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Lebanon is standing on one leg; the US needs to support it
Photo by ANWAR AMRO/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Lebanon is standing on one leg; the US needs to support it

    Over the past decade, the two main pillars of Lebanon’s stability have been the country’s army and its banking sector. Today one of those pillars — the banking sector — has all but fallen and Lebanon is standing on one leg: its army.

    July 15, 2020

    The eastern Mediterranean heats up as conflicts over energy move onshore
    Photo by Mustafa Kamaci/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The eastern Mediterranean heats up as conflicts over energy move onshore

    Not too long ago, the Mediterranean was described as “NATO’s lake” — a sleepy backwater in a world dominated by conflict. Today, Israel’s quarrels with Lebanon, Palestine, and Syria are viewed — and minimized — as legacy conflicts, overshadowed by a new and unstable strategic environment centered upon competing visions of offshore energy and security in the eastern Mediterranean.

    July 14, 2020

    US-Russia rift exacerbates Afghanistan’s crisis of confidence
    Photo by MANNY CENETA/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • US-Russia rift exacerbates Afghanistan’s crisis of confidence

    Multiple signs point to a crisis of confidence in Afghanistan. Ever since the publication of a sensational report alleging that a Russian military intelligence unit secretly offered bounties to the Taliban to kill American soldiers, there has been an intense debate about the possibility of peace in Afghanistan following the U.S. exit.

    July 10, 2020

    A way forward for the United States and Turkey
  • Analysis
  • A way forward for the United States and Turkey

    Turkish-US relations, while fraught with tension, must also align with a mutual interest in stability in the Middle East and preventing the spread of weapons of mass destruction.

    July 8, 2020

    For Palestinians, annexation spells further erasure of their history
    THOMAS COEX/AFP/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • For Palestinians, annexation spells further erasure of their history

    With the impending U.S.-supported annexation of West Bank territory, Palestinians living in these designated areas stand to lose not only their long-held aspirations for an independent state, but further eradication of their presence — a “spacio-cide” — in support of an Israeli-envisaged demographic and political vision.

    July 8, 2020

    From Dependents To Allies: America's Gulf Relations Need Reform
  • Analysis
  • From Dependents To Allies: America's Gulf Relations Need Reform

    During three major crises, each happening under a different administration, the U.S.-Gulf partnership failed to effectively address the security concerns of the Gulf states. While no partnership is perfect, such major and persistent breakdowns in coordination among longstanding security partners are uncommon, and can be deadly if left unresolved.

    July 7, 2020

    Without real consequences, annexation may be inevitable
    Photo by AHMAD GHARABLI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Without real consequences, annexation may be inevitable

    Despite the mixed signals from Israeli and U.S. officials, some form of annexation in the coming weeks or months may be inevitable.

    June 29, 2020

    Gulf regimes may oppose annexation, but they helped bring it about
    Photo by AHMAD GHARABLI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Gulf regimes may oppose annexation, but they helped bring it about

    Leaders of Arab Gulf regimes now decry the attempt to implement the vision of the Israeli Right, which aims to prevent the establishment of a Palestinian state. But it is exactly the policies of the Arab Gulf regimes, through their normalization of ties with Israel at the expense of the Palestinians, that directly contributed to the rise of the Israeli Right and made this annexation more likely.

    June 24, 2020

    The Syrian Regime’s Combat Losses in Spring 2020, and What Lies Ahead
    Photo by AAREF WATAD/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Syrian Regime’s Combat Losses in Spring 2020, and What Lies Ahead

    After a brief but deadly Turkish offensive in Idlib, a new phase of the Syria war began on March 5 with the signing of a Turkish-Russian cease-fire deal. Reported deaths dropped drastically following the cease-fire, and this spring has been defined by the slow attrition of pro-regime forces due to the two ingoing insurgencies in south and central Syria and the two frozen frontlines in the northwest and northeast.

    June 19, 2020

    Russia in the Black Sea
  • Analysis
  • Russia in the Black Sea

    The Black Sea sits at an important economic and civilizational crossroads on the Eurasian landmass. The region contains oil and gas resources, key energy pipelines, shipping lanes, and fiber-optic cables. For Russia, the Black Sea is of particular importance for economic and geostrategic reasons.

    June 18, 2020

    Netanyahu and annexation: Will he or won’t he?
    Photo by GALI TIBBON/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Netanyahu and annexation: Will he or won’t he?

    A somewhat surprising assortment of organizations and interest groups are lining up to oppose annexation, alongside the usual opponents.

    June 15, 2020