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Research & Commentary Results

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The role of algorithms in the persistent US-Iranian impasse
Costfoto/Barcroft Media via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The role of algorithms in the persistent US-Iranian impasse

    Even if we assume that there is goodwill between the U.S. and Iran to improve relations, the power of algorithms will place major stumbling blocks in the way of efforts toward future normalization. A priori programming of foreign policy options and lines of argument have led to immutable algorithms causing the relationship between the two countries to calcify. On both sides, the key personalities who define national security, interpret events, and shape policies toward one another have had virtually no direct contact or experiences with each other’s country. They interpret events, extract meanings, react to one another, and delineate policies through prisms, images, metaphors, binaries, groupthink, and in the lexicon of artificial intelligence, algorithms.

    April 16, 2021

    The China-Iran deal and the reinvention of the Iranian revolution
    Photo by THOMAS PETER/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The China-Iran deal and the reinvention of the Iranian revolution

    The announcement of the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership (CSP), a 25 year-long economic and development agreement between China and Iran, has immediately added to the intensifying discourse concerning US-China Geostrategic Competition. Nonetheless, a closer look at its implications suggests that it may be useful in achieving some U.S. goals with Iran: particularly regime modernization.

    13 أبريل 2021

    فيما يتعلق بإحياء خطة العمل الشاملة المشتركة، لدى روسيا خطة ذات مسار مزدوج ومصلحة ثلاثية الأبعاد
  • تعليق
  • فيما يتعلق بإحياء خطة العمل الشاملة المشتركة، لدى روسيا خطة ذات مسار مزدوج ومصلحة ثلاثية الأبعاد

    “يبدو الحفاظ على النسخة الأصلية من “خطة العمل الشاملة المشتركة” هو أفضل السُبُل لروسيا لمواءمة هذه الاعتبارات الثلاثة”.

    April 7, 2021

    Reflecting on the global effort to fight violence against women
    Photo by HAIDAR HAMDANI/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Reflecting on the global effort to fight violence against women

    On March 8, the world came together to celebrate International Women’s Day (IWD), a barometer of annual development on global gender equality. This year, violence against women and women’s protection have been front and center on the political agenda across the world, including in the Middle East, as incidents of violence against them spark mass mobilization and anger from citizens. As civic activism grows, and citizens are increasingly politically and publicly engaged, women are fighting louder and harder than ever before to be a central voice in broader calls to action.

    March 30, 2021

    Political risk vs. risk to force: How policy decisions impact risk and capability in partner operations
    Photo by BULENT KILIC/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Political risk vs. risk to force: How policy decisions impact risk and capability in partner operations

    Operation Inherent Resolve (OIR) is the U.S. military’s name for the international intervention to defeat ISIS in Syria and Iraq starting in 2014. While OIR has been a success, it has necessarily been imperfect. Throughout the campaign, cost-benefit calculations made by policymakers led to missed opportunities and possibly a longer conflict. These decisions will have lasting repercussions that could undermine the hard-won victory against ISIS, as well as the ability to partner in future interventions. In particular, the United States mishandled its partner relationships in the war to defeat ISIS. Political considerations apparently won out against supporting and sustaining the SDF, our military partner forces.

    ندرة المياه مشكلة إقليمية وتحتاج إلى حل إقليمي
  • تعليق
  • ندرة المياه مشكلة إقليمية وتحتاج إلى حل إقليمي

    “بينما تعد ندرة المياه في إيران وبقية دول الشرق الأوسط مشكلة طويلة الأمد، فإن بعض الجهود للتعامل معها تبدو محاولات يائسة ولم يتم التخطيط لها دائمًا بعناية”.

    Iraqi protesters’ perilous journey to the ballot box
    Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Iraqi protesters’ perilous journey to the ballot box

    With the approach of Iraq’s next parliamentary elections in October 2021, pro-reform candidates are facing troubling obstacles as they prepare to compete against the country’s establishment parties, which include armed militias that have dominated Iraq’s parliament since 2018. To ensure a fair electoral playing field, reformers are asking the international community to quickly step up elections-related assistance and planned oversight, as well as publicly reaffirm a readiness to call out observed violations.

    March 22, 2021