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Azerbaijani gas is now ready to flow all the way to Europe
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (3rd L) and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev (2nd L) attend the opening ceremony of the TANAP-Europe connection in Ipsala district of Edirne, Turkey on November 30, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Azerbaijani gas is now ready to flow all the way to Europe

    Turkey has completed the next-to-last piece of the 2,000-mile Southern Gas Corridor, a three-pipeline network that will send gas from Azerbaijan’s huge Shah Deniz field via Georgia and Turkey to Western Europe.

    It was such a big deal that Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, and Georgian Prime Minister Giorgi Gakharia presided at the ribbon-cutting on Nov. 30. They were celebrating the completion of the pipeline that is the middle link in the Southern Gas Corridor: the Trans-Anatolian Natural Gas Pipeline (TANAP), which traverses Turkey.

    December 11, 2019

    Turkey doubles down on Libya
    President of Turkey, Recep Tayyip Erdogan (R) meets chairman of the Presidential Council of Libya, Fayez Al-Sarraj (L) at Dolmabahce Office in Istanbul, Turkey on November 27, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Turkey doubles down on Libya

    On Nov. 27 the GNA signed an MoU with Turkey seeking to create a shared maritime boundary in the Mediterranean Sea between southwestern Turkey and northeastern Libya. In an overt quid pro quo, this maritime agreement was signed along with a separate MoU to expand security and military cooperation. Thus, it seems clear that Turkey was only able to persuade the GNA to agree to the maritime deal in exchange for increased security support for the GNA-aligned forces fighting the self-styled LNA in Tripoli.

    December 10, 2019

    Upgrading Iran’s Military Doctrine: An Offensive “Forward Defense”
    (Photo by Pool / Press Office of Iranian Supreme Leader/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Upgrading Iran’s Military Doctrine: An Offensive “Forward Defense”

    Since the 2011 “Arab Spring” uprisings, there have been several indications that Iran is shifting to an offensive military doctrine through the adoption of hybrid warfare. This essay will demonstrate that Iran’s “forward defense” doctrine emphasis on the offensive is influenced not simply by the “window of opportunity” created by regional upheaval but by a dispute about the domestic politics of the Islamic Republic between the radical Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) and the reform camp within the regime currently represented by President Hassan Rouhani. This development represents a marked setback for the “civilianization” of the Iranian state.

    December 10, 2019

    Blockchain adoption in the Gulf states
  • Analysis
  • Blockchain adoption in the Gulf states

    The subject of extensive international interest and attention over the past few years, blockchain technology is regarded as a key component of the fourth industrial revolution. This article seeks to shed light on the use of blockchain technology in the Gulf states by analyzing current trends of blockchain adoption in the region compared to those internationally. In so doing, it will determine Gulf institutions’ capacity for keeping pace with the changes and developments blockchain adoption has introduced.

    December 10, 2019

    An Israel-US defense treaty will ruin relations with Arab states
    Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (R) shakes the hand of US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo following their meeting in Jerusalem on October 18, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • An Israel-US defense treaty will ruin relations with Arab states

    Attempts by the indicted Israeli leader to railroad through a joint U.S.-Israel defense treaty in opposition to the Palestinians and other Arabs will be disastrous for America’s national interest.

    December 9, 2019

    Pakistan’s Gen. Bajwa gets an extension amid political drama
    Pakistan Army Chief General Qamar Javed Bajwa arrives to attend the Pakistan Day parade in Islamabad on March 23, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Pakistan’s Gen. Bajwa gets an extension amid political drama

    Understanding a state and its society involves understanding how the state treats its military, its record of governance, and the relationship between the military and civilian politicians. By all accounts, Pakistan, a state founded in 1947 as a homeland for the Muslim population of British India, is a unique case where the military dominates all other institutions in both state and society. This was on clear display in the recent court battle over the extension of Army Chief of Staff Gen. Qamar Javed Bajwa’s tenure.

    December 6, 2019

    Rouhani vs. the pump: Ignoring better policy alternatives, again?
    Iranians fill their vehicles at a petrol station in Tehran, on November 15, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Rouhani vs. the pump: Ignoring better policy alternatives, again?

    Faced with rapidly deteriorating public finances, Iranian policymakers had no choice but to reduce gasoline subsidies through a combination of rationing and price hikes. However, the way in which they did so was problematic, especially when they had other, better policy options that would have ensured a more equitable, effective, and efficient outcome.

    December 5, 2019

    Gen. Votel on US Policy in Afghanistan
    Middle East Institute
  • Video
  • Gen. Votel on US Policy in Afghanistan

    Gen. (Ret.) Joseph Votel discusses the role of Afghanistan in US regional strategic interests, whether a peace deal is possible with the Taliban, and how important Pakistan is to achieving a sustainable political settlement.

    December 3, 2019

    The Caucasus and the Middle East
    Georgian soldiers run during a farewell ceremony before their departure to Afghanistan in Tbilisi, June 27, 2013.
  • Analysis
  • The Caucasus and the Middle East

    For years, politics and conflicts in the Middle East have spilled over into many other regions of the world. Refugee crises, terrorism, and political instability in the Middle East have impacted foreign and domestic policy and politics in North America and Europe, but the Caucasus is much closer and, therefore, a particularly important case for policymakers in Washington and Brussels.

    December 2, 2019

    Turkey’s collision course with NATO
    President of Turkey, Recep Tayyip Erdogan (R) receives North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) Secretary General, Jens Stoltenberg (L) in Istanbul, Turkey on October 11, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Turkey’s collision course with NATO

    NATO leaders will celebrate the 70th anniversary of their alliance in London on Dec. 3 and 4. Despite soft words from NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg, however, the alliance and Turkey are on a collision course.

    US-Taliban talks are back on but little has changed
    US President Donald Trump holds a bilateral meeting with Afghan's President Ashraf Ghani at Bagram Air Field during a surprise Thanksgiving day visit, on November 28, 2019 in Afghanistan.
  • Commentary
  • US-Taliban talks are back on but little has changed

    President Donald Trump’s lightning fast roundtrip to Bagram airbase north of Kabul had its share of surprises. In addressing troops, he confirmed previous reports that talks are once again underway with the Taliban, but then went on to inject a ceasefire as a condition for a new agreement.

    A prisoner swap with the Taliban, but will it lead to anything?
    Security stands guard at the Ghani headquarters on September 29, 2019 in Kabul, Afghanistan.
  • Commentary
  • A prisoner swap with the Taliban, but will it lead to anything?

    Last week saw the Taliban’s release of two kidnapped professors in exchange for the Kabul government’s freeing of three prized Taliban prisoners. While the swap may have been necessary on humanitarian grounds, it was unfortunate otherwise. Rather than defending the swap on its own merits, Kabul and Washington are hailing the exchange as a possible breakthrough following the collapse of the Doha agreement and the stalling of planned intra-Afghan discussions.