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Iran and Russia: A tale of unfulfilled economic potential
Iran's Minister of Economic Affairs and Finance, Masoud Karbasian (L) and Russias Energy Minister Alexander Novak shake hands at a signing ceremony following a meeting of the Russian-Iranian intergovernmental commission for trade and economic cooperation at Moscow's President Hotel
  • Analysis
  • Iran and Russia: A tale of unfulfilled economic potential

    The outbreak of a Russian-Saudi oil price war earlier this month might offer some comfort to Iran, a country which has in recent years become unnerved by the increasingly close ties between Moscow and Riyadh. However, it is premature to see an Iranian geopolitical win emerging from the Russian-Saudi spat, and history should give Tehran plenty of reservations about Moscow’s ability to deliver on its economic promises to Iran. While Iran and Russia will likely continue to pay lip-service to the idea of an economic partnership, each side will remain preoccupied with larger concerns. This is a tale of unfulfilled economic potential.  

    Normalizing Houthi gains in Yemen puts Marib at serious risk
    Houthi fighters gather on a vehicle in a recently captured area following heavy fighting with forces loyal to the internationally recognized government on March 2, 2020 in Al-Jawf province, Yemen.
  • Analysis
  • Normalizing Houthi gains in Yemen puts Marib at serious risk

    Just a week after Houthi rebels took control of al-Hazm, the capital of al-Jawf Province, on March 1, UN Special Envoy for Yemen Martin Griffiths paid an unprecedented, one-day visit to the Houthis’ likely next target, oil-and-gas-rich Marib, reiterating the urgent need for de-escalation.

    March 16, 2020

    Shifting US strategy in Iraq
    A partial view of the Iraqi capital Baghdad is reflected in the visor of a US Army helicopter crew member as he looks out of a Chinook helicopter flying from the US Embassy to Baghdad International airport, following the helicopter of US secretary of State Mike Pompeo, on January 9, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Shifting US strategy in Iraq

    The United States has missed a valuable opportunity to use its influence in Iraq to encourage the government to implement the reforms Iraqi protesters have been demanding over the past six months and push back on Iran.

    March 12, 2020

    The president’s time: How US-Iran relations are out of sync
     President Donald Trump speaks from the White House on January 08, 2020 in Washington, DC. During his remarks, Trump addressed the Iranian missile attacks that took place last night in Iraq and said, “As long as I am president of the United States, Iran will never be allowed to have a nuclear weapon.”
  • Analysis
  • The president’s time: How US-Iran relations are out of sync

    The Islamic Revolution of 1979 fundamentally transformed U.S.-Iran relations from a special relationship into an adversarial one. However, this has not prevented American presidents of both parties, from Ronald Reagan to Barack Obama, from reaching out to Tehran in the hope of a potential détente. There are many ideological, political, and economic factors behind the inability of Washington and Tehran to normalize their relations over the past four decades. One that has received little attention, however, is the cycle of U.S.

    March 4, 2020

    Running around in circles: How Saudi Arabia is losing its war in Yemen to Iran
    destroyed military vehicles are seen at Houthi-controlled areas following heavy fighting between them and forces loyal to the internationally recognized government on February 6, 2020 in Al-Jawf province, Yemen.
  • Analysis
  • Running around in circles: How Saudi Arabia is losing its war in Yemen to Iran

    On March 1, the Iran-backed Houthis took control of the city of al-Hazm, the capital of al-Jawf Province, after weeks of fierce clashes with local tribes and Yemeni government forces. Incompetence, lack of unified leadership, and the absence of a military strategy by the Yemeni government and the Saudi-led coalition have played into the hands of the Houthis.

    Will Iran replace its presidency with a parliamentary system?
    Iran's President Hassan Rouhani delivers a speech presenting the Islamic republic's new budget for the financial year starting late March 2020 in Tehran on December 8, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Will Iran replace its presidency with a parliamentary system?

    The results of Iran’s recent elections and preparations for the succession of Ayatollah Khamenei as supreme leader could mean that the topic of replacing Iran’s presidential system with a parliamentary one may very well be up for discussion again.

    February 27, 2020

    The UAE may have withdrawn from Yemen, but its influence remains strong
    Fighters with the UAE-trained Security Belt Forces loyal to the pro-independence Southern Transitional Council (STC) man a checkpoint near the south-central coastal city of Zinjibar in south-central Yemen, in the Abyan Governorate, on August 21, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • The UAE may have withdrawn from Yemen, but its influence remains strong

    On Feb. 9, 2020, after five years of involvement in Yemen’s civil war as part of the Saudi-led coalition, the UAE’s leadership celebrated the completion of its phased military withdrawal from the country in a ceremony at Zayed Military City. Although the UAE’s withdrawal has provided an exit strategy from the stalemate in Yemen, it neither suspends Abu Dhabi’s role in the coalition nor curtails Emirati influence on the ground.

    February 25, 2020

    Obstacles to the implementation of the Riyadh Agreement
    Yemeni Deputy Prime Minister Ahmed Saeed al-Khanbashi (R) and Southern Transitional Council (STC) representative Nasser al-Habci (L) are seen during a signing ceremony of 'Riyadh Agreement' between the Yemeni government and the United Arab Emirates (UAE)-backed separatist forces, Southern Transitional Council (STC) in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on November 05, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Obstacles to the implementation of the Riyadh Agreement

    Now that all of the implementation deadlines have come and gone, where do things stand with the Riyadh Agreement, signed in late 2019 by Yemen’s Hadi government and the Southern Transitional Council?

    February 24, 2020

    Understanding EU-MENA relations: Current and changing dynamics
    Jordanian King Abdullah II gestures as he delivers a speech at the European Parliament, on January 15, 2020, in Strasbourg, eastern France.
  • Analysis
  • Understanding EU-MENA relations: Current and changing dynamics

    This year could mark a turning point in the European Union’s relations with the countries of the MENA region. If the EU is to realize the objectives laid out in its 2016 global foreign and security policy strategy and become a major world power, it has to be more proactive and creative, especially in the Middle East.

    February 19, 2020

    From Stockholm to Riyadh: Breaking the Yemen peace process deadlock
    Rebel negotiator Mohammed Abdelsalam (C) holds a press conference together with members of the delegation following the peace consultations taking place at Johannesberg Castle in Rimbo, north of Stockholm, Sweden, on December 13, 2018. - Yemen's government and rebels have agreed to a ceasefire in flashpoint Hodeida, where the United Nations will now play a central role, the UN chief said. (Photo by Jonathan NACKSTRAND / AFP) (Photo credit should read JONATHAN NACKSTRAND/AFP via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • From Stockholm to Riyadh: Breaking the Yemen peace process deadlock

    Over the past 14 months, there have been moments when it seemed like progress was being made toward de-escalation in Yemen, but there have also been significant setbacks as well. Peace efforts thus far have been largely fragmented and frail, and two primary lessons from the past failures have become clear.

    February 13, 2020

    Iran targeted Israel’s April 2019 elections. Was it preparing for the US 2020 elections?
     Benny Gantz a former head of the IDF and head of Israel resilience party speaks to supporters in a campaign event on January 29, 2019 in Tel Aviv, Israel.
  • Analysis
  • Iran targeted Israel’s April 2019 elections. Was it preparing for the US 2020 elections?

    The April 2019 Israeli elections between incumbent Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his competitor Benny Gantz were fraught with tension even before external entities got involved. But when Israel’s internal security service, Shin Bet, revealed that suspected Iranian cyber actors had accessed Gantz’s mobile phone, there was yet another issue to contend with, albeit one not specific only to Israeli elections: interference.

    February 13, 2020