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Recent Elections and What They May Mean for the Middle East
  • Analysis
  • Recent Elections and What They May Mean for the Middle East

    Recent elections for the Israeli Knesset and American Congress may make less of a difference in the Middle East than some people think. Elections are significant indicators of national political trends, but do not always translate into changes in national security strategies. That is likely the case now in both nations.

    The Coming Debate Over the US Military Presence in the Gulf
  • Analysis
  • The Coming Debate Over the US Military Presence in the Gulf

    The war with Iran is hardly over, but the debate over the shape and nature of the post-conflict American posture in the Gulf region is just beginning. Undoubtedly, how the war ends will affect how the United States adjusts its role. While this debate is still in its early stages, something of a conventional wisdom is already developing in policy circles that could seriously compromise American influence in the Middle East.

    Curb Your Enthusiasm: Why the Midterms Might Not Change Much in US Middle East Policy
  • Analysis
  • Curb Your Enthusiasm: Why the Midterms Might Not Change Much in US Middle East Policy

    With less than a week before the midterm elections in the United States, the spotlight is on the economy and cultural divides. US foreign policy remains mostly on the sidelines, but this year’s inconclusive Iran war and its effect on America’s economy have shaped the broader political environment in this electoral cycle.

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    Recent Elections and What They May Mean for the Middle East
  • Analysis
  • Recent Elections and What They May Mean for the Middle East

    Recent elections for the Israeli Knesset and American Congress may make less of a difference in the Middle East than some people think. Elections are significant indicators of national political trends, but do not always translate into changes in national security strategies. That is likely the case now in both nations.

    The Coming Debate Over the US Military Presence in the Gulf
  • Analysis
  • The Coming Debate Over the US Military Presence in the Gulf

    The war with Iran is hardly over, but the debate over the shape and nature of the post-conflict American posture in the Gulf region is just beginning. Undoubtedly, how the war ends will affect how the United States adjusts its role. While this debate is still in its early stages, something of a conventional wisdom is already developing in policy circles that could seriously compromise American influence in the Middle East.

    Curb Your Enthusiasm: Why the Midterms Might Not Change Much in US Middle East Policy
  • Analysis
  • Curb Your Enthusiasm: Why the Midterms Might Not Change Much in US Middle East Policy

    With less than a week before the midterm elections in the United States, the spotlight is on the economy and cultural divides. US foreign policy remains mostly on the sidelines, but this year’s inconclusive Iran war and its effect on America’s economy have shaped the broader political environment in this electoral cycle.

    Iran’s New Defense Minister Is a Missile Man, Not a Military Man
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s New Defense Minister Is a Missile Man, Not a Military Man

    Mehrdad Akhlaghi was appointed defense minister in October 2026 by Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian. He is an unusual choice, as, unlike most of his predecessors, he does not come from a uniformed military background. And his appointment comes arguably at the most sensitive time in the history of the Islamic Republic.

    Who’s Calling the Shots in Tehran?
  • Podcast
  • Who’s Calling the Shots in Tehran?

    Washington says it doesn’t know who runs Iran. Tehran insists its leadership is united. MEI Senior Fellow Alex Vatanka joins hosts Alistair Taylor and Matthew Czekaj to sort out where the truth lies. They look at the small circle of political and military figures now steering the war effort in Tehran: who they are, how they make decisions, and how unified they really are. They also discuss the current state of US-Iran negotiations, the role of the upcoming midterm elections in the United States, and how the Islamic Republic is preparing for a potential renewal of conflict afterward.

    October 22, 2026

    Borrowed Time in the Strait of Hormuz
  • Analysis
  • Borrowed Time in the Strait of Hormuz

    Crude oil is flowing out of the Gulf again, but the market is no better prepared for another disruption in the Strait of Hormuz. It has assembled a temporary system for managing one. Crude exports from the Gulf, excluding Iran, returned to pre-war levels in September, while total Gulf shipments reached 15.5 million barrels a day, more than 80% of the pre-conflict volume.

    The Iran War Has Changed the World Forever
  • Analysis
  • The Iran War Has Changed the World Forever

    Many of the immediate consequences of the Israeli-American war with Iran are already clear. The further emergence of drones and missiles as dominant weapons of war; the danger to the global economy from the threats to vital chokepoints such as the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb; and the inadequacy of US weapons procurement, among other issues, have garnered widespread and entirely merited attention.

    Jordan’s Economy Weathers Iran War’s Shocks and Finds New Opportunities
  • Analysis
  • Jordan’s Economy Weathers Iran War’s Shocks and Finds New Opportunities

    In the summer of 2003, King Abdullah II told Bloomberg Jordan sits “between Iraq and a hard place,” a play on words designed to describe the kingdom’s challenging environment to an American audience amid the US-led Iraq war to the east and the lingering Palestinian-Israeli conflict to the west. Jordan is grappling with a much “harder place” today.

    The Battle for Hormuz Is Not the War
  • Analysis
  • The Battle for Hormuz Is Not the War

    Proponents of the war with Iran have taken recent increases in crude-oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz as proof that the US strategy is finally working. President Trump is so confident in this that he recently rejected a seven-day plan, set forward by Iran’s foreign ministry, to end the war and open the strait. The United States is “winning tremendously,” Trump boasted.

    The Mecca Alliance Meets the Red Sea – Saudi Arabia’s New Defense Pact Faces Its First Major Test
  • Commentary
  • The Mecca Alliance Meets the Red Sea – Saudi Arabia’s New Defense Pact Faces Its First Major Test

    When Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan agreed to a mutual defense pact in August, it was principally seen as a political commitment. The “Mecca alliance,” as it was dubbed, stipulated that an armed attack on one would be treated as an attack on all three, accompanied by deeper military cooperation.

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