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The intra-GCC competition over the Palestinian heart
Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas (L) meets Saudi Arabian King Salman bin Abdulaziz al-Saud (R) in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on October 15, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • The intra-GCC competition over the Palestinian heart

    Since 2017 three separate blocs have emerged within the Gulf. Driven by the region’s divisions, rival power centers, and conflicting interests, the Gulf states are playing an ever-greater role in Palestinian affairs.

    December 18, 2019

    Caesar Bill could ratchet up US sanctions on the Syrian regime and its allies
    Members of the Syrian security forces gather at the border-crossing between Albu Kamal in Syria and Al-Qaim in Iraq, on the Syrian side in the eastern region of Deir Ezzor, on September 30, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Caesar Bill could ratchet up US sanctions on the Syrian regime and its allies

    After several years of behind-the-scenes efforts, the Caesar Syria Civilian Protection Act will be signed into law in Washington. It is an extraordinarily expansive and aggressive piece of legislation, allowing for a significant expansion of sanctions against Syrian regime figures and bodies, including the Central Bank and multiple sectors of the state economy. More significantly, the “Caesar Bill” will place an expectation on the U.S. government to sanction any individual or organization anywhere in the world who provides any form of financial support to the Syrian regime that furthers its ability to repress its people.

    The Gulf looks over the cliff and retreats
     Saudi Arabian King Salman bin Abdulaziz al-Saud chairs the 40th Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) annual summit in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on December 10, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • The Gulf looks over the cliff and retreats

    The steps the Saudis have taken in 2019 may help to ease international pressure on the kingdom’s leadership and restore its image as a constructive player in the world.

    December 16, 2019

    Georgia through a Middle East lens
    This aerial photograph taken on September 22, 2018, shows The River Kura (Mtkvari) in the Georgian capital Tbilisi.
  • Analysis
  • Georgia through a Middle East lens

    Given their territorial proximity, the regional actors of the Middle East have always had an interest in Georgia and the South Caucasus as a window to Europe. The collapse of the Soviet Union brought an end to Georgia’s isolation, and in the years since the country has gradually started reclaiming its historical role as a cultural and economic crossroads between Asia, the Middle East, and Europe.

    December 16, 2019

    Blockchain adoption in the Gulf states
  • Analysis
  • Blockchain adoption in the Gulf states

    The subject of extensive international interest and attention over the past few years, blockchain technology is regarded as a key component of the fourth industrial revolution. This article seeks to shed light on the use of blockchain technology in the Gulf states by analyzing current trends of blockchain adoption in the region compared to those internationally. In so doing, it will determine Gulf institutions’ capacity for keeping pace with the changes and developments blockchain adoption has introduced.

    December 10, 2019

    Could a gas cartel become as powerful as OPEC?
  • Analysis
  • Could a gas cartel become as powerful as OPEC?

    The 12-country Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF), which held its latest meeting in Equatorial Guinea on Nov. 28, has never had OPEC’s ability to control energy prices, but that is likely to change as liquefied natural gas (LNG) transforms the gas market from a regional to a global one.  

    December 6, 2019

    The role of women in shaping Syria’s future
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • The role of women in shaping Syria’s future

    Syrian activists Sarah Hunaidi, Rafif Jouejati, and Jomana Qaddour join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the involvement and role of women in civil society and efforts to shape the country’s political future.

    November 26, 2019

    The constitutional committee must be part of a holistic Syrian peace process
    Syrian Constitutional Committe, made up of opposition, civil society and regime members gather in Geneva, Switzerland on October 30, 2019 with the UN's facilitation.
  • Analysis
  • The constitutional committee must be part of a holistic Syrian peace process

    This week marks the second round of constitutional committee negotiations in Geneva, Switzerland convened by UN Special Envoy to Syria Geir Pedersen. The committee is convened under the auspices of UNSCR 2254, which requires the drafting of a new constitution among many other important obligations. The fact that only one of those requirements is being pursued seriously by the international community is — understandably — beyond frustrating for Syrians. Attempting to solve the Syrian conflict by addressing only one of so many outstanding issues is not only a mistake, but will also do little to bring any lasting peace to this war-torn country.

    November 26, 2019

    Russia’s military police face their toughest challenge yet in north Syria
    TOPSHOT - Russian military police members stand outside an armoured personnel carrier (APC) along a road in the countryside near the northeastern Syrian town of Amuda in Hasakeh province on October 24, 2019, as part of a joint patrol between Russian forces and Syrian Kurdish Asayish internal security forces near the border with Turkey. - Russian forces have started patrols along the flashpoint frontier, filling the vacuum left by a US troop withdrawal that effectively returned a third of the country to the
  • Analysis
  • Russia’s military police face their toughest challenge yet in north Syria

    Russia’s ability to control the pace and scope of developments in Syria has been a moving target ever since its intervention four years ago. At varying times, Moscow has found itself both firmly in the driver’s seat and a helpless bystander — the latter most vividly illustrated by events such as the regular Israeli airstrikes on Russia’s Iranian and Syrian regime allies.

    November 21, 2019

    Traces of the 1979 assault on the Grand Mosque still roil the Middle East today
     Muslim pilgrims gather at the Grand Mosque in Saudi Arabia's holy city of Mecca on August 7, 2019, prior to the start of the annual Hajj pilgrimage in the holy city.
  • Commentary
  • Traces of the 1979 assault on the Grand Mosque still roil the Middle East today

    Four decades on, echoes of the November 1979 assault on the Grand Mosque in Mecca continue to reverberate. Coming on the heels of the Iranian revolution and days after the Iran hostage-taking, the Mecca attack, carried out by a group of several hundred Saudi extremist Islamists declaring a new Mahdi, shocked the Sunni world and pushed Muslims in a far more conservative direction.

    November 20, 2019

    Return to the northeast: Syrian Army deployments against Turkish forces
    Syrian government soldiers climb up a wooden pole with a Syrian government national flag while deploying for the first time in the eastern countryside of the city of Qamishli in the northeastern Hasakah province on November 5, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Return to the northeast: Syrian Army deployments against Turkish forces

    In mid-October, five years after it was expelled from most of eastern Syria as ISIS swept in, the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) returned to much of the northeast as part of a deal between the Syrian Democratic Forces and Damascus struck just days after Turkey launched an offensive against the region. By examining the distribution and make-up of units sent to the northeast we can better understand the strength of the SAA in the region and the current state of its broader deployments across the country.

    November 20, 2019

    The Saudi Aramco IPO: Short-term success, long-term loss
    A picture taken on November 3, 2019 shows a sign of Saudi Aramco's initial public offering (IPO) during a press conference by the state company in the eastern Saudi Arabian region of Dhahran.
  • Commentary
  • The Saudi Aramco IPO: Short-term success, long-term loss

    The Saudi Aramco IPO got started this Sunday morning with shares priced at SAR 30-32 ($8-8.50) each, valuing the company at $1.7 trillion, $300 billion below the original estimate. The lower valuation has been expected for some time by most investment banks and many financial analysts. The proceeds are expected to fund the Public Investment Fund’s forays into non-energy-based companies, advanced technologies, and even robot-filled cities.

    November 18, 2019