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Iran appears poised to interfere in 2020 presidential election
US President Donald Trump looks on during a rally at the Amway Center in Orlando, Florida to officially launch his 2020 campaign on June 18, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Iran appears poised to interfere in 2020 presidential election

    Lately, Iran has begun leveraging LinkedIn to hack espionage targets and has developed sophisticated disinformation campaigns to exacerbate distrust of its adversary governments.

    October 7, 2019

    Qassem Soleimani and the Iranian regime’s quest for legitimacy
    Iranian Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani (C) attends Iranian supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's (not seen) meeting with the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) in Tehran, Iran on September 18, 2016.
  • Commentary
  • Qassem Soleimani and the Iranian regime’s quest for legitimacy

    If there is one Iranian military figure that can be considered an international celebrity of sorts, it is General Qassem Soleimani. He is the head of the Quds Force, the arm of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps that operates outside of Iran’s borders. This week, he gave his first ever lengthy public interview, focusing on Iran’s role in the 2006 war between Lebanese Hezbollah and Israel.

    Iran’s attack on Saudi Arabia was ill-timed and premature
    A destroyed installation in Saudi Arabia's Abqaiq oil processing plant is pictured on September 20, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s attack on Saudi Arabia was ill-timed and premature

    On Sept. 14, the news that Saudi Arabia’s oil facilities had been attacked and damaged came as a shock. And yet, in the not too distant future, this attack will likely be regarded as a tactical mistake. Tehran has miscalculated the timing of such a spectacular attack and it’s unclear whether Iran will get another opportunity to strike such a surprise blow again.

    October 1, 2019

    After Aramco: Will halting Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia end Yemen’s war?
    Yemeni men stand with Kalashikov assault rifles during a tribal meeting in the Huthi rebel-held capital Sanaa on September 21, 2019, as tribesmen donate rations and funds to fighters loyal to the Houthis along the fronts.
  • Analysis
  • After Aramco: Will halting Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia end Yemen’s war?

    After five years of indecisive war, there is a clear desire on the part of the international community to bring the conflict in Yemen to an end, and the recent UN-endorsed Houthi initiative seems predicated on the assumption that ending the fighting between Riyadh and the Houthis would achieve this. A closer look at the situation, however, suggests this assumption is flawed.

    October 1, 2019

    The Houthis cover up for Iran. Here is why.
  • Analysis
  • The Houthis cover up for Iran. Here is why.

    Although the Houthi militia claimed the attacks on Saudi Aramco oil facilities in Saudi Arabia on September 14, experts doubt that the drones were launched from Yemen. Despite the Houthis’ affirmations and Iranian denials, investigations by the US and the Arab Coalition have demonstrated the weapons used were Iranian, and the location of the oil installations in northeastern Saudi Arabia makes them almost certainly out of range from Yemen.

    October 1, 2019

    Iraq: Key signs of progress amid ongoing challenges
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Iraq: Key signs of progress amid ongoing challenges

    MEI senior fellows Randa Slim and Robert Ford join host Alistair Taylor to discuss observations from their recent trip to Baghdad and Erbil, where they met with senior Iraqi government officials and policy experts and witnessed numerous positive developments as the country emerges from a long-standing climate of violent conflict.

    September 27, 2019

    Decentralization and its Discontents in Iraq
    Iraqis celebrate the reopening of the Green Zone
  • Analysis
  • Decentralization and its Discontents in Iraq

    Iraq’s current public service regime is struggling to deliver on desperately needed services in part due to the issue of establishing a functioning federal state system across the country. Far more attention needs to be devoted to institutions and how those operating within them can deliver those services. One way to do this is to decentralize service provision to the governorates not incorporated into a region. However, this process has been hampered by administration, fiscal, and political issues. Identifying these and seeking solutions to resolve them will be key. This paper addresses the decentralization process, specifically focusing on the issues surrounding the governorates not incorporated into a region, as per Law 21.

    September 25, 2019

    What does the Saudi oil facility attack mean for Russia?
    Employees of Aramco oil company work in Saudi Arabia's Abqaiq oil processing plant on September 20, 2019
  • Analysis
  • What does the Saudi oil facility attack mean for Russia?

    The Sept. 14 attack on key Saudi oil facilities, which knocked out over half of the kingdom’s oil production, has signaled a significant change in approach toward regional and global security. It’s clear that things won’t be the same again. But what does it mean for Russia?

    The attack reduced Saudi oil production by 5.7 million barrels per day (bpd), leading to a sharp rise in global oil prices of nearly 20%. Although this was a very important development from an energy and economic perspective, we should not underestimate the political and security ramifications either. The entire paradigm of a secure Gulf under the protection of the U.S. military umbrella has been undermined.

    September 24, 2019

    Why Iran’s leadership is opposed to US negotiations despite pressure
     Iran's religious leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei speaks during a gathering with Iranian Air Force officers and the personnel in Tehran, Iran on February 8, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Why Iran’s leadership is opposed to US negotiations despite pressure

    The unprecedented attack on critical Saudi oil infrastructure in Abqaiq and Khurais on Sept. 14 came just days after U.S. President Donald Trump’s dismissal of hawkish National Security Advisor John Bolton had opened a narrow window of diplomacy for Iran-U.S. negotiations to deescalate spiraling tensions.

    September 23, 2019

    Another missed opportunity for Iran and the US
    The President of Iran Hassan Rouhani shakes hands with UN Secretary-General António Guterres during the United Nations General Assembly at the United Nations on September 25, 2019 in New York City.
  • Commentary
  • Another missed opportunity for Iran and the US

    Iranian President Hassan Rouhani and Foreign Minister Javad Zarif do not expect to meet with senior U.S. officials in New York this week. For that to happen, President Donald Trump has to first lift the sanctions on Iran, and that is an unlikely scenario.

    Monday Briefing: Middle East takes center stage at UNGA
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: Middle East takes center stage at UNGA

    This week’s briefing on recent news and upcoming events in the region featuring Gerald Feierstein, Alex Vatanka, Eran Etzion, Gonul Tol, Amal Kandeel, Marvin G. Weinbaum, Michael Sexton and Eliza Campbell.

    US considers a second cyber attack on Iran
    he seals of the U.S. Cyber Command, the National Secrity Agency and the Central Security Service greet employees and visitors at the campus the three organizations share March 13, 2015 in Fort Meade, Maryland.
  • Commentary
  • US considers a second cyber attack on Iran

    The Trump administration is reportedly considering launching another cyber attack against Iran to deter it from further aggression in the region.

    September 23, 2019

    From regime change to rapprochement? Turkey’s shifting Syria policy
    President of Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdogan (C), President of Russia Vladimir Putin (L) and President of Iran Hassan Rouhani (R) shake hands as they pose for a photo after a joint press conference following the Turkey-Russia-Iran trilateral summit at Cankaya Mansion in Ankara, Turkey on September 16, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • From regime change to rapprochement? Turkey’s shifting Syria policy

    At a trilateral summit in Ankara earlier this week, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan sat back and ate treats as Iranian President Hassan Rouhani told the world that efforts to topple the Assad regime have failed. The scene was a stark reminder of how far Turkey’s Syria policy has shifted.

    An attack against all in the Middle East
    Smoke billows from an Aramco oil facility in Abqaiq about 60km (37 miles) southwest of Dhahran in Saudi Arabia's eastern province on September 14, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • An attack against all in the Middle East

    Saudi Arabia is under direct assault, and America’s response is muted. Despite U.S. President Donald Trump’s verbal threats against Iran, which is behind the attack, he’s not seriously contemplating using force. What’s most urgent now for U.S. policymakers is how to prevent this from happening again and how to most effectively defend U.S. partners from aggression in this still vital part of the world.

    September 19, 2019