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Research & Commentary Results

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Smoke and mirrors: The Syrian regime's dubious anti-drug campaigns
Photo by JOSEPH EID/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Smoke and mirrors: The Syrian regime's dubious anti-drug campaigns

    The Syrian regime recently announced that it had arrested over 2,000 people in Damascus on drug-related charges during the first half of 2024. However, the relatively small amount of drugs confiscated suggests the regime is focusing on arresting users and street-level pushers rather than going after the major producers and traffickers. This highlights how the Syrian regime manipulates drug crackdowns to serve multiple agendas while ensuring the flow of illicit drugs continues uninterrupted.

    July 11, 2024

    No real alternative: The failure of opposition parties in Iraq’s Kurdistan Region
    Photo by SHWAN MOHAMMED/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • No real alternative: The failure of opposition parties in Iraq’s Kurdistan Region

    Politics in Iraq’s Kurdistan Region is centered on the ruling duopoly of the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK). Other political parties — broadly referred to as the opposition — offer themselves as alternatives to the KDP and the PUK, but are disorganized, divided, and largely unable to capitalize on public grievances about governance. At present, they do not constitute a viable alternative to the ruling parties.

    June 20, 2024

    Monday Briefing: After Gantz’s resignation, the far right reasserts dominance over the Israeli government at a particularly sensitive time
  • تعليق
  • Monday Briefing: After Gantz’s resignation, the far right reasserts dominance over the Israeli government at a particularly sensitive time

    اقرأ تقرير MEI الأسبوعي الذي يتضمن تحليلات الخبراء للتطورات الإقليمية الرئيسية للأسبوع المقبل.

    Crossroads in Idlib: HTS navigating internal divisions amid popular discontent
    Photo by OMAR HAJ KADOUR/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Crossroads in Idlib: HTS navigating internal divisions amid popular discontent

    As the world focuses on Israel’s war in Gaza, northwest Syria is undergoing a significant political upheaval that could lead to major instability. For the last three months, Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham, an armed Sunni Islamist group that governs more 4.5 million people in the Idlib region, has been facing widespread protests.

    May 13, 2024

    Syrians turn to street justice to free relatives from Assad's prisons
    Photo by SUWAYDA 24/AFP
  • التحليل
  • Syrians turn to street justice to free relatives from Assad's prisons

    In recent weeks, the southern Syrian province of Sweida has seen a series of kidnappings targeting regime military officers. Unlike the financially motivated incidents common in the region, these abductions, which occurred on April 2 and 25, stand out because they targeted individuals based on their affiliation with the regime of Bashar al-Assad rather than their personal identities. Reports suggest that Sweida residents orchestrated the abductions as a way of negotiating the release of relatives detained by the regime.

    May 8, 2024

    Iraq’s prime minister will toe a fine line in Washington visit
    Photo by Bernd von Jutrczenka/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Iraq’s prime minister will toe a fine line in Washington visit

    Prime Minister Sudani has been delicately balancing between maintaining bilateral relations with Washington and ensuring political support for his cabinet from pro-Iran hardliners in Baghdad. Both sides have conflicting expectations from the prime minister, and delivering on his promises will come down to his ability to convince each to compromise. But Sudani’s task has now become even more challenging as Iraq finds itself in the middle of direct confrontation between Iran and Israel.

    April 15, 2024

    The long rise and sudden death of jihadist leader Abu Maria al-Qahtani
    Photo by OMAR HAJ KADOUR/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The long rise and sudden death of jihadist leader Abu Maria al-Qahtani

    In a significant and surprising turn of events, on the evening of April 5, a prominent Iraqi leader in the Syrian Sunni Islamist group Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham, Maysar bin Ali al-Juburi, also known as Abu Maria al-Qahtani, was reportedly killed in an attack in Idlib’s northern countryside.

    تقرير يوم الاثنين: الولايات المتحدة وإسرائيل تتركان أسئلة مهمة دون إجابة في حرب غزة
  • تعليق
  • تقرير يوم الاثنين: الولايات المتحدة وإسرائيل تتركان أسئلة مهمة دون إجابة في حرب غزة

    اقرأ تقرير MEI الأسبوعي الذي يتضمن تحليلات الخبراء للتطورات الإقليمية الرئيسية للأسبوع المقبل.

    History rewrite: Did Saddam try to kill Bush?
    الصورة من تصوير ديانا ووكر/Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • History rewrite: Did Saddam try to kill Bush?

    In his new book, Steve Coll casts doubt on whether Iraqi intelligence had actually tried to assassinate former President George H. W. Bush in Kuwait in April 1993. If the Kuwait plot were a fabrication, it would fit yet another brick in the wall of many well documented falsehoods and misunderstandings that led to the US invasion. Unfortunately for that allegation, the plot was very likely to have been quite real.

    March 5, 2024

    Maintaining the best thing the US built in Iraq: Continued support to the Iraqi Counterterrorism Service
    Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Maintaining the best thing the US built in Iraq: Continued support to the Iraqi Counterterrorism Service

    As the US engages in a dialogue with the Iraqi government over the future of the coalition forces combating the Islamic State, Washington must ensure a continued relationship between the US Special Operations Forces and the Iraqi Counterterrorism Service.

    “Exporting its internal problems”: Understanding Iran’s January missile salvos against its neighbors
    الصورة من مورتزا نيكوبزل/نورفوتو عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • “Exporting its internal problems”: Understanding Iran’s January missile salvos against its neighbors

    In mid-January, with the war in Gaza continuing to rage on, Iran launched a series of surprise missile attacks on its immediate neighbors Iraq, Syria, and Pakistan over two days. Taken together, these attacks illustrate that the Islamic Republic puts regime survival above national interest in its foreign policy calculations, which undermines its efforts to engender solidarity and good relations with other Muslim-majority states in the region.

    February 23, 2024