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Iran’s loss in Qamishli’s Tayy neighborhood results in a shift in the boundaries of control
Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s loss in Qamishli’s Tayy neighborhood results in a shift in the boundaries of control

    At the end of April, the Tayy neighborhood, in the southern part of the city of Qamishli in Syria’s Hasaka Province, witnessed violent clashes between the National Defense Forces (NDF) of the Syrian regime and the Internal Security Forces (Asayish) of the Kurdish Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (AANES). The conflict ended with the negotiation of a permanent truce between the two parties under Russian auspices.

    The Pakistan Factor in China’s Afghanistan Policy: Emerging Regional Faultlines amid US Withdrawal
    Photo by Yang Wenbin/Xinhua via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • The Pakistan Factor in China’s Afghanistan Policy: Emerging Regional Faultlines amid US Withdrawal

    To date, China has largely relied on Pakistan to conduct its Afghan policy. Not much bothered about the future political role of the Taliban, China fears the prospect of instability in Afghanistan after the U.S. exit. Beijing’s primary concern in a post-U.S. Afghanistan, which is likely to be run by a regime dominated by the Taliban, is that Uyghur separatists and ETIM might find a safe haven.

    July 6, 2021

    Humanitarian aid for Northern Syria
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Humanitarian aid for Northern Syria

    Charles Lister, Mona Yacoubian, and James Jeffrey join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the upcoming UN Security Council vote on the renewal of cross-border assistance for Syria, Russia’s threats of severing access, and how they might impact stability across the region.

    June 30, 2021

    الضربات الجوية الأمريكية على الميليشيات العراقية وخطر دوامة التصعيد
  • Commentary
  • الضربات الجوية الأمريكية على الميليشيات العراقية وخطر دوامة التصعيد

    مهما كانت شدة محاولات الحكومة العراقية لتوجيه البلاد بعيدًا عن الصراع الإيراني الأمريكي، فإن الميليشيات العراقية المدعومة من إيران ستظل تسحبها مجددًا لهذا الصراع

    June 29, 2021

    Pakistan’s foreign policy challenges
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Pakistan’s foreign policy challenges

    Madiha Afzal, Syed Mohammad Ali, and Marvin Weinbaum join host Alistair Taylor to discuss a range of issues facing Pakistan, from the implications of the U.S. military withdrawal from Afghanistan, to its bilateral relations with India, China, Saudi Arabia, and the United States under the Biden administration.

    June 24, 2021

    HTS is not al-Qaeda, but it is still an authoritarian regime to be reckoned with
  • Analysis
  • HTS is not al-Qaeda, but it is still an authoritarian regime to be reckoned with

    On June 1, PBS Frontline released a documentary entitled “The Jihadist,” which includes an interview by American journalist Martin Smith with al-Jolani, now the leader of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), who “opened his heart” about the past, present, and future of his group. The interview revived the question of whether the international community should believe al-Jolani’s claims about his group’s transformation from global jihadism to a local focus and his denial of the allegations of torture in its prisons. This article argues that while HTS’s transformation and split from al-Qaeda is real, al-Jolani must be pressured to share power over Idlib and loosen his group’s authoritarian grip, which is causing grievances that in the long term will push locals into the hands of radical groups like ISIS and al-Qaeda.

    June 24, 2021

    The Economics of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham
    Photo by Anas Alkharboutli/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Economics of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham

    Over the past four years, Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) has tried to transform itself from a faction of the Global Jihad movement into the de facto local military and governing power in north-west (NW) Syria. This shift requires the group to seek sources of funding other than al-Qaeda and its donors; consequently, HTS has undertaken a slow but steady takeover of the economy in NW Syria, from financial services and oil and gas to internet and telecommunications. This paper lays out how that process has taken place and provides a detailed look at the economics of HTS.

    June 21, 2021

    مع لقاء بايدن وبوتين في جنيف، الرهانات في أعلى مستوياتها بالنسبة للمساعدات عبر الحدود إلى سوريا
  • Commentary
  • مع لقاء بايدن وبوتين في جنيف، الرهانات في أعلى مستوياتها بالنسبة للمساعدات عبر الحدود إلى سوريا

    “إذا وضعنا السياسة جانبًا، يبقى حتمًا شيء واحد صحيحًا: لا بديل عن المساعدات عبر الحدود”

    الأسد لن يتزحزح وإليكم السبب
  • Commentary
  • الأسد لن يتزحزح وإليكم السبب

    تضغط الدول الغربية وبعض دول الخليج وتركيا وبدرجة أقل حتى واحدة من مؤيديه الرئيسيين، روسيا، على رئيس الدولة السوري بشار الأسد ليكون أكثر مرونة بشأن قبول تسوية سياسية للصراع السوري. لكن الأسد رفض التزحزح شبرًا واحدًا.

    في الوقت الحالي، تريد معظم الدول المعارضة للنظام السوري من الأسد قبول قرار الأمم المتحدة رقم 2254، الصادر في عام 2015، والذي يدعو، من بين أمور أخرى، إلى انتخابات نزيهة ودستور وحكم ذي مصداقية يتسم بالشمول واللاطائفية.

    لفهم سبب عدم تراجع الأسد، عليك أن تفكر في الخيارات التي يواجهها.

    June 14, 2021

    Assad won’t budge and here’s why
    Photo by ALEXEY NIKOLSKY/SPUTNIK/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Assad won’t budge and here’s why

    Western countries, some Gulf states, Turkey, and to a far lesser extent even one of his own key backers, Russia, have been pressuring Syrian head of state Bashar al-Assad to be more flexible about accepting a political settlement to the Syrian conflict. But Assad has refused to budge an inch.

    June 10, 2021