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Research & Commentary Results

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673 Results
Is Erdogan misreading Putin on Libya?
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan greet each other during their talks at the Kremlin on March 5, 2020 in Moscow, Russia. Erdogan is having a one day visit to Russia to discuss the war conflcit in Syria.
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  • Is Erdogan misreading Putin on Libya?

    After Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan hammered out a deal with his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin on March 5 to bring an end to the fighting in Idlib in northwestern Syria, he said he was hopeful that the two countries could extend their cooperation to Libya.

    Black Sea conflicts: Militarization and peacebuilding
    FEBRUARY 28, 2020: A view of the Monument to the Sunken Ships during a storm on the Black Sea. Sergei Malgavko/TASS (Photo by Sergei MalgavkoTASS via Getty Images)
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  • Black Sea conflicts: Militarization and peacebuilding

    The sheer density of protracted conflicts in the Black Sea region makes it particularly exposed to the geopolitical ambitions of regional and global powers. The rapid militarization in Russia-controlled territories in recent years has only added fuel to the fire, dramatically increasing security concerns and underscoring the need for the West and its allies in the region to address the so-called frozen conflicts.

    March 5, 2020

    “People can’t even afford to buy bulgur”: Discontent is on the rise as Syria’s economic crisis worsens
    Shoppers walk through the Bzourieh market in the centre of the Syrian capital Damascus on September 11, 2019.
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  • “People can’t even afford to buy bulgur”: Discontent is on the rise as Syria’s economic crisis worsens

    The latest economic crisis in Syria is hitting the population hard. Syrians have been beset by currency depreciation, soaring prices for basic goods, and energy shortages that have left people to freeze in the harsh winter, leading to growing and increasingly vocal discontent.

    February 28, 2020

    Geopolitics and propaganda: Lessons from the Black Sea
    The Triumphal arch opposite the Government House in central Chisina, the capital of Moldova.
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  • Geopolitics and propaganda: Lessons from the Black Sea

    Since Russia’s 2014 annexation of Crimea, malign foreign influence within EU countries has been the subject of considerable scrutiny. What lessons can be learned from comparing EU and NATO members Romania and Bulgaria with partner countries Moldova and Georgia?

    Turkey’s eastern Mediterranean quagmire
    A picture taken at the port of Dilovasi, outside Istanbul, on June 20, 2019 shows the drilling ship 'Yavuz' scheduled to search for oil and gas off Cyprus, next to a warship.
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  • Turkey’s eastern Mediterranean quagmire

    The eastern Mediterranean has become an increasingly important focus for Turkey’s foreign and security policy, but the interlocking of new issues like energy politics and sovereignty rights with old problems like Cyprus has created significant challenges for Ankara.

    February 18, 2020

    As Iran heads to the polls, could Rouhani be facing impeachment?
    Iran's President Hassan Rouhani delivers a speech presenting the Islamic republic's new budget for the financial year starting late March 2020 in Tehran on December 8, 2019. - Rouhani described it as a
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  • As Iran heads to the polls, could Rouhani be facing impeachment?

    On Feb. 21, Iranians will be voting to elect a new Majlis, the country’s unicameral Parliament. Viewed from the outside, participating in the electoral system might seem futile. While the Iranian constitution recognizes popular will, as represented by an elected president and Parliament, the whole political system operates under the supreme leader, who, although appointed by an elected clerical body (the Assembly of Experts), is, in effect, answerable to no one. The Majlis does, however, have the power to remove the president — a fate that could potentially await President Hassan Rouhani if the conservatives win a majority in the upcoming elections.

    February 11, 2020

    The Black Sea should be a US and NATO priority
    Bulgarian and NATO navi ships take part during Bulgarian-NATO military navy exercise in the Black sea, east of the Bulgarian capital Sofia, Friday, July, 10, 2015.
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  • The Black Sea should be a US and NATO priority

    The Black Sea is a very important region for NATO, and has not received the attention it deserves; a separate focused NATO strategy and support for countries in the Black Sea would send a message that the Alliance takes the region seriously.

    February 6, 2020

    As Turkey-Russia ties warm, will Georgia be left out in the cold?
    Foreign Minister of Turkey Mevlut Cavusoglu (L) meets Foreign Minister of Georgia David Zalkaliani (R) in Tbilisi, Georgia on December 23, 2019.
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  • As Turkey-Russia ties warm, will Georgia be left out in the cold?

    Turkey’s blossoming relationship with Russia has not only raised eyebrows in Washington and Western European capitals, it has also caused a great deal of discomfort in countries like Georgia that have borne the brunt of Russian aggression. A few recent scattered signals from Ankara, however, might comfort Turkey’s northeastern neighbor.

    US-Iran escalation and its implications for the South Caucasus
     Iranian President Hassan Rouhani (L) meets President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev (R) during his official visit in Baku, Azerbaijan on March 28, 2018.
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  • US-Iran escalation and its implications for the South Caucasus

    Over the past several weeks geopolitical experts have been talking a lot about what the surprise U.S. drone attack on Iranian Gen. Qassem Soleimani, head of the IRGC – Quds Force, on Jan. 3 means for the Middle East and relations between the major powers. What has received considerably less attention, however, is what Soleimani’s killing means for the South Caucasus, a region whose small size belies its strategic importance.

    January 28, 2020

    The ties that bind: The South Caucasus and the Middle East
    Turkish Foreign Affairs Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu (C), Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran, Javad Zarif (R) and Azerbaijani Minister of Foreign Affairs, Elmar Mammadyarov (L) pose for a photo prior the tripartite meeting of foreign ministers of Turkey, Azerbaijan and Iran in Istanbul, Turkey on October 30, 2018.
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  • The ties that bind: The South Caucasus and the Middle East

    As neighboring regions, the South Caucasus and the Middle East are inextricably intertwined — so much so that the former is sometimes even considered part of the Greater Middle East. While geographical proximity is the strongest driver of interconnectivity between the two regions, geopolitics, business ties, and energy interests also link countries from the South Caucasus and the Middle East and form the basis for important bilateral and regional relationships.

    January 24, 2020

    Iran’s “harsh revenge”: Is blocking the Strait of Hormuz really a plausible option?
    Iranian soldiers take part in the
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  • Iran’s “harsh revenge”: Is blocking the Strait of Hormuz really a plausible option?

    In the immediate aftermath of the assassination of Gen. Qassem Soleimani, head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps – Quds Force, on Jan. 3, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei warned the U.S. of Iran’s “harsh revenge.” There has been much speculation around the timing, location, and the type (or form) of Iran’s promised revenge. Amin Mohseni-Cheraghlou takes a closer look at the impact of the widely discussed strategy of blocking the Strait of Hormuz.

    January 23, 2020

    Turkey’s westward energy shift
    President of Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin (not seen) attend the opening ceremony of TurkStream natural gas pipeline project, at Halic Congress Center in Istanbul, Turkey on January 08, 2020.
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  • Turkey’s westward energy shift

    On Jan. 8, Turkey inaugurated the TurkStream natural gas pipeline from Russia, seemingly deepening Ankara’s ties with Moscow. However, a fuller analysis of Turkey’s current energy policies and consumption trends indicate a dramatic shift westward, away from Russia and Iran.

    January 15, 2020

    Georgia: European aspirations, Middle Eastern realities
    Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (R) and Georgia's Prime Minister Giorgi Gakharia (L) hold a joint press conference at the Presidential Complex in Ankara on October 31, 2019.
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  • Georgia: European aspirations, Middle Eastern realities

    Since regaining its independence nearly three decades ago, European aspirations have been a central part of Georgia’s political agenda and identity. But the reality is more complicated and Georgia is, in a meaningful sense, part of both greater Europe and the greater Middle East.

    January 7, 2020