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Iran's Internet Shutdown
Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Iran's Internet Shutdown

    Researcher Mahsa Alimardani and MEI Cyber program director Mike Sexton join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the recent Iranian internet shutdown, its impact on protests and the nation’s economy, and what it means for the future of civil liberties in Iran and the wider region.

    December 12, 2019

    Upgrading Iran’s Military Doctrine: An Offensive “Forward Defense”
    (Photo by Pool / Press Office of Iranian Supreme Leader/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Upgrading Iran’s Military Doctrine: An Offensive “Forward Defense”

    Since the 2011 “Arab Spring” uprisings, there have been several indications that Iran is shifting to an offensive military doctrine through the adoption of hybrid warfare. This essay will demonstrate that Iran’s “forward defense” doctrine emphasis on the offensive is influenced not simply by the “window of opportunity” created by regional upheaval but by a dispute about the domestic politics of the Islamic Republic between the radical Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) and the reform camp within the regime currently represented by President Hassan Rouhani. This development represents a marked setback for the “civilianization” of the Iranian state.

    December 10, 2019

    Protests and politics in Iraq and Iran
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Protests and politics in Iraq and Iran

    Political analyst Hafsa Halawa and MEI Senior Fellow Alex Vatanka join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the political crisis in Iraq following the resignation of Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi, the protest movements that have rocked both Iraq and Iran, and the impact of Iranian impact in Baghdad on Iraq’s development going forward.

    December 6, 2019

    Rouhani vs. the pump: Ignoring better policy alternatives, again?
    Iranians fill their vehicles at a petrol station in Tehran, on November 15, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Rouhani vs. the pump: Ignoring better policy alternatives, again?

    Faced with rapidly deteriorating public finances, Iranian policymakers had no choice but to reduce gasoline subsidies through a combination of rationing and price hikes. However, the way in which they did so was problematic, especially when they had other, better policy options that would have ensured a more equitable, effective, and efficient outcome.

    December 5, 2019

    Will protests in Iran lead to negotiations with the US?
    Iranian protesters gather around a fire during a demonstration against an increase in gasoline prices in the capital Tehran, on November 16, 2019. - One person was killed and others injured in protests across Iran, hours after a surprise decision to increase petrol prices by 50 percent for the first 60 litres and 300 percent for anything above that each month, and impose rationing. Authorities said the move was aimed at helping needy citizens, and expected to generate 300 trillion rials ($2.55 billion) per
  • Analysis
  • Will protests in Iran lead to negotiations with the US?

    The protests that began in Iran in mid-November may well have a direct impact on Tehran’s relations with Washington. Initially sparked by the Iranian government’s sudden decision to raise fuel prices, the demonstrations have made clear the country’s fragile socio-economic and political situation.

    The role of women in shaping Syria’s future
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • The role of women in shaping Syria’s future

    Syrian activists Sarah Hunaidi, Rafif Jouejati, and Jomana Qaddour join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the involvement and role of women in civil society and efforts to shape the country’s political future.

    November 26, 2019

    The constitutional committee must be part of a holistic Syrian peace process
    Syrian Constitutional Committe, made up of opposition, civil society and regime members gather in Geneva, Switzerland on October 30, 2019 with the UN's facilitation.
  • Analysis
  • The constitutional committee must be part of a holistic Syrian peace process

    This week marks the second round of constitutional committee negotiations in Geneva, Switzerland convened by UN Special Envoy to Syria Geir Pedersen. The committee is convened under the auspices of UNSCR 2254, which requires the drafting of a new constitution among many other important obligations. The fact that only one of those requirements is being pursued seriously by the international community is — understandably — beyond frustrating for Syrians. Attempting to solve the Syrian conflict by addressing only one of so many outstanding issues is not only a mistake, but will also do little to bring any lasting peace to this war-torn country.

    November 26, 2019

    Déjà vu all over again: The three “I”s of gasoline subsidies and social unrest in Iran
    An Iranian man checks a scorched gas station that was set ablaze by protesters during a demonstration against a rise in gasoline prices in Eslamshahr, near the Iranian capital of Tehran, on November 17, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Déjà vu all over again: The three “I”s of gasoline subsidies and social unrest in Iran

    Adding to the backdrop of economic mismanagement, corruption, and increasing rates of poverty and inequality, the recent gasoline rationing and price hikes have ignited widespread and violent protests inside Iran. Despite recent changes, the country’s energy subsidy regime remains highly inequitable, ineffective, and inefficient.

    November 25, 2019

    Russia’s military police face their toughest challenge yet in north Syria
    TOPSHOT - Russian military police members stand outside an armoured personnel carrier (APC) along a road in the countryside near the northeastern Syrian town of Amuda in Hasakeh province on October 24, 2019, as part of a joint patrol between Russian forces and Syrian Kurdish Asayish internal security forces near the border with Turkey. - Russian forces have started patrols along the flashpoint frontier, filling the vacuum left by a US troop withdrawal that effectively returned a third of the country to the
  • Analysis
  • Russia’s military police face their toughest challenge yet in north Syria

    Russia’s ability to control the pace and scope of developments in Syria has been a moving target ever since its intervention four years ago. At varying times, Moscow has found itself both firmly in the driver’s seat and a helpless bystander — the latter most vividly illustrated by events such as the regular Israeli airstrikes on Russia’s Iranian and Syrian regime allies.

    November 21, 2019

    Traces of the 1979 assault on the Grand Mosque still roil the Middle East today
     Muslim pilgrims gather at the Grand Mosque in Saudi Arabia's holy city of Mecca on August 7, 2019, prior to the start of the annual Hajj pilgrimage in the holy city.
  • Commentary
  • Traces of the 1979 assault on the Grand Mosque still roil the Middle East today

    Four decades on, echoes of the November 1979 assault on the Grand Mosque in Mecca continue to reverberate. Coming on the heels of the Iranian revolution and days after the Iran hostage-taking, the Mecca attack, carried out by a group of several hundred Saudi extremist Islamists declaring a new Mahdi, shocked the Sunni world and pushed Muslims in a far more conservative direction.

    November 20, 2019

    Return to the northeast: Syrian Army deployments against Turkish forces
    Syrian government soldiers climb up a wooden pole with a Syrian government national flag while deploying for the first time in the eastern countryside of the city of Qamishli in the northeastern Hasakah province on November 5, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Return to the northeast: Syrian Army deployments against Turkish forces

    In mid-October, five years after it was expelled from most of eastern Syria as ISIS swept in, the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) returned to much of the northeast as part of a deal between the Syrian Democratic Forces and Damascus struck just days after Turkey launched an offensive against the region. By examining the distribution and make-up of units sent to the northeast we can better understand the strength of the SAA in the region and the current state of its broader deployments across the country.

    November 20, 2019

    Why Doha should worry: The case for an Iran-Qatar non-aggression pact
    Westbay as seen from the corniche on 20 October 2018 after heavy rainfall, Doha, Qatar.
  • Analysis
  • Why Doha should worry: The case for an Iran-Qatar non-aggression pact

    Fears of a large-scale war in the Middle East remain heightened as the U.S. continues ratcheting up sanctions against Iran while Tehran takes measures to scale back its restrictive commitments under the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). The latest sign of Iranian retaliation against the U.S. withdrawal from the 2015 nuclear accord was its decision, confirmed by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) on Nov. 11, to begin refining uranium at its Fordow underground enrichment facility.

    November 20, 2019