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Trump and the UAE give Abbas a new lease on political life
  • Analysis
  • Trump and the UAE give Abbas a new lease on political life

    A March 2018 poll by the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research showed that satisfaction with the performance of President Mahmoud Abbas stood at 33 percent; 68 percent of the public wanted him to resign; and had elections been called, he would most likely have lost his presidency to a rival from Hamas.Nearly two and a half years later, however, and Abbas’s political fortunes have been restored, thanks in large part to the Trump administration and the United Arab Emirates

    September 10, 2020

    Syria Still Matters: Charting a Strategic Approach to Syria Policy
    Photo by GEORGE OURFALIAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Syria Still Matters: Charting a Strategic Approach to Syria Policy

    Nine years of conflict in Syria has had a profoundly destabilizing effect on regional and international security. Although overarching dynamics have changed, the crisis is far from over — it is merely evolving. All of the conflict’s root causes remain in place and many have worsened. In controlling less than two-thirds of the country, the Syrian state and its Russian and Iranian backers are increasingly incapable of addressing the many challenges they face: economic collapse and inflation, fledgling insurgencies, a resurgent ISIS, a COVID crisis, and endemic corruption and mismanagement. What happens in Syria never stays in Syria. The United States cannot afford to prematurely withdraw or sustain today’s inconsistent and ill-considered policy — it must step up, re-assert its leverage, strengthen its partners, mobilize its allies, and move determinedly toward protecting American interests and helping to diplomatically resolve the crisis once and for all, creating space for foreign actors, the U.S. included, to depart Syrian soil responsibly.

    Beijing’s military industry on the move in Ukraine
  • Analysis
  • Beijing’s military industry on the move in Ukraine

    Ukraine’s long-term stability will depend on its economic prosperity. As a transitioning economy, trade and investment are welcome and needed whether from the U.S., Europe, or China. Ukraine finds itself walking a thinning tightrope between the U.S. and China as their relationship turns increasingly adversarial. If Washington wants to keep Chinese activity in this economy to a minimum, the present and future administrations must more rapidly and directly coordinate American trade and investment in Ukraine.

    September 10, 2020

    Can Turkey lead the way in regional cooperation on Black Sea gas?
  • Analysis
  • Can Turkey lead the way in regional cooperation on Black Sea gas?

    On August 22, Turkey announced the discovery of Tuna-1. Though questions remain as to whether it is economically viable to start production – President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has suggested this could happen as early as 2023 – the news could not go unnoticed in other littoral countries of the Black Sea. The discovery may well help spur regional cooperation.

    September 9, 2020

    The Black Sea region: politics and policy discord
  • Analysis
  • The Black Sea region: politics and policy discord

    I have the good fortune of living in the Baltics and working in the Black Sea region. Compared to the positive NATO effort in the Baltics, the Black Sea region as an operational space is a dangerous conceptual mess for both NATO and the EU. A lack of clarity of purpose confuses countries in the region that really need support in their fight against Russian interference.

    September 9, 2020

    The many faces of Fairuz in Iran
    ​​​​​​​Photo by ANWAR AMRO/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The many faces of Fairuz in Iran

    Love for Fairuz has proven that Iranians, despite their intense political differences, can have a common interest. After the deadly explosion in Beirut — which killed more than 190 people and displaced about 300,000 — the first thing Iranians thought of to express their sympathy was Fairuz’s famous song “Li Beirut,” which became a trending hashtag on Persian Twitter.

    September 8, 2020

    Gender Politics in Oman: Between State, Sect, and Tribe
    (MOHAMMED MAHJOUB/AFP via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Gender Politics in Oman: Between State, Sect, and Tribe

    The issue of female (dis)empowerment in the Middle East lies at the very core of the Arab-Islamic world’s contemporary troubles. Most economists agree that significant levels of income inequality negatively impact economic growth and development, so why is it not commonly considered how significant inequality between genders might also diminish social and political outcomes? This essay explores this question of gender inequality and socio-political outcomes in the Sultanate of Oman and parses between the state, sect, and tribe to discuss the sources of reform and resistance to women’s empowerment.

    September 8, 2020

    Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East
  • Analysis
  • Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East

    In a new briefing book released ahead of the U.S. elections in November, entitled Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East, MEI scholars lay out key issues across the region, highlight the U.S. interests at stake, and provide policy insights and recommendations for the path forward. 

    Taiwan should implement the “Economic Miracle” model in Somaliland to win Africa’s goodwill
    Photo by MUSTAFA SAEED/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Taiwan should implement the “Economic Miracle” model in Somaliland to win Africa’s goodwill

    Countries in the Horn of Africa can draw lessons from the Taiwanese because they are themselves attempting to make the same political transition Taiwan did, but have not yet achieved the needed reforms such as ensuring good governance, eradicating corruption, and developing economic self-reliance to reduce dependency on aid. Taiwan may not have the financial resources to win against the PRC’s checkbook-driven One-China policy in Africa, but it could overcome that disadvantage by convincing African nations that it can help them replicate the sustainable growth model of the “Taiwan Economic Miracle.” Taiwan’s recent diplomatic overtures in Somaliland seem like a step in that direction and could be a game-changer, not only for the Horn of Africa but for the continent as a whole.

    September 2, 2020

    “Between Heaven and Earth”: A road movie with a mission at a pandemic-era festival
  • Analysis
  • “Between Heaven and Earth”: A road movie with a mission at a pandemic-era festival

    “Between Heaven and Earth,” filmmaker Najwa Najjar’s latest offering about love and divorce under occupation, is part road movie, part mystery, and part deep dive into the Palestinian psyche. To call its whole ethos a wild ride might just be an understatement.

    September 2, 2020

    From port to port: Both Lebanon and Turkey would benefit from greater shipping connectivity
    Photo by Sezgin Pancar/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • From port to port: Both Lebanon and Turkey would benefit from greater shipping connectivity

    Following the devastating explosion that rocked Beirut on Aug. 4, one of the first foreign state dignitaries to visit Lebanon to pledge support was Turkish Vice President Fuat Oktay. Oktay said that not only would Turkey help to rebuild the damaged port and the surrounding buildings, but it could also provide temporary support in the form of linking Turkey’s largest Mediterranean port, Mersin International Port, with the Port of Beirut.

    September 2, 2020

    The Black Sea Region in a Future U.S. Grand Strategy
  • Analysis
  • The Black Sea Region in a Future U.S. Grand Strategy

    The United States and its many partners in the “liberal international order” must remember the principles that brought them such success, while assessing how to promulgate them in a changing and increasingly threatening world. Indeed, the biggest threat to our present peace, prosperity, and political liberty is the Leftist assault on the legitimacy of liberalism itself, matched by the Right’s retreat into blood-and-soil nationalism.

    September 2, 2020

    Continuity and change in British foreign policy toward Yemen
    Photo by NABIL HASAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Continuity and change in British foreign policy toward Yemen

    On Feb. 16, 2015, then British Ambassador to Yemen Jane Marriott wrote an article titled “Yemen: the ball is in the Houthis’ court,” asserting that the future of the country and its stability were dependent on the Houthis.

    September 1, 2020

    The GCC, US-China tech war, and the next 5G storm
  • Analysis
  • The GCC, US-China tech war, and the next 5G storm

    The U.S.-China rivalry is in uncharted territory. There is no clearer example of this than the U.S.’s intensifying and increasingly global fight with Chinese company Huawei over the security of 5G.