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Research & Commentary Results

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“People can’t even afford to buy bulgur”: Discontent is on the rise as Syria’s economic crisis worsens
Shoppers walk through the Bzourieh market in the centre of the Syrian capital Damascus on September 11, 2019.
  • التحليل
  • “People can’t even afford to buy bulgur”: Discontent is on the rise as Syria’s economic crisis worsens

    The latest economic crisis in Syria is hitting the population hard. Syrians have been beset by currency depreciation, soaring prices for basic goods, and energy shortages that have left people to freeze in the harsh winter, leading to growing and increasingly vocal discontent.

    February 28, 2020

    How can Egypt capitalize on its start-up boom?
    Social entrepreneur, Amr Sobhy, CEO of Pushbots, works in the office space at Flat6Labs on November 7, 2012 in Cairo, Egypt.
  • التحليل
  • How can Egypt capitalize on its start-up boom?

    There has been a largely overlooked yet significant trend in entrepreneurship in Egypt, the Arab world’s most populous country. Much of this has been concentrated in the country’s two main economic centers, Cairo and Alexandria, but there are also signs of a broader and more inclusive trend. Despite this boom, few start-ups seem to have left much of a mark beyond the early development stages. A lack of access to finance has long been recognized as a key obstacle, yet the approaches taken by the government and international development lenders have proven largely ineffective. If this, along with other obstacles, can be addressed, the country’s nascent start-up scene could become a catalyst for economic development.

    February 20, 2020

    Turkey’s eastern Mediterranean quagmire
    A picture taken at the port of Dilovasi, outside Istanbul, on June 20, 2019 shows the drilling ship 'Yavuz' scheduled to search for oil and gas off Cyprus, next to a warship.
  • التحليل
  • Turkey’s eastern Mediterranean quagmire

    The eastern Mediterranean has become an increasingly important focus for Turkey’s foreign and security policy, but the interlocking of new issues like energy politics and sovereignty rights with old problems like Cyprus has created significant challenges for Ankara.

    February 18, 2020

    Green financing in Egypt
    Construction of ministerial buildings at the governmental district in the new administrative capital, some 50 km east of the capital Cairo, on March 7, 2019.
  • التحليل
  • Green financing in Egypt

    The green movement has been slow to catch on in Egypt, but the January announcement by the Egyptian government that it is finalizing plans to launch the country’s first green bonds could provide the financial incentives to further promote sustainable development. “Sustainability” is one of the fastest growing sectors globally, estimated to reach as much as $12 trillion annually by 2030.

    February 11, 2020

    China plays the long game on Syria
    BEIJING, Nov. 22, 2019 -- Chinese Vice President Wang Qishan meets with a delegation of Syria's Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party, led by Helal Helal, deputy general secretary of the ruling party, in Beijing, capital of China, Nov. 22, 2019.
  • التحليل
  • China plays the long game on Syria

    Since the beginning of the Syrian civil war in 2011, many analysts have examined the role played by a handful of key outside actors, such as Russia, Iran, Turkey, and the member states of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). Yet China has received comparatively little attention in most discussions about the Syrian crisis. A deeper look at Sino-Syrian relations and Beijing’s policies vis-à-vis Syria is long overdue as this bilateral relationship is set to become increasingly important to both China’s ambitious foreign policy as well as the Syrian government’s vision for reconstruction and redevelopment.

    February 10, 2020

    Damascus battles economic collapse as the Syrian pound plummets
    A merchant counts Syrian pound notes, bearing a portrait of the Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, at the Bzourieh market in the centre of the Syrian capital Damascus on September 11, 2019.
  • التحليل
  • Damascus battles economic collapse as the Syrian pound plummets

    Faced with the threat of further sanctions, a volatile situation in neighboring Lebanon, and a brutally tough winter, the only thing currently rising from the embers of war-torn Syria is the value of the dollar against the struggling Syrian pound. This marks the beginning of a dangerous new phase in the Syrian conflict as the government, fresh from its eight-year-long war for survival, tries to fend off an economic collapse from within. 

    Why Jordan was so quick to reject Trump’s peace plan
    Thousands of Jordanians protested on Friday against President Trump's Middle East Peace Plan on January 31, 2020 in Amman, Jordan.
  • التحليل
  • Why Jordan was so quick to reject Trump’s peace plan

    Jordan’s response to President Donald Trump’s so-called “deal of the century” has been quick and unequivocal. Less than an hour after the release of the peace plan at a White House ceremony on Jan. 28, Jordanian Foreign Minister Ayman Safadi issued a statement in which he reiterated Amman’s support for the two-state solution and the Arab Peace Initiative (API) as the only path to a just and lasting settlement to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, without referring directly to the Trump proposal.

    February 3, 2020

    Arab states unanimously reject Trump plan
    Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas (3rd-L) and Palestine Liberation Organisation (PLO) Secretary-General Saeb Erekat (2nd-L) look on as Arab League Secretary-General Ahmed Aboul Gheit (L) reads a statement during an Arab League emergency meeting discussing the US-brokered proposal for a settlement of the Middle East conflict, at the league headquarters in the Egyptian capital Cairo on February 1, 2020.
  • تعليق
  • Arab states unanimously reject Trump plan

    The communiqué, while largely symbolic, was nonetheless a major victory for Abbas’ beleaguered leadership.

    February 3, 2020

    Iraq’s protests: Durability and sustainability
    Iraqi students, waving national flags, join anti-government protests in the Shiite shrine city of Najaf in central Iraq on January 28, 2020.
  • التحليل
  • Iraq’s protests: Durability and sustainability

    The protest movement in Iraq is now entering its fourth month. The protests raging across most of the south of the country have remained non-sectarian in their tone and message, and the movement is steadfast in its rejection of the political order, and all members of the political elite.

    January 31, 2020

    Trump's "Peace Plan"
    معهد الشرق الأوسط
  • Podcast
  • Trump's "Peace Plan"

    Khaled Elgindy and Michael Koplow join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the long-awaited “deal of the century” Middle East peace plan. President Trump rolled the plan out at the White House on Tuesday with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in attendance, while the Palestinians, who have refused to deal with the administration since it recognized Jerusalem as Israel’s capital at the end of 2017, were not there – and not invited. How has it been received so far, and where might things go from here?

    January 31, 2020

    Lebanon’s inconvenient truths
    BEIRUT, LEBANON - JANUARY 16: An anti-government protester bangs a pan as they demonstrate ahead of the expected naming of a new cabinet tomorrow by Prime Minister Designate Hassan Diab, on January 16, 2020 in Beirut, Lebanon.
  • التحليل
  • Lebanon’s inconvenient truths

    By any objective standard, the Lebanese protest movement has failed. This is not necessarily an indictment against it. Rather, it’s a reality one cannot and should not ignore. The responsible thing to do now is to try to understand why it has fallen flat, despite more than 100 days of demonstrations in various regions of the country including the capital, Beirut. 

    First, a word of solace. In the annals of history, the Lebanese are in good company as most uprisings and revolutions failed to attain their goals. And even when they did, success either didn’t last long or was completely reversed due to counterrevolutions and other spoilers, both foreign and domestic.

    January 29, 2020

    US-Iran escalation and its implications for the South Caucasus
     Iranian President Hassan Rouhani (L) meets President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev (R) during his official visit in Baku, Azerbaijan on March 28, 2018.
  • التحليل
  • US-Iran escalation and its implications for the South Caucasus

    Over the past several weeks geopolitical experts have been talking a lot about what the surprise U.S. drone attack on Iranian Gen. Qassem Soleimani, head of the IRGC – Quds Force, on Jan. 3 means for the Middle East and relations between the major powers. What has received considerably less attention, however, is what Soleimani’s killing means for the South Caucasus, a region whose small size belies its strategic importance.

    January 28, 2020