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Brian and Behnam Shake the Magic 8 Ball on Iran
  • Podcast
  • Brian and Behnam Shake the Magic 8 Ball on Iran

    Brian sits down with Behnam Taleblu, Senior Fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, to unpack the ongoing protests in Iran and what this moment reveals about the long struggle between the state and the street. They discuss the regime’s brutal crackdown, the prospect of US intervention, and what both could mean for the future of the Islamic Republic. The episode centers on agency, imagination, and the possibilities facing Iranians at a critical juncture in the country’s history.

    Iran’s coming reckoning: Regime collapse is likely — democracy is not
  • Commentary
  • Iran’s coming reckoning: Regime collapse is likely — democracy is not

    The collapse of the Iranian regime in its present form now seems more plausible than its survival as a functioning state. Yet the emergence of a democratic Iran remains far from certain. Between these two outcomes lies a volatile and dangerous middle ground. But much will depend on four factors.

    January 20, 2026

    Iran’s political deadlock — and a way out the regime is unlikely to take
    Photo by Mobina / Middle East Images / AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s political deadlock — and a way out the regime is unlikely to take

    On Sunday, December 28, Iran’s latest wave of unrest began not on a university campus or in a symbolic political square, but in the very heart of the country’s economic sphere: the Grand Bazaar commercial center in downtown Tehran. What distinguishes the current moment is not simply the persistence of unrest but its emotional register. Iranian commentary increasingly describes not just hardship but a collapse of expectations of a better future.

    When the World’s Oldest Democracy Goes Illiberal
  • Podcast
  • When the World’s Oldest Democracy Goes Illiberal

    The Trump administration has released its new National Security Strategy—and analysts say it signals a decisive break from America’s role as the leader of the free world. Instead, the document advances an openly illiberal, strongman-centered vision of power. One former U.S. official goes further, arguing the strategy doesn’t merely abandon democracy promotion—it puts Washington in the business of promoting autocracy.

    Soft Power in Hard Times: Pope Leo XIV’s Visit to Lebanon
  • Podcast
  • Soft Power in Hard Times: Pope Leo XIV’s Visit to Lebanon

    MEI Senior Fellow Fadi Nicholas Nassar joins host Matthew Czekaj to share expert insights and personal reflections on Pope Leo XIV’s trip to Lebanon from November 30 to December 2. Nassar unpacks the significance of the visit, part of the pontiff’s first overseas tour since assuming office, and its potential impact on Lebanon’s untenable status quo. The conversation explores key questions, including the ability of spiritual and moral authority to compensate for the shortcomings of political leadership as well as whether Lebanon’s government will be able to capitalize on the momentum generated by this visit as the possible return of conflict looms on the horizon.

    December 4, 2025

    From Brightest Hope to Open-Air Prison: How Tunisia Lost Its Democratic Promise
  • Podcast
  • From Brightest Hope to Open-Air Prison: How Tunisia Lost Its Democratic Promise

    Thousands of Tunisians marched in the capital last week against what they called ‘injustice and repression,’ accusing President Kais Saied of cementing one-man rule through the police and judiciary. The protest is part of a wider wave of unrest—journalists, NGOs, fractured political parties, doctors, bankers, and transport workers all say Saied has turned the country into an open-air prison and demand relief from Tunisia’s deepening political and economic crisis.

    Trump-MBS summit: Good feelings, real commitments, and unresolved questions
    Photographer: Nathan Howard/Politico/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Trump-MBS summit: Good feelings, real commitments, and unresolved questions

    Mohammed bin Salman, the crown prince, prime minister, and main decision-maker in Saudi Arabia, left Washington and his summit with President Donald Trump with a number of promises made and commitments received. But several questions, including on shared diplomatic agenda items, the extent of civilian nuclear cooperation, and the nature of the American defense commitment to Saudi Arabia, remain unanswered.

    Special Feature: A Front-Row Seat to Saudi Arabia’s Transformation
  • Podcast
  • Special Feature: A Front-Row Seat to Saudi Arabia’s Transformation

    In this episode, Brian sits down with Faisal Abbas, editor-in-chief of Arab News. Abbas, who reported on Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s November 18 visit to the White House, unpacks his impressions from the visit and the opportunities it presents for US-Saudi relations. The conversation also explores the Kingdom’s transformation over the past decade, its relationships with key partners including the United States, and Abbas’s recommendations for deepening the US-Saudi partnership going forward.

    MENA Energy Recap, Q3-2025: Gulf Giants Abroad, Fragile Deals at Home
    Source: Jack Guez/AFP via Getty images
  • Report
  • MENA Energy Recap, Q3-2025: Gulf Giants Abroad, Fragile Deals at Home

    The MENA Energy Recap is a quarterly review of key energy developments that took place in the region from July through September of 2025 and what they signal in the months ahead. The Recap views these developments through the lens of policy and strategy, energy security, and markets.

    From Ballots to Bargains: The Struggle for Iraqi Democracy
  • Podcast
  • From Ballots to Bargains: The Struggle for Iraqi Democracy

    Iraqis have just gone to the polls in a pivotal parliamentary election that could redefine the country’s political trajectory. What do the results tell us about the state of Iraqi democracy? What happens next? And is there still space for meaningful democratic reform?

    An International Stabilization Force for Gaza
  • Policy Memo
  • An International Stabilization Force for Gaza

    The United States plans to submit a resolution on Gaza to the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) by the end of November. Reportedly, the latest draft endorses President Donald Trump’s 20-point plan, recognizes the Board of Peace (BoP) as a “transitional governance administration,” and authorizes the BoP to establish an International Stabilization Force (ISF). The UN resolution is a first step to achieving buy-in from potential ISF contributors. In turn, a viable ISF will be one key to moving beyond the cease-fire to securing the 20-point plan’s envisioned Hamas disarmament, further Israeli military withdrawal, and a path to Palestinian governance. The US faces several dilemmas as it seeks to transition from cease-fire to stabilization and beyond.  

    MBS Comes to Washington
  • Policy Memo
  • MBS Comes to Washington

    On November 18, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed
    bin Salman (MBS) is scheduled to make his first trip to Washington since 2018. President Donald Trump has doubled down on the Gulf from the outset of his second term, making Riyadh his first planned overseas trip and reorienting ties around major artificial intelligence (AI) and investment deals. MBS’s visit will test whether both sides can translate ambitious pledges into concrete outcomes. Significant upgrades in defense and security are expected, with movement possible on semiconductor sales and nuclear cooperation. Behind the ambitions, harder questions about Saudi-Israeli normalization and alignment in a rapidly changing region loom as important Oval Office topics.

    Erdogan Forever?
  • Podcast
  • Erdogan Forever?

    In this episode of Middle East Focus, hosts Alistair Taylor and Matthew Czekaj are joined by MEI Senior Fellow Gönül Tol to discuss democratic backsliding in Turkey under President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan.

    November 6, 2025