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Research & Commentary Results

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هل الدين العام الأردني يسير على مسار مستدام؟
الصورة من Artur Widak/NurPhoto عبر Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • هل الدين العام الأردني يسير على مسار مستدام؟

    في السنوات القليلة الماضية، أصبح الدين العام الأردني مصدر قلق سياسي كبير للحكومة والمجتمع الدولي والمانحين الرئيسيين الذين يدعمون عمّان. فقد ارتفع الدين العام بشكل كبير خلال السنوات الخمس عشرة الماضية، مما أثار العديد من التساؤلات حول مستقبل الاستقرار الاقتصادي الكلي في الأردن، وقدرة الحكومة على تمويل مشاريع التنمية.

    15 مايو 2023

    US-Japan relations and the Persian Gulf
    Photo by Toru Hanai/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • US-Japan relations and the Persian Gulf

    When Saudi Arabia suddenly announced in early April that it would reduce its oil production by 500,000 bpd, followed shortly thereafter by several other OPEC+ members, bringing the total cut to 1.1 million bpd, Japan was greatly concerned. In spite of Japan’s serious efforts to work toward a carbon-neutral society, the country is still heavily dependent on oil, the overwhelming majority of which comes from the Persian Gulf.

    April 25, 2023

    The road to Marrakech: US-China tensions loom over IMF/WB spring meetings
    Photographer: Samuel Corum/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • The road to Marrakech: US-China tensions loom over IMF/WB spring meetings

    Last week’s spring meetings of the IMF and World Bank in Washington, D.C., were an important occasion for financial and economic leaders from the MENA region to meet with their counterparts from these IFIs and major bilateral donor countries. At the same time, they serve as a lead up to the important Annual Meetings that will be held in Marrakech, Morocco, in the fall — the first time they will be hosted by an Arab or African country.

    20 أبريل 2023

    الشرق الأوسط وأفريقيا: تباطؤ النمو وارتفاع أسعار المواد الغذائية يشكلان تحديات أمام رأس المال البشري
    الصورة من تصوير أحمد جمعة/شينخوا عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • تعليق
  • الشرق الأوسط وأفريقيا: تباطؤ النمو وارتفاع أسعار المواد الغذائية يشكلان تحديات أمام رأس المال البشري

    قد يكون التقرير الاقتصادي الإقليمي للبنك الدولي عن منطقة الشرق الأوسط وشمال أفريقيا، الصادر في 6 أبريل 2023، نذيراً بانقسام حاد، سواء داخل المنطقة، مع مسارها الاقتصادي غير المتكافئ والعقبات التي تعترض تنمية رأس المال البشري، أو على الصعيد العالمي، في شكل انقسام بين مصدري الطاقة ومستورديها.

    Qatar doubles down on LNG amid energy market volatility
    Photo by VCG/VCG via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Qatar doubles down on LNG amid energy market volatility

    The oil and gas sector has been the dominant driver of Qatar’s economy. Over the years, although that sector has remained the major focus of Qatari investments, the emphasis has increasingly shifted towards the expansion of the country’s gas production and LNG export capacity. While the construction boom ahead of the 2022 FIFA World Cup powered the Qatari economy in recent years, income generated by the expansion of the country’s LNG production and export capacity is likely to drive the economy for many years to come — both despite and partly because of the market turmoil caused by the fallout from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.

    Missed opportunities: The billions sacrificed annually to generate electricity in the GCC
    الصورة من Artur Widak/NurPhoto عبر Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Missed opportunities: The billions sacrificed annually to generate electricity in the GCC

    The GCC governments still cover over 40% of the cost of domestic electricity production. Yet, electricity subsidy bills alone do not reflect the full extent of their economic losses. Once the forgone revenues from the export of natural gas and oil used to meet rising domestic energy demand are added in, the total economic cost of the GCC’s electricity is too great to ignore.

    March 27, 2023

    Iraq and the naivety of change, 20 years on
    Photo by Wathiq Khuzaie /Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • Iraq and the naivety of change, 20 years on

    The painful reality is that Washington’s hastily cobbled together ethno-sectarian political system for post-2003 Iraq ended up doing the opposite of what it intended. The regional domino effect was also the opposite of what the U.S. had hoped for, as Iraq became a cautionary tale that regimes could use to undermine the democratic desires of their own populations.

    March 20, 2023

    Economic Diversification, Energy Transition, and the Labor Market in Iraq and the Gulf
    Photo by ASAAD NIAZI/AFP via Getty Images.
  • التحليل
  • Economic Diversification, Energy Transition, and the Labor Market in Iraq and the Gulf

    As part of a continued collaboration with the Middle East Peace and Security Forum held in Iraqi Kurdistan at the American University of Kurdistan, the Middle East Institute and the Iraq Policy Group held a workshop on Nov.15, 2022 focusing on challenges of economic diversification, energy transition, and impacts on labor markets in Iraq and the Gulf region. This report provides the insights and analyses of a select group of participants from the workshop.

    We can’t tackle climate change in the Middle East without ESG investing
    Photo by Christopher Pike/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • We can’t tackle climate change in the Middle East without ESG investing

    As a major center for fossil-based energy production, the Middle East is key to global ESG developments. The region is currently at an early stage of ESG adoption, although holding COP27 and COP28 has provided some initial movement towards mainstreaming climate finance regulations.

    March 15, 2023

    The Food-Energy Nexus and Italy–Morocco Cooperation
  • تعليق
  • The Food-Energy Nexus and Italy–Morocco Cooperation

    The unwinding of global food production chains due to the combined shocks of Covid-19 and the war on Ukraine, made worse by the impact of climate change on the food-water-energy nexus, will require the six nations of the western Mediterranean – Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Spain, France and Italy – to develop new forms of economic cooperation. An Italy–Morocco partnership on green energy food production can be a model for resilient food production chains.

    Youth dynamics and Iraq’s energy future
    Photo by ASAAD NIAZI/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Youth dynamics and Iraq’s energy future

    The next few decades will be crucial for Iraq and the KRG as global changes reshape the energy sector. The push for sustainable development, the Paris Agreement climate goals, and associated efforts in areas like renewable energy, climate change, and environmental protection will bring about a transition across the sector, affecting everything from employment and working patterns to governance.

    March 9, 2023

    The GCC and the road to net zero
    Photo by FAYEZ NURELDINE/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The GCC and the road to net zero

    The Gulf Arab states, while major oil and gas producers, can play a significant role in supporting global efforts to achieve net-zero goals. They are not only endowed with great potential for renewable energy resources as well as some of the world’s lowest carbon content fuels, but also with, to varying extents, sizable financial resources. Yet, to unlock such huge potential, the Gulf Arab states will need to systematically identify and address the various challenges in their path to net zero.

    March 2, 2023