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Monday Briefing: Will Russia and Turkey face off over Nagorno-Karabakh?
  • Commentary
  • Monday Briefing: Will Russia and Turkey face off over Nagorno-Karabakh?

    This week’s briefing on recent news and upcoming events in the region featuring Maxim A. Suchkov, Ibrahim Jalal, Eliza Campbell, Alex Vatanka, and Marvin G. Weinbaum.

    September 28, 2020

    Who owns Syria’s cultural heritage?
  • Analysis
  • Who owns Syria’s cultural heritage?

    Political manipulation of cultural heritage is a powerful tool in the armory of soft power. Syria’s President Bashar al-Assad understands this well, as does Russia’s President Vladimir Putin and Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

    September 23, 2020

    The Taliban holds the upper hand in intra-Afghan talks
    Photo by US Department of State/Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The Taliban holds the upper hand in intra-Afghan talks

    The ongoing intra-Afghan talks confirm, without a doubt, that the Taliban is negotiating from a position of remarkable strength. After being overthrown by the military of the world’s sole superpower two decades ago, the Taliban’s resurgence is a perfect example of what happens when a counterinsurgency campaign fails to eliminate its target’s safe havens. The Doha negotiations have also underlined the ugly reality of the Afghan conflict — that firepower alone cannot crush an insurgency when its narrative has some resonance with the local people.

    September 21, 2020

    Kata’ib Khattab al-Shishani: Fact or fiction?
    Photo by MOHAMMED AL-RIFAI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Kata’ib Khattab al-Shishani: Fact or fiction?

    Foreign fighters have played a major role in Syria’s ongoing conflict, with a presence in the country that numbered in the tens of thousands at its peak. One of the most mythologized sources of foreign recruits has been Chechnya, the once-separatist province of Russia’s North Caucasus that was reconquered by the Russian army in the early 2000s. Several thousand Chechen fighters traveled to Syria to fight in various opposition and Islamist factions, where their battlefield prowess made them a prized commodity among Syrian rebel militants.

    September 16, 2020

    An enduring divide: Afghanistan, Pakistan, and the Durand Line
    Photo by WAKIL KOHSAR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • An enduring divide: Afghanistan, Pakistan, and the Durand Line

    The Durand Line, as the British-Empire-drawn border that separates Afghanistan and Pakistan is known, continues to haunt the region and its leaders. On Sept. 7, Afghanistan’s first vice president, Amrullah Saleh, opened Pandora’s box by saying in an interview that “No Afghan politician of national stature can overlook the issue of Durand Line.”

    September 11, 2020

    Syria Still Matters: Charting a Strategic Approach to Syria Policy
    Photo by GEORGE OURFALIAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Syria Still Matters: Charting a Strategic Approach to Syria Policy

    Nine years of conflict in Syria has had a profoundly destabilizing effect on regional and international security. Although overarching dynamics have changed, the crisis is far from over — it is merely evolving. All of the conflict’s root causes remain in place and many have worsened. In controlling less than two-thirds of the country, the Syrian state and its Russian and Iranian backers are increasingly incapable of addressing the many challenges they face: economic collapse and inflation, fledgling insurgencies, a resurgent ISIS, a COVID crisis, and endemic corruption and mismanagement. What happens in Syria never stays in Syria. The United States cannot afford to prematurely withdraw or sustain today’s inconsistent and ill-considered policy — it must step up, re-assert its leverage, strengthen its partners, mobilize its allies, and move determinedly toward protecting American interests and helping to diplomatically resolve the crisis once and for all, creating space for foreign actors, the U.S. included, to depart Syrian soil responsibly.

    Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East
  • Analysis
  • Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East

    In a new briefing book released ahead of the U.S. elections in November, entitled Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East, MEI scholars lay out key issues across the region, highlight the U.S. interests at stake, and provide policy insights and recommendations for the path forward. 

    How is the crisis in Lebanon impacting Syria’s economy?
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • How is the crisis in Lebanon impacting Syria’s economy?

    The explosion at the Port of Beirut on Aug. 4 has resulted in a further escalation of the political and economic crisis in Lebanon. Its repercussions can already be deeply felt in neighboring Syria and are expected to take an even greater toll on the country given its complex links to Lebanon. This crisis is feeding into Syria through multiple channels and has severe implications for its ability to import goods and, ultimately, its food security.

    August 28, 2020

    What to expect from Syria’s new cabinet
    Photo by LOUAI BESHARA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • What to expect from Syria’s new cabinet

    On Aug. 25, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad tasked Hussein Arnous with forming a new cabinet. What should we expect from it? Ayman Abdel Nour highlights 12 important considerations that will factor into its makeup.

    August 28, 2020

    Strategic pause: What explains Russia’s inertia in eastern Syria?
    Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Strategic pause: What explains Russia’s inertia in eastern Syria?

    Moscow has been scaling down its activities in eastern Syria and the most likely reason for this inertia lies in Moscow’s reluctance to be associated with actors seeking to erode the quasi-autonomy of the Trans-Euphrates region. Instead, Russia prefers to stand to the side and watch events unfold, while contemplating the right moment to jump in as a mediator and reap the political rewards.

    Assad tends to his base by making amends with the Makhloufs
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Assad tends to his base by making amends with the Makhloufs

    Reports emerged this week that President Bashar al-Assad traveled on Sunday to his ancestral hometown and Alawi stronghold of Qardaha for a meeting with members of the powerful Makhlouf family.

    August 26, 2020

    Hurdles on the road to peace in Afghanistan
    Photo by National Security Council of Afghanistan/Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images 
  • Commentary
  • Hurdles on the road to peace in Afghanistan

    The hurdles encountered in kick-starting the intra-Afghan talks seem to be more daunting than anticipated. This has not only delayed a process that was scheduled to begin immediately after the Doha agreement in February, but has also underlined the bumpy road that lies ahead for various stakeholders to reach a consensus on Afghanistan’s national destiny.

    August 26, 2020