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Research & Commentary Results

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“Gwadar is the future”: China and Pakistan’s troubled strategic port on the Arabian Sea
الصورة من قبل AAMIR QURESHI/AFP عبر Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • “Gwadar is the future”: China and Pakistan’s troubled strategic port on the Arabian Sea

    Strategically located at the mouth of the Strait of Hormuz on the Arabian Sea, Gwadar, once a derelict port, was revitalized as part of the broader development of China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and declared fully operational in 2021. Can a renewed focus on the Gwadar port and the socio-economic and security situation of the surrounding region help Islamabad and Beijing rescue CPEC from failure?

    آراء الخبراء: كيف يجب أن نتعامل مع القواعد الجديدة للعبة في الصراع بين إسرائيل وإيران؟
    الصورة من مورتزا نيكوبزل/نورفوتو عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • آراء الخبراء: كيف يجب أن نتعامل مع القواعد الجديدة للعبة في الصراع بين إسرائيل وإيران؟

    شهد شهر أبريل سلسلة من التصعيدات غير المسبوقة في الصراع الإيراني-الإسرائيلي الذي طال أمده، حيث شن كلا البلدين هجمات صاروخية وطائرات مسيرة على أراضي بعضهما البعض لأول مرة في التاريخ.

    في أعقاب هذه الضربات، ماذا سيكون تأثيرها على الأمن الإقليمي والبيئة السياسية في المستقبل، وما هو المطلوب لتثبيت قواعد اللعبة الجديدة، وكيف يمكن للدبلوماسية الأمريكية أن تساعد في تسهيل هذه العملية؟ طلب معهد الشرق الأوسط (MEI) من خبرائه إبداء آرائهم في هذا الشأن.

    The long rise and sudden death of jihadist leader Abu Maria al-Qahtani
    Photo by OMAR HAJ KADOUR/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The long rise and sudden death of jihadist leader Abu Maria al-Qahtani

    In a significant and surprising turn of events, on the evening of April 5, a prominent Iraqi leader in the Syrian Sunni Islamist group Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham, Maysar bin Ali al-Juburi, also known as Abu Maria al-Qahtani, was reportedly killed in an attack in Idlib’s northern countryside.

    The Next Paradigm-Shattering Threat? Right-Sizing the Potential Impacts of Generative AI on Terrorism
    Photo by Marijan Murat/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The Next Paradigm-Shattering Threat? Right-Sizing the Potential Impacts of Generative AI on Terrorism

    This Study analyzes how and to what extent terrorists and violent extremists have interacted with generative AI so far, identifies potential ways in which they could misuse generative AI in the future, and then contextualizes these threats with the likely broader impacts of generative AI. In doing so, the Study seeks to identify a likely trajectory for the abuse of this technology by terrorist actors as well as concludes with some initial recommendations for policymakers.

    March 18, 2024

    Maintaining the best thing the US built in Iraq: Continued support to the Iraqi Counterterrorism Service
    Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Maintaining the best thing the US built in Iraq: Continued support to the Iraqi Counterterrorism Service

    As the US engages in a dialogue with the Iraqi government over the future of the coalition forces combating the Islamic State, Washington must ensure a continued relationship between the US Special Operations Forces and the Iraqi Counterterrorism Service.

    The road to war with Iran is paved with good intentions and serious miscalculations
    الصورة من مورتزا نيكوبزل/نورفوتو عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • The road to war with Iran is paved with good intentions and serious miscalculations

    Forty-five years after Iran’s February 1979 revolution, American officials continue to struggle to understand this nation of almost 90 million. Rather than trying to solve a crisis that threatens to draw the US into direct conflict with Iran, the Biden administration appears more intent to manage it.

    February 2, 2024

    موجز يوم الاثنين: رد الولايات المتحدة على الهجوم الذي استهدف القوات الأمريكية يوم الأحد: رد فعل أم استراتيجية؟
  • تعليق
  • موجز يوم الاثنين: رد الولايات المتحدة على الهجوم الذي استهدف القوات الأمريكية يوم الأحد: رد فعل أم استراتيجية؟

    اقرأ تقرير MEI الأسبوعي الذي يتضمن تحليلات الخبراء للتطورات الإقليمية الرئيسية للأسبوع المقبل.

    What it means when nine nations bomb in the Middle East in two weeks
    Photo by Ammar Ghali/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • What it means when nine nations bomb in the Middle East in two weeks

    Nine nations, including terrorist groups that are de facto governments, have attacked other countries in the region over the course of about two weeks. Numerous commentators have drawn the conclusion that a regional war is already underway or soon will be.

    January 21, 2024

    The Houthis, Iran, and tensions in the Red Sea
    الصورة من محمد حوايس/وكالة فرانس برس عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • The Houthis, Iran, and tensions in the Red Sea

    Ansar Allah, the Yemen-based militant group commonly referred to as the Houthis, is arguably the latest and largest addition to the Iran-led Axis of Resistance. Present tensions in the Red Sea illustrate both the utility of the Houthis for Tehran’s anti-American and anti-Israel regional agenda as well as the challenges their actions can create for the Iranians.

    Houthis see domestic and regional benefit to continued Red Sea attacks
    Photo by Houthi Movement via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Houthis see domestic and regional benefit to continued Red Sea attacks

    Since the outbreak of the Israel-Hamas conflict in October, Yemen’s Houthi rebels have sought means to capitalize on the war in Gaza to raise their profile, enhance their pan-Arab legitimacy, and burnish their credentials both domestically and in the region. In their effort to insert themselves into the Gaza conflict, the Houthis believe their actions will strengthen their support base at home while also cementing their movement more firmly into the Iranian “Axis of Resistance.”

    11 يناير 2024

    The US is key to preventing an Israel-Lebanon war
    Photo by JALAA MAREY/AFP via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • The US is key to preventing an Israel-Lebanon war

    The current escalation between Israeli and Hezbollah forces necessitates immediate action from the international community to prevent a widening of the Gaza war, and the US is positioned in a leadership role to mollify tensions, beginning with diplomatic actions to stabilize the Lebanese-Israeli border, helping to pacify the broader region as a result.

    January 5, 2024

    Essential questions about the Russia-Hamas link: The evidence and its implications
    Photo by YURI KADOBNOV/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Essential questions about the Russia-Hamas link: The evidence and its implications

    As the war in Gaza continues to unfold, essential questions about Russian and Iranian support for Hamas remain. They include whether Russia played any role in providing support to Hamas ahead of its Oct. 7 attack on Israel. Evidence available from foreign-language publications in Russian, Persian, Arabic, and Hebrew, as well as those in English, provides provocative leads, which, if accurate, have serious potential implications. 

    A long courtship