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Normalization is slipping away
Photo by SAUL LOEB/AFP via Getty Image
  • Commentary
  • Normalization is slipping away

    Saudi-Israel normalization is drifting away — not collapsing outright but steadily receding into, at best, a long in-between.
    Bonus Episode: Can Yemen Hold Together?
  • Podcast
  • Bonus Episode: Can Yemen Hold Together?

    This bonus episode of Middle East Focus features an excerpt from a recent MEI Virtual Briefing recorded on January 20. Director of Communications Zeina Al-Shaib is joined by MEI Affiliate Fatima Abo Alasrar and Associate Fellow F. Gregory Gause III to discuss the dramatically changing dynamics in Yemen’s civil war. Last month, Yemen emerged as a focal point of rising tensions between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. The Southern Transitional Council, a UAE-backed southern separatist movement, has disbanded in recent weeks, following fierce clashes with Saudi-backed forces. In the conversation, Alasrar and Gause analyze the political, security, and socio-economic shifts affecting Yemen’s internal dynamics and what all this means for regional stability.

    January 23, 2026

    What Ankara sees in Riyadh — and why it still needs Abu Dhabi
    Photo by Mustafa Kaya/Xinhua via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What Ankara sees in Riyadh — and why it still needs Abu Dhabi

    As the rivalry between Riyadh and Abu Dhabi sharpens in Yemen and beyond, Turkey has begun edging closer to Saudi Arabia, sparking claims that a new regional order is taking shape: a Turkey-Saudi axis backed by a NATO-like defense architecture, implicitly aligned against Israel and the United Arab Emirates. This reading overstates the case.

    From coalition to confrontation: Saudi-UAE rivalry in Yemen and its regional implications
  • Analysis
  • From coalition to confrontation: Saudi-UAE rivalry in Yemen and its regional implications

    The final days of 2025 marked a turning point in the Middle East, as competition between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates in Yemen spilled out into the open. Tensions between the two coalition partners, which jointly launched a military intervention in Yemen in 2015, have simmered for years and are now rapidly escalating, with far-reaching implications for both Yemen and regional security more broadly.

    Iran’s Axis of Resistance after the 12-day war: Adaptation, restructuring, and reconstitution
    Photo by Kaveh Kazemi/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s Axis of Resistance after the 12-day war: Adaptation, restructuring, and reconstitution

    Since Israel’s 12-day war against Iran, Tehran and its network of regional proxies and non-state allies, the so-called Axis of Resistance, have entered a phase of strategic dormancy — an outward calm concealing rearmament, financial adaptation, and ideological renewal.

    December 19, 2025

    Soft Power in Hard Times: Pope Leo XIV’s Visit to Lebanon
  • Podcast
  • Soft Power in Hard Times: Pope Leo XIV’s Visit to Lebanon

    MEI Senior Fellow Fadi Nicholas Nassar joins host Matthew Czekaj to share expert insights and personal reflections on Pope Leo XIV’s trip to Lebanon from November 30 to December 2. Nassar unpacks the significance of the visit, part of the pontiff’s first overseas tour since assuming office, and its potential impact on Lebanon’s untenable status quo. The conversation explores key questions, including the ability of spiritual and moral authority to compensate for the shortcomings of political leadership as well as whether Lebanon’s government will be able to capitalize on the momentum generated by this visit as the possible return of conflict looms on the horizon.

    December 4, 2025

    Trump-MBS summit: Good feelings, real commitments, and unresolved questions
    Photographer: Nathan Howard/Politico/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Trump-MBS summit: Good feelings, real commitments, and unresolved questions

    Mohammed bin Salman, the crown prince, prime minister, and main decision-maker in Saudi Arabia, left Washington and his summit with President Donald Trump with a number of promises made and commitments received. But several questions, including on shared diplomatic agenda items, the extent of civilian nuclear cooperation, and the nature of the American defense commitment to Saudi Arabia, remain unanswered.

    Special Feature: A Front-Row Seat to Saudi Arabia’s Transformation
  • Podcast
  • Special Feature: A Front-Row Seat to Saudi Arabia’s Transformation

    In this episode, Brian sits down with Faisal Abbas, editor-in-chief of Arab News. Abbas, who reported on Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s November 18 visit to the White House, unpacks his impressions from the visit and the opportunities it presents for US-Saudi relations. The conversation also explores the Kingdom’s transformation over the past decade, its relationships with key partners including the United States, and Abbas’s recommendations for deepening the US-Saudi partnership going forward.

    MBS Comes to Washington
    Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • MBS Comes to Washington

    On November 18, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is scheduled to make his first trip to Washington since 2018. In a new MEI Policy Memo, Daniel Benaim breaks down why it matters for the US and the relevant policy considerations.

    MBS Comes to Washington
  • Policy Memo
  • MBS Comes to Washington

    On November 18, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed
    bin Salman (MBS) is scheduled to make his first trip to Washington since 2018. President Donald Trump has doubled down on the Gulf from the outset of his second term, making Riyadh his first planned overseas trip and reorienting ties around major artificial intelligence (AI) and investment deals. MBS’s visit will test whether both sides can translate ambitious pledges into concrete outcomes. Significant upgrades in defense and security are expected, with movement possible on semiconductor sales and nuclear cooperation. Behind the ambitions, harder questions about Saudi-Israeli normalization and alignment in a rapidly changing region loom as important Oval Office topics.

    Divisions at home hinder America’s ambitions abroad
    Photo by BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Divisions at home hinder America’s ambitions abroad

    Over the past week, US President Donald Trump made an extended trip to Asia and threatened military actions against Latin American and African countries. But despite his administration’s continuing ambitions in the Middle East region, few major breakthroughs are expected there in the immediate future due to the government shutdown and unilateral cuts to national security infrastructure.

    Lebanon and Syria October 2025: A Snapshot
    Photo by Izz Aldien Alqasem/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Lebanon and Syria October 2025: A Snapshot

    Ambassador Ryan Crocker reports on his visit to Lebanon and Syria on October 12-17 as part of a small delegation organized by the Washington office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR).

    A realistic, step-by-step approach to restoring Lebanese sovereignty
    Photo by Ahmad Kaddoura/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A realistic, step-by-step approach to restoring Lebanese sovereignty

    Seizing Lebanon’s once-in-a-generation opportunity hinges on its ability to resolve its core dysfunction: reclaiming the state’s monopoly on force and its exclusive authority to determine matters of war and peace. Beirut, backed by deepening US support, must focus on achieving tangible milestones and strategic victories that momentum, making Hizballah’s disarmament unstoppable and the state’s reassertion of authority irreversible.

    Lebanon’s judicial independence and the end of impunity
    Photo by Joseph Eid/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Lebanon’s judicial independence and the end of impunity

    Judicial independence is at the core of any successful democracy, and for decades, this issue has been a matter of public concern in Lebanon. At a time when a credible window of opportunity for change has opened in Lebanon, restoring judicial independence is both a necessity and a prerequisite to enable the judiciary to carry out its duties and end the impunity under which it has historically operated.

    October 20, 2025