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“Carpet weaving” east of the Euphrates: Iranian proxy groups expand their influence in Syria’s Hasakah Province
National Defense Commander Abdel Qader Hamo and behind him a picture of Ali Al-Yasiri, the leader of the concrete
  • Analysis
  • “Carpet weaving” east of the Euphrates: Iranian proxy groups expand their influence in Syria’s Hasakah Province

    On Aug. 22, the northeastern Syrian city of al-Hasakah was inundated with leaflets condemning creeping Iranian influence in the area. The printed messages were plastered around several highly sensitive locations in the city center, including the local branch of the Ba’ath Party, the neighborhoods of al-Matar and al-Mahatah, as well as near the Great Mosque and market streets.

    September 12, 2022

    Is Iraq on the brink of a new civil war?
    Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Is Iraq on the brink of a new civil war?

    Followers of Iraqi Shi’a cleric and political leader Muqtada al-Sadr and those of the Iran-aligned Coordination Framework clashed in downtown Baghdad on Aug. 29. Iraqis spent that evening wondering whether the country was descending into an intra-Shi’a civil war.

    September 8, 2022

    Pakistan at 75: The clock has run out for business as usual
    Photo by RIZWAN TABASSUM/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Pakistan at 75: The clock has run out for business as usual

    On Aug. 14, Pakistan marked its 75th independence day, like many of the preceding 74, in a state of political and economic crisis. Days later, epic floods would befall the country, submerging a third of it under water. Pakistan can no longer afford business as usual.

    September 7, 2022

    Dysfunctional centralization and growing fragility under Taliban rule
    MARCUS YAM / LOS ANGELES TIMES
  • Analysis
  • Dysfunctional centralization and growing fragility under Taliban rule

    One year ago, on Aug. 31, 2021, the last foreign soldier left Afghanistan. Since then, the situation in the country has only grown more fragile, marked by deteriorating living conditions, widespread human rights violations, and increasing political instability. One key contributing factor to the crisis is a dysfunctional centralized governance structure that has become more paralyzed and unresponsive under Taliban control.

    September 6, 2022

    On the anniversary of the US withdrawal from Afghanistan
    Photo by U.S. Central Command via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • On the anniversary of the US withdrawal from Afghanistan

    On Aug. 30, 2021, the commander of the 82nd Airborne Division, Maj. Gen. Chris Donahue, boarded the last U.S. military flight out of Hamid Karzai International Airport in Kabul. For many, the image of the final American soldier stepping onto a C-17 military transport plane marked the end of the war. But even as we remember the chaotic end of America’s longest war, we should also recall the sublime acts of loyalty and resolve that took place simultaneously.

    Is a renewed JCPOA a threat to Israel?
    Photo by Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Is a renewed JCPOA a threat to Israel?

    The renewal of the international agreement on Iran’s nuclear program does not undermine Israeli national security per se but rather a longstanding tenet of Israel’s strategic thinking: that it must be able to fully eradicate any challenge to its military superiority deep inside enemy territory.

    August 26, 2022

    What Iran’s emerging demographic “tsunami” means for Tehran
    Photo by Eric Lafforgue/Art in All of Us/Corbis via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What Iran’s emerging demographic “tsunami” means for Tehran

    Officials in the Islamic Republic of Iran have been warning about an emerging demographic “tsunami” as local and international forecasts suggest the country could have one of the five largest elderly populations by 2050. Nearly 11% of Iranians are now over 60 years old, and this figure could significantly increase going forward.

    August 25, 2022

    The diplomatic ice is breaking in the Gulf. What does that mean for the region?
    Photo by Iranian Presidency/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The diplomatic ice is breaking in the Gulf. What does that mean for the region?

    The announcements in mid-August that both the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait will be returning their ambassadors to Tehran after six years provided the latest indication that the diplomatic ice has started to break in the Gulf region.

    August 23, 2022

    Trump Didn’t Kill the Carter Doctrine—It Was Born Dead
  • Commentary
  • Trump Didn’t Kill the Carter Doctrine—It Was Born Dead

    The United States and its Gulf Arab partners need a new security arrangement that effectively shares the burden of defending against Iranian hostility and goes beyond deterrence.

    August 22, 2022

    Iran-Venezuela relations: Presidents, postures, and pressures
    Photo by Iranian Presidency / Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran-Venezuela relations: Presidents, postures, and pressures

    In June, Iran and Venezuela signed a 20-year road map on cooperation. As much as Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi has wanted to differentiate himself from his predecessor, his Venezuela policy has so far closely resembled that of Hassan Rouhani during the latter’s second term.

    August 22, 2022