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Déjà vu all over again: The three “I”s of gasoline subsidies and social unrest in Iran
An Iranian man checks a scorched gas station that was set ablaze by protesters during a demonstration against a rise in gasoline prices in Eslamshahr, near the Iranian capital of Tehran, on November 17, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Déjà vu all over again: The three “I”s of gasoline subsidies and social unrest in Iran

    Adding to the backdrop of economic mismanagement, corruption, and increasing rates of poverty and inequality, the recent gasoline rationing and price hikes have ignited widespread and violent protests inside Iran. Despite recent changes, the country’s energy subsidy regime remains highly inequitable, ineffective, and inefficient.

    November 25, 2019

    A prisoner swap with the Taliban, but will it lead to anything?
    Security stands guard at the Ghani headquarters on September 29, 2019 in Kabul, Afghanistan.
  • Commentary
  • A prisoner swap with the Taliban, but will it lead to anything?

    Last week saw the Taliban’s release of two kidnapped professors in exchange for the Kabul government’s freeing of three prized Taliban prisoners. While the swap may have been necessary on humanitarian grounds, it was unfortunate otherwise. Rather than defending the swap on its own merits, Kabul and Washington are hailing the exchange as a possible breakthrough following the collapse of the Doha agreement and the stalling of planned intra-Afghan discussions.

    Traces of the 1979 assault on the Grand Mosque still roil the Middle East today
     Muslim pilgrims gather at the Grand Mosque in Saudi Arabia's holy city of Mecca on August 7, 2019, prior to the start of the annual Hajj pilgrimage in the holy city.
  • Commentary
  • Traces of the 1979 assault on the Grand Mosque still roil the Middle East today

    Four decades on, echoes of the November 1979 assault on the Grand Mosque in Mecca continue to reverberate. Coming on the heels of the Iranian revolution and days after the Iran hostage-taking, the Mecca attack, carried out by a group of several hundred Saudi extremist Islamists declaring a new Mahdi, shocked the Sunni world and pushed Muslims in a far more conservative direction.

    November 20, 2019

    Why Doha should worry: The case for an Iran-Qatar non-aggression pact
    Westbay as seen from the corniche on 20 October 2018 after heavy rainfall, Doha, Qatar.
  • Analysis
  • Why Doha should worry: The case for an Iran-Qatar non-aggression pact

    Fears of a large-scale war in the Middle East remain heightened as the U.S. continues ratcheting up sanctions against Iran while Tehran takes measures to scale back its restrictive commitments under the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). The latest sign of Iranian retaliation against the U.S. withdrawal from the 2015 nuclear accord was its decision, confirmed by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) on Nov. 11, to begin refining uranium at its Fordow underground enrichment facility.

    November 20, 2019

    Setting the Middle Corridor on track
    China Railway Express crosses Istanbul's sub-sea tunnel, Marmaray (the railway system linking the eastern and western sides of Istanbul from under the Marmara Sea) in Istanbul, Turkey on November 7, 2019. The first freight train from China crossed to Europe using Marmaray.
  • Analysis
  • Setting the Middle Corridor on track

    China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has been a powerful driver of the development of existing and new Eurasian rail routes. A web of competing and complementary rail lines has begun to form across the Eurasian landmass. Railway cargo service between China and Europe has fast become a compelling “middle option” — cheaper than air and faster than sea.

    Iran, Russia and the Caucasus
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Iran, Russia and the Caucasus

    Brenda Shaffer (Georgetown University), Anna Borshchevskaya (Washington Institute for Near East Policy), and Alex Vatanka (MEI) join host Alistair Taylor to discuss how the dynamics between Russia and Iran are playing out in the Caucasus, and what it means for the countries of the region.

    November 18, 2019

    Iran protests take aim at the regime
    Iranian protesters gather around a burning motorcycle during a demonstration against an increase in gasoline prices in the central city of Isfahan, on November 16, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Iran protests take aim at the regime

    On the surface the latest protests in Iran appear to be not that different from the previous ones in late 2017 and early 2018. In reality, however, things are quite different this time around, and the Iranian authorities are deeply alarmed.

    Iranian government cuts internet access amid protests
    A man looks at a smartphone in his hand while walking outside along a street in the Iranian capital Tehran on November 17, 2019. - Iran's supreme leader on November 17 threw his support behind a decision to hike petrol prices, a move that sparked nationwide unrest in which he said
  • Commentary
  • Iranian government cuts internet access amid protests

    Amid widespread protests over an abrupt decision to hike gasoline prices by 50 percent, Iran’s internet is out again. The government cut access in what is widely seen as an attempt to stem the flow of information, pictures, and videos of protests that reportedly took place in at least 100 cities and towns and involved an estimated 87,000 Iranians.

    November 18, 2019

    Punching above their weight: Cyber lessons for small states
    The NATO Cooperative Cyber Defence Centre of Excellence (CoE) in Tallinn, Estonia, 14 April 2015.
  • Analysis
  • Punching above their weight: Cyber lessons for small states

    The role of cybersecurity in the future of geopolitics in the Middle East and the surrounding regions will have much to do with individual state and enterprise preparedness. With cyber threats a growing source of interstate tension, governments must take measures to increase national cyber preparedness that are tailored to their vulnerabilities and cyber ecosystems. Israel and Estonia are examples of states that prove this rule. Despite their relatively small size, both have demonstrated an exceptional capacity to deter or defend against cyber aggression from their much larger, more aggressive neighbors.

    November 18, 2019

    Balance in the Black Sea: The complex dynamic between Turkey, Russia, and NATO
    Russian Tapir class landing warship BSF Nikolay Filchenkov 152 passes the Bosphorus Strait off Istanbul on October 18, 2016.
  • Analysis
  • Balance in the Black Sea: The complex dynamic between Turkey, Russia, and NATO

    Turkey’s relations with its Western allies are at an all-time low while its partnership with Russia is flourishing. Since Russia began delivery of its S-400 advanced aerial defense system in July, questions have abounded about Turkey’s future in the NATO alliance. Such concerns are not baseless. Turkey-Russia ties have never been closer. The two countries cooperate closely not only on energy and trade but also in the defense sector. But fears of a Turkish withdrawal from the alliance overlook the continued tension between Ankara and Moscow, which makes NATO an indispensable partner for Turkey.

    Iranian hacking and US election cybersecurity
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Iranian hacking and US election cybersecurity

    Emerson T. Brooking of the Digital Forensics Research Lab at the Atlantic Council and Steph Shample of Flashpoint join guest host Mike Sexton, director of MEI’s Cyber Program, to discuss several recent investigations into Iranian and Russian hacking and disinformation campaigns that have targeted US politics and other international organizations.

    November 15, 2019

    Pakistan’s anti-government protests put Khan in a bind
    Activists and supporters of Islamic political party Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam (JUI-F) attend an anti-government
  • Analysis
  • Pakistan’s anti-government protests put Khan in a bind

    Pakistan’s capital, Islamabad, has been paralyzed in recent days by supporters of Maulana Fazlur Rehman and his Jamiat-Ulema-e-Islam (JUI-F), a well-entrenched Islamist party. The protestors are seeking the resignation of the military-backed Prime Minister Imran Khan and fresh elections, and the demonstration has emerged as an existential problem for Khan.

    November 9, 2019

    The fall of the other wall
    The US Department of State building is seen in Washington, DC, on July 22, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • The fall of the other wall

    With the fall of the Berlin Wall 30 years ago, ties between Western and Eastern Europe were renewed. In the same period, another wall crumbled — between the Middle East and the former Soviet states. And yet, to this day, U.S. national security institutions continue to view these two regions through a Cold War lens, separating how they are handled. This approach needs to change; integrating research and policy toward the Middle East and the bordering states of the former Soviet Union would improve analytical understanding and help identify new policy options.