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What Kobani Needs
  • Analysis
  • What Kobani Needs

    In the ongoing fighting in and around Kobani in northern Syria, it appears likely that the defending Kurdish forces will ultimately prevail and be able to expel the Islamic State (ISIS). However, in order to enable refugees to return, substantial aid and reconstruction efforts will be needed, and more benign Turkish border policies are essential in the meantime.

    Construction and Housing

    December 5, 2014

    Moving Ahead for the United States and Turkey
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Moving Ahead for the United States and Turkey

    Ankara and Washington once again are wide apart on regional objectives. Not since 2003 and, for some, not since Cyprus in 1974 have the two capitals seen the same crisis so differently. Moving back onto the same page will require a series of concrete steps. President Obama reportedly has ordered a review. One of its main objectives should be to bring Turkey and the United States closer together on goals and tasks each will undertake. The United States cannot build a stable coalition without Turkey, and Turkey cannot accomplish its aims without the United States.

    Why Kobani could be an opportunity for Turkey, the Kurds and the U.S.
  • Analysis
  • Why Kobani could be an opportunity for Turkey, the Kurds and the U.S.

    Read the full article on CNN.

    In the space of just 48 hours last week, Turkey went from calling the PYD — the Kurds defending the Syrian border town of Kobani — a terrorist group to opening up an arms corridor from Iraq to aid its fight against ISIS.

    Arab FDI “Pivots” to China
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Arab FDI “Pivots” to China

    Thanks to unprecedented current account surpluses, the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries are investing billions abroad and looking more toward the East. The GCC’s growing trade ties with China have been accompanied by encouraging development in investment relations. For these countries, investment projects in China promise access not only to large and rapidly growing energy markets, but also to other booming sectors.

    October 16, 2014

    Turkey's tough choice: Take on ISIS or the PKK?
  • Analysis
  • Turkey's tough choice: Take on ISIS or the PKK?

    Read the full article on CNN.com.

    Turkey is in a tough spot. It has ISIS militants threatening the Syrian border town of Kobani, inching ever closer to confronting Turkish security forces. In addition thousands of Syrian Kurds, fleeing ISIS attacks, have massed along its border, adding further to Ankara’s troubles.

    Gulf Investment in China: Beyond the Petroleum Sector
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Gulf Investment in China: Beyond the Petroleum Sector

    This essay explores recent GCC investment in sectors of the Chinese economy other than the petrochemicals industry and examines the challenges confronted by Gulf investors.

    October 4, 2014

    Gulf Investment: Destination Asia
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Gulf Investment: Destination Asia

    The rise of China and India, coupled with major changes in the global energy market such as the US shale revolution have shifted the Gulf countries’ economic focus towards the Asian continent. East Asia has already emerged as the GCC’s most important trade partner, accounting for over 57% of its external trade.

    October 1, 2014

    A Promising Ally in Syria
  • Analysis
  • A Promising Ally in Syria

    This article was first published on LobeLog.

    Alongside the wave of Syrian Kurdish refugees into Turkey this month is an equally unsettling story: alarming gains by the Islamic State in an offensive against a potential ally. Syria’s Kurds carved out their own regional bastion extending west from their main base in the extreme northeast corner of Syria. For two years they have fiercely defended their lands against the Islamic State and other extremists, employing many thousands of veteran Kurdish fighters.

    September 26, 2014

    Is Turkey Finally Ready to Aid Military Strikes Against ISIS?
  • Analysis
  • Is Turkey Finally Ready to Aid Military Strikes Against ISIS?

    This article was first published on CNN.

    Turkey, a key U.S. ally and a NATO member that borders the territory captured by ISIS, which now calls itself the Islamic State, in Syria and Iraq, could play a critical role in the U.S.-led military assault against the jihadist group.

    A Coalition of Uncertainty
  • Analysis
  • A Coalition of Uncertainty

    One way to grasp the immense difficulty facing President Obama as he tries to forge an effective international coalition to oppose the Islamic State is to examine the difference between this effort and the last time the United States led a diverse group of countries to take on a conflict in the Middle East: Operation Desert Storm, in 1991.

    September 15, 2014

    Turkey: A Reluctant Partner in the Fight against the Islamic State
  • Analysis
  • Turkey: A Reluctant Partner in the Fight against the Islamic State

    Last week, President Obama laid out his strategy to fight the Islamic State (also known as ISIS or ISIL). The strategy includes a systematic campaign of airstrikes; support to forces fighting ISIS on the ground, including Iraqi Security forces and the Peshmerga (the Kurdish armed forces); redoubling U.S. efforts to cut off ISIS funding; improving intelligence; strengthening defenses; and stemming the flow of foreign fighters into and out of the Middle East.

    Turkey’s Syria and Iraq Policy Hostage to Islamic State
  • Analysis
  • Turkey’s Syria and Iraq Policy Hostage to Islamic State

    As the United States struggles to mobilize a coalition of allies including Turkey behind potential military action against the Islamic State (formerly known as ISIS) in Syria, Turkey’s Iraq and Syria policies remain captive to ISIS and the 49 Turkish hostages it holds. Turkey might be key to the U.S. effort to confront ISIS, and it is in a very tough spot.