-Europe connection in Ipsala district of Edirne, Turkey on November 30, 2019.
  • التحليل
  • Azerbaijani gas is now ready to flow all the way to Europe

    Turkey has completed the next-to-last piece of the 2,000-mile Southern Gas Corridor, a three-pipeline network that will send gas from Azerbaijan’s huge Shah Deniz field via Georgia and Turkey to Western Europe.

    It was such a big deal that Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, and Georgian Prime Minister Giorgi Gakharia presided at the ribbon-cutting on Nov. 30. They were celebrating the completion of the pipeline that is the middle link in the Southern Gas Corridor: the Trans-Anatolian Natural Gas Pipeline (TANAP), which traverses Turkey.

    December 11, 2019

    Turkey doubles down on Libya
    President of Turkey, Recep Tayyip Erdogan (R) meets chairman of the Presidential Council of Libya, Fayez Al-Sarraj (L) at Dolmabahce Office in Istanbul, Turkey on November 27, 2019.
  • التحليل
  • Turkey doubles down on Libya

    On Nov. 27 the GNA signed an MoU with Turkey seeking to create a shared maritime boundary in the Mediterranean Sea between southwestern Turkey and northeastern Libya. In an overt quid pro quo, this maritime agreement was signed along with a separate MoU to expand security and military cooperation. Thus, it seems clear that Turkey was only able to persuade the GNA to agree to the maritime deal in exchange for increased security support for the GNA-aligned forces fighting the self-styled LNA in Tripoli.

    December 10, 2019

    Blockchain adoption in the Gulf states
  • التحليل
  • Blockchain adoption in the Gulf states

    The subject of extensive international interest and attention over the past few years, blockchain technology is regarded as a key component of the fourth industrial revolution. This article seeks to shed light on the use of blockchain technology in the Gulf states by analyzing current trends of blockchain adoption in the region compared to those internationally. In so doing, it will determine Gulf institutions’ capacity for keeping pace with the changes and developments blockchain adoption has introduced.

    December 10, 2019

    Turkey’s collision course with NATO
    President of Turkey, Recep Tayyip Erdogan (R) receives North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) Secretary General, Jens Stoltenberg (L) in Istanbul, Turkey on October 11, 2019.
  • تعليق
  • Turkey’s collision course with NATO

    NATO leaders will celebrate the 70th anniversary of their alliance in London on Dec. 3 and 4. Despite soft words from NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg, however, the alliance and Turkey are on a collision course.

    Why Doha should worry: The case for an Iran-Qatar non-aggression pact
    Westbay as seen from the corniche on 20 October 2018 after heavy rainfall, Doha, Qatar.
  • التحليل
  • Why Doha should worry: The case for an Iran-Qatar non-aggression pact

    Fears of a large-scale war in the Middle East remain heightened as the U.S. continues ratcheting up sanctions against Iran while Tehran takes measures to scale back its restrictive commitments under the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). The latest sign of Iranian retaliation against the U.S. withdrawal from the 2015 nuclear accord was its decision, confirmed by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) on Nov. 11, to begin refining uranium at its Fordow underground enrichment facility.

    November 20, 2019

    Setting the Middle Corridor on track
    China Railway Express crosses Istanbul's sub-sea tunnel, Marmaray (the railway system linking the eastern and western sides of Istanbul from under the Marmara Sea) in Istanbul, Turkey on November 7, 2019. The first freight train from China crossed to Europe using Marmaray.
  • التحليل
  • Setting the Middle Corridor on track

    China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has been a powerful driver of the development of existing and new Eurasian rail routes. A web of competing and complementary rail lines has begun to form across the Eurasian landmass. Railway cargo service between China and Europe has fast become a compelling “middle option” — cheaper than air and faster than sea.

    Balance in the Black Sea: The complex dynamic between Turkey, Russia, and NATO
    Russian Tapir class landing warship BSF Nikolay Filchenkov 152 passes the Bosphorus Strait off Istanbul on October 18, 2016.
  • التحليل
  • Balance in the Black Sea: The complex dynamic between Turkey, Russia, and NATO

    Turkey’s relations with its Western allies are at an all-time low while its partnership with Russia is flourishing. Since Russia began delivery of its S-400 advanced aerial defense system in July, questions have abounded about Turkey’s future in the NATO alliance. Such concerns are not baseless. Turkey-Russia ties have never been closer. The two countries cooperate closely not only on energy and trade but also in the defense sector. But fears of a Turkish withdrawal from the alliance overlook the continued tension between Ankara and Moscow, which makes NATO an indispensable partner for Turkey.

    Syria tops the agenda as Erdogan heads to Washington
    US President Donald Trump shakes hands with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan as he arrives for meetings at the White House in Washington, DC, May 16, 2017.
  • تعليق
  • Syria tops the agenda as Erdogan heads to Washington

    Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is set to meet with his U.S. counterpart, Donald Trump, in Washington on Wednesday. While there are doubtless other items for discussion on the agenda, at the top of the list is, at least on Turkey’s side, Syria — or more specifically, what U.S. policy is and should be in Syria.

    November 11, 2019

    Is the Turkey-Qatar alliance really under threat?
    Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (R) shakes hands with Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Al Thani (L) following their meeting at the Presidential Complex in Ankara, Turkey on October 30, 2019.
  • التحليل
  • Is the Turkey-Qatar alliance really under threat?

    On Nov. 4 Daily Sabah, a strongly pro-government English-language daily in Turkey, published a scathing editorial with a title that says it all: “Al Jazeera English: A threat against the Turkey-Qatar alliance.” According to the editorial, Al Jazeera English slandered Turkey over its recent military incursion into northern Syria, and thus jeopardized the future of the Turkey-Qatar alliance. Given the close relationship between the Turkish government and Daily Sabah — and indeed the broader media environment in Turkey — it is highly unlikely that such a fiery editorial, which directly threatens Qatar, would have been published without a green light from “the palace.”

    November 6, 2019

    The US has a partner in eastern Syria — provided it has the will
    A US military convoy drives on a highway from Kobane to Ain Issa on September 29, 2017. After a months-long campaign, the Syrian Democratic Forces -- a US-backed alliance of Arab and Kurdish fighters -- have cornered diehard jihadists in a pocket of territory in the battered northern city of Raqa. / AFP PHOTO / BULENT KILIC (Photo credit should read BULENT KILIC/AFP/Getty Images)
  • التحليل
  • The US has a partner in eastern Syria — provided it has the will

    The Trump administration inherited a number of complex problems in the Syrian file from its predecessors in the White House. In dealing with the Syrian crisis, the Obama administration had three main priorities: not disturbing Iran in Syria during the process of nuclear negotiations, working with Russia toward a ceasefire in various parts of Syria (without trusting that Russia could deliver or should have the upper hand), and, most importantly, carrying out a limited military intervention in the northeast to defeat ISIS — an issue it considered separately from the Syrian crisis.

    October 29, 2019