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Research & Commentary Results

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Iraq is right where it doesn’t want to be
Mourners surround a car carrying the coffins of Iranian military commander Qasem Soleimani and Iraqi paramilitary chief Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, killed in a US air strike, during their funeral procession in Kadhimiya, a Shiite pilgrimage district of Baghdad, on January 4, 2020.
  • تعليق
  • Iraq is right where it doesn’t want to be

    While yesterday’s vote in the Iraqi Council of Representatives on a decision to remove U.S. forces is not legally binding, it creates dynamics inside the U.S. and Iraq that make a U.S. decision to remove its forces all but inevitable.

    January 6, 2020

    How we planted the seeds of war with Iran: Decisions made in Washington brought us to this fateful moment
  • التحليل
  • How we planted the seeds of war with Iran: Decisions made in Washington brought us to this fateful moment

    For almost 40 years, American national security officials have looked down the barrel of the gun of war with Iran. I sat in rooms in the White House and Pentagon several times as small groups of senior officials considered what such a war would look like, how it would end, and whether we would be better off for having fought it.

    The answer was always the same: It would be highly destructive in several nations, it would end in a stalemate with the Iranian regime in place, and nothing positive would have been accomplished.

    January 5, 2020

    Why now?
    US President Donald Trump makes a statement on Iran at the Mar-a-Lago estate in Palm Beach Florida, on January 3, 2020.
  • تعليق
  • Why now?

    Just when we thought we had a good understanding of President Donald Trump’s Middle East policy — which boils down to “get out of the region and avoid another endless war there” — he pulls off something dramatic like this.

    January 3, 2020

    US airstrike prompts widespread Iraqi criticism
    Supporters of the predominantly Shia Muslim Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) gather with flags and posters of the PMF deputy head Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis during an anti-US protest after the US airstrike in Baghdad
  • تعليق
  • US airstrike prompts widespread Iraqi criticism

    In the wake of the airstrike, there have been many calls inside Iraq for restraint among Iraqis and between the Americans and the Iranians, most notably from the Shi’a clerical establishment in Najaf. There is a wide consensus in Iraq that the country should not be at the center of an American-Iranian military fight.

    The old rules of the game have been shattered
     A protester stands inside a burned checkpoint during the sit-in against deadly US airstrikes on sites of a Shiite militia in front of the US embassy. Iraqi mourners on Tuesday stormed the building of the US embassy in Baghdad's heavily fortified Green Zone.
  • تعليق
  • The old rules of the game have been shattered

    The killing of Gen. Qassem Soleimani, head of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Quds Force, was a major and unexpected blow to the Iranian leadership. It punctured the aura of invincibility and the hubris that have characterized Soleimani and his colleagues’ behavior.

    January 3, 2020

    Reviewing the Middle East in 2019
    معهد الشرق الأوسط
  • Podcast
  • Reviewing the Middle East in 2019

    In our annual year in review episode, MEI experts Paul Salem, Gonul Tol, Charles Lister, Alex Vatanka, Marvin Weinbaum, and Mirette Mabrouk sit with host Alistair Taylor to discuss the key events across the region in 2019, what surprised them, and where things stand as we head into 2020.

    December 19, 2019

    Three uprisings in search of a better future
    An Iraqi protester chants slogans during a demonstration against state corruption, failing public services and unemployment at Tayaran square in Baghdad on October 2, 2019.
  • التحليل
  • Three uprisings in search of a better future

    The three uprisings in Iran, Iraq, and Lebanon represent the revolt of a new generation seeking to build a better future for itself. Since 2011, there have been 11 uprisings in the Middle East and North Africa. All 11 uprisings have similar drivers: the explosive dysfunction of high demographic growth, low levels of economic development and job creation, poor government performance and services, and high levels of corruption and inequality.

    December 18, 2019

    The intra-GCC competition over the Palestinian heart
    Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas (L) meets Saudi Arabian King Salman bin Abdulaziz al-Saud (R) in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on October 15, 2019.
  • التحليل
  • The intra-GCC competition over the Palestinian heart

    Since 2017 three separate blocs have emerged within the Gulf. Driven by the region’s divisions, rival power centers, and conflicting interests, the Gulf states are playing an ever-greater role in Palestinian affairs.

    December 18, 2019

    Iraq in 2019: Protests, politics, and a struggle for power
    An Iraqi woman raises her fist as she takes part in an anti-government march in the center of the southern city of Basra on December 2, 2019.
  • تعليق
  • Iraq in 2019: Protests, politics, and a struggle for power

    The protestors are demanding a radical change of the ethno-sectarian power-sharing system put in place after the 2003 U.S. invasion of Iraq.

    December 16, 2019

    The Gulf looks over the cliff and retreats
     Saudi Arabian King Salman bin Abdulaziz al-Saud chairs the 40th Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) annual summit in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on December 10, 2019.
  • تعليق
  • The Gulf looks over the cliff and retreats

    The steps the Saudis have taken in 2019 may help to ease international pressure on the kingdom’s leadership and restore its image as a constructive player in the world.

    December 16, 2019

    Blockchain adoption in the Gulf states
  • التحليل
  • Blockchain adoption in the Gulf states

    The subject of extensive international interest and attention over the past few years, blockchain technology is regarded as a key component of the fourth industrial revolution. This article seeks to shed light on the use of blockchain technology in the Gulf states by analyzing current trends of blockchain adoption in the region compared to those internationally. In so doing, it will determine Gulf institutions’ capacity for keeping pace with the changes and developments blockchain adoption has introduced.

    December 10, 2019