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The Syrian Conflict and the Ascendancy of the Lebanese Armed Forces
  • Analysis
  • The Syrian Conflict and the Ascendancy of the Lebanese Armed Forces

    In the past, the Lebanese Armed Forces’ (LAF) inability to confront or deter Israel was reflected as political weakness for the Lebanese government vis-à-vis Hezbollah. Israel’s withdrawal from south Lebanon in 2000 heralded a growing political role for Hezbollah. This role was further enhanced by the 2006 war with Israel, with Hezbollah claiming victory and consolidating its influence within the LAF and the government.

    November 25, 2014

    Can Nidaa Tounes Lead Tunisia?
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Can Nidaa Tounes Lead Tunisia?

    Tunisia will hold its first presidential elections on Sunday, November 23. Main candidates include former Interim Prime Minister Beji Caid Essebsi of the Nidaa Tounes Party, Moncef Marzouki of the Congress for the Republic (CPR), and Mustapha Kamel Nabli, a former governor of the Central Bank of Tunisia. The Islamist Ennahda party did not present a candidate, wrongly assuming that it would regardless become the strongest voice in politics.

    November 21, 2014

    Democracy Promotion: Obama's Mixed Record
  • Analysis
  • Democracy Promotion: Obama's Mixed Record

    This paper is part of an MEI scholar series, titled “Obama’s Legacy in the Middle East: Passing the Baton in 2017.” Click here to view the full project, or navigate using the table of contents to the right.

    Current Situation

    November 19, 2014

    Hezbollah: In Syria for the Long Haul
  • Analysis
  • Hezbollah: In Syria for the Long Haul

    As Syrian President Bashar al-Assad gazes across Damascus from his palace on Mount Qasioun, he can be grateful to his Russian, Iranian, and Hezbollah allies that he is still in a position to enjoy such a view.

    November 18, 2014

    Obama and the Maghreb in the Wake of the Arab Spring
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Obama and the Maghreb in the Wake of the Arab Spring

    This paper is part of an MEI scholar series, titled “Obama’s Legacy in the Middle East: Passing the Baton in 2017.” Click here to view the full project, or navigate using the table of contents to the right.

    November 7, 2014

    Why Kobani could be an opportunity for Turkey, the Kurds and the U.S.
  • Analysis
  • Why Kobani could be an opportunity for Turkey, the Kurds and the U.S.

    Read the full article on CNN.

    In the space of just 48 hours last week, Turkey went from calling the PYD — the Kurds defending the Syrian border town of Kobani — a terrorist group to opening up an arms corridor from Iraq to aid its fight against ISIS.

    Despite Elections, Transitional Justice Still Elusive in Tunisia
  • Analysis
  • Despite Elections, Transitional Justice Still Elusive in Tunisia

    This essay is part of the Middle East-Asia Project (MAP) series on “Pathways to Transitional Justice in the Arab World — Reflections on the Asia Pacific Experience.” The series explores the pursuit of transitional justice in the post-Arab Spring Middle East, and how such efforts could be informed by past and ongoing justice processes in Asia-Pacific countries. See Resources …


     

    October 24, 2014

    The Tunisian Elections: Toward an Arab Democratic Transition
  • Analysis
  • The Tunisian Elections: Toward an Arab Democratic Transition

    Tunisia, the birthplace of the 2011 Arab uprisings, is on the cusp of a defining moment. The parliamentary election of October 26 is about pivoting toward democratization. Presidential elections will follow on November 23. The focus of this piece is on how the elections are likely to reshape Tunisia’s polity and society.

    Authoritarian Meltdown

    October 24, 2014

    Turkey's tough choice: Take on ISIS or the PKK?
  • Analysis
  • Turkey's tough choice: Take on ISIS or the PKK?

    Read the full article on CNN.com.

    Turkey is in a tough spot. It has ISIS militants threatening the Syrian border town of Kobani, inching ever closer to confronting Turkish security forces. In addition thousands of Syrian Kurds, fleeing ISIS attacks, have massed along its border, adding further to Ankara’s troubles.

    Remember Our Syrian Allies
  • Analysis
  • Remember Our Syrian Allies

    This article was first published in The New York Times.

    President Obama made the right decision to boost military aid to moderate Syrian rebels last year, but today America’s approach to attacking Islamic State fighters risks undermining the moderate opposition and alienating support among the Syrian public.