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Can the IRGC-Taliban honeymoon continue? (Part 2)
Photo by TASNIM NEWS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Can the IRGC-Taliban honeymoon continue? (Part 2)

    the years leading up to the U.S. invasion of Afghanistan, the Taliban had strained relations with Iran. Tensions between the two sides escalated to the point that the Iranian government and the Quds Force actually assisted American forces during the 2001 U.S.-led invasion.

    July 30, 2021

    Can the IRGC-Taliban honeymoon continue? (Part 1)
    Photo by Sobhan Farajvan/Pacific Press/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Can the IRGC-Taliban honeymoon continue? (Part 1)

    Tehran’s policy toward the Afghan Taliban has created new clashes within Iranian government circles. These clashes recently escalated as influential hard-line media and associates of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) made public efforts to portray the Taliban in a positive light. 

    July 30, 2021

    بايدن بحاجة إلى الهدوء في العراق
  • Commentary
  • بايدن بحاجة إلى الهدوء في العراق

    لقاء الرئيس جو بايدن مع رئيس الوزراء العراقي مصطفى الكاظمي يوم الاثنين 26 يوليو/تموز لن يفتح آفاقًا جديدة، لكن الأمريكيين بدلًا من ذلك يحاولون إبراز الجوانب غير العسكرية للعلاقة الثنائية. ففي وزارة الخارجية الأمريكية في نهاية الأسبوع الماضي، قاد وزير الخارجية أنتوني بلينكن ووزير الخارجية العراقي فؤاد حسين فرقًا ناقشت التعاون المستمر في مجالات مثل الصحة العامة، حيث يدعم الأمريكيون جهود بغداد للتعامل مع تفشي فيروس كورونا. كما أعلن بلينكن يوم الجمعة الماضي عن مساعدات إنسانية أخرى بقيمة 155 مليون دولار للعراقيين النازحين داخليًا وكذلك لتجمعات اللاجئين العراقيين في الدول المجاورة.

    Hezbollah’s Regional Activities in Support of Iran’s Proxy Networks
    Photo by Marwan Naamani/picture alliance via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • Hezbollah’s Regional Activities in Support of Iran’s Proxy Networks

    As a Lebanese actor ideologically tied to Iran, Hezbollah has multiple allegiances and objectives that do not always align symmetrically. Hezbollah’s regional activities are a reflection of the group’s increasingly close alignment with Iran, rather than the interests of the Lebanese state or citizenry. Today, Hezbollah’s regional adventurism is most pronounced in its expeditionary forces deployed in Syria and elsewhere in the region, but no less important are the group’s advanced training regimen for other Shi’a militias aligned with Iran, its expansive illicit financing activities across the region, and its procurement, intelligence, cyber, and disinformation activities. Together, these underscore the scale and scope of the group’s all-in approach to transforming from one of several Lebanese militias into a regional player acting at Iran’s behest.

    July 26, 2021

    A eulogy for Iraq’s democracy
    (Photo by Arshad Mohammed/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A eulogy for Iraq’s democracy

    The idea for writing this piece came late last Tuesday as feelings ran high — the author’s included — amid scenes of patients’ charred bodies being pulled out from what remained of a burned-out coronavirus isolation ward in Nassiriya. It was originally meant to be a eulogy for those lost to Iraq’s stubborn corruption and chronic mismanagement, but it has since become a eulogy for democracy in Iraq.

    July 20, 2021

    Russian-Iranian relations under Raisi and possible post-Khamenei scenarios
    Photo by Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Russian-Iranian relations under Raisi and possible post-Khamenei scenarios

    On June 18, Ebrahim Raisi won a landslide victory in Iran’s presidential elections. After Raisi’s triumph, Maxim Suslov, the press attaché of the Russian Embassy in Tehran, transmitted a message from President Vladimir Putin congratulating Raisi on his win and pledging to strengthen Russia-Iran bilateral relations. Iranian Ambassador to Russia Kazem Jalali echoed​​​​​​​ Putin’s comments about Russia-Iran relations and noted that he was the first world leader to congratulate Raisi on his election as Iran’s next president.

    July 7, 2021

    The War at Home: The Need for Internal Security Sector Reform in Iraqi Kurdistan
  • Analysis
  • The War at Home: The Need for Internal Security Sector Reform in Iraqi Kurdistan

    The forces and agencies of Kurdistan’s Ministry of Interior and the Kurdistan Region Security Council, collectively referred to the Kurdistan Region Interior Forces, are now the region’s main security actors, but their role as instruments of partisan rivalry and enforcers of public loyalty to the political bureaus threatens the Kurdistan Region’s stability. This report makes the case that coalition security sector reform efforts should be refocused on them. Although Peshmerga reform is necessary to improve the Kurdistan Region’s ability to combat external threats, it is equally, if not more important to start the same reform within these internal forces and agencies to achieve durable stability.

    July 6, 2021

    الضربات الجوية الأمريكية على الميليشيات العراقية وخطر دوامة التصعيد
  • Commentary
  • الضربات الجوية الأمريكية على الميليشيات العراقية وخطر دوامة التصعيد

    مهما كانت شدة محاولات الحكومة العراقية لتوجيه البلاد بعيدًا عن الصراع الإيراني الأمريكي، فإن الميليشيات العراقية المدعومة من إيران ستظل تسحبها مجددًا لهذا الصراع

    June 29, 2021

    The promise and the pitfalls of Iraq’s tripartite New Mashreq
    Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The promise and the pitfalls of Iraq’s tripartite New Mashreq

    Sunday was a festive day in Baghdad. The last time Iraqis had received an Egyptian president 30 years ago, the region was gearing up for war and uncertainty as the late President Hosni Mubarak shuttled between Baghdad and Gulf capitals prior to Saddam Hussein’s invasion of Kuwait in 1990. The circumstances were quite different on June 27, when Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah el-Sisi and King Abdullah II of Jordan were given the red-carpet treatment at a tripartite summit marking the fourth meeting between the leaders of the three countries aiming to form a new regional alliance.

    June 29, 2021

    Russia’s careful calculus in supplying Iran with a high-tech satellite
    Photo by Iranian Defense Ministry/Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Russia’s careful calculus in supplying Iran with a high-tech satellite

    According to reporting from The Washington Post, Russia is set to provide Iran with a high-tech satellite called Kanopus-V. Russia will launch the satellite from its territory and then hand over control to an Iranian crew that received essential training in Russia. Iran will control the satellite from a newly built facility in Alborz Province, near Tehran.

    June 25, 2021

    Games without Frontiers: Renegotiating the Boundaries of Power in Iraqi Kurdistan
  • Analysis
  • Games without Frontiers: Renegotiating the Boundaries of Power in Iraqi Kurdistan

    Over the past year, intensifying political and economic conflicts between the Kurdistan Region’s two hegemonic parties, the Kurdistan Democratic Party and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, have challenged the legal and institutional order in which the Kurdistan Regional Government operates. A new generation of leadership within the parties, a fraught relationship with the federal government, and a prolonged economic crisis have strained the relationship between the two parties to its breaking point.

    June 23, 2021

    Israel's counter-Iran strategy: Significant accomplishments, but a negative trend
    Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Israel's counter-Iran strategy: Significant accomplishments, but a negative trend

    One of the first foreign policy decisions facing Israel’s new government will be if it wants to maintain or modify the policy spearheaded by Netanyahu to counter the United States’ determined effort to return to the 2015 nuclear deal with Tehran. Moreover, the new government needs to assess how successful the maximalist approach Israel has embraced since the negotiations between Iran and the great powers began about two decades ago has been, and to what extent it has pushed the international community to refrain from making concessions and compromises vis à vis Iran.

    June 23, 2021