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Research & Commentary Results

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Georgia the interconnector — but where’s Washington?
Photo by Turkish Presidency/Murat Cetinmuhurdar/Handout/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Georgia the interconnector — but where’s Washington?

    For the sake of safeguarding transatlantic — and thus also American — security interests in the South Caucasus, it is becoming increasingly imperative that the United States better anchor itself economically, politically, and militarily in the eastern Black Sea region, especially strategically placed Georgia.

    July 7, 2023

    Understanding the growing Indo-Israeli strategic cyber partnership
    Photo by Indian Ministry of External Affairs / Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Understanding the growing Indo-Israeli strategic cyber partnership

    India and Israel have embarked on a mission to enhance their bilateral strategic cyber partnership. Private-sector collaboration and investment have laid the foundation for this partnership, which has now expanded to government-level agreements and frameworks.

    How the rumble in Russia reverberates around the Middle East
    Photo by STRINGER/AFP via Getty Images
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  • How the rumble in Russia reverberates around the Middle East

    It is too early to tell whether the Wagner “uprising” is a one-off or foreshadows further cracks and the eventual collapse of Putin’s presidency, but the latter outcome would have lasting consequences in the MENA region.

    26 يونيو 2023

    Disease, destruction, flooded fields, and hunger: The far-reaching consequence of the Kakhovka dam collapse in Ukraine
    Photo by Roman Pilipey/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Disease, destruction, flooded fields, and hunger: The far-reaching consequence of the Kakhovka dam collapse in Ukraine

    Last week’s collapse of the Nova Kakhovka dam on the Dnipro River in Ukraine is one of the largest environmental disaster the Black Sea region and Europe has faced in decades. Its far-reaching environmental, economic, and humanitarian consequences will affect not just Ukraine and the Black Sea region, but also the Middle East and Africa.

    The potential and limitations of Russia-China cooperation in the Middle East
    Photo by ALEXEI DRUZHININ/Sputnik/AFP via Getty Images
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  • The potential and limitations of Russia-China cooperation in the Middle East

    Even though Russia and China’s strategic partnership has strengthened in recent years, the leaderships of both countries infrequently engage on Middle East affairs. Russia views China’s growing diplomatic assertiveness in the Middle East as a positive step toward a multipolar regional order. Nevertheless, Russia is trying to avoid being completely eclipsed by China as a prospective conflict arbiter. While the two countries concur on opposing unilateral sanctions and democratic uprisings in the Middle East, Beijing does not universally approve of Moscow’s positions on regional crises and its power projection strategy.

    June 13, 2023

    Azerbaijan's Hoseyniyun: The prospects and challenges of a Caucasus Hezbollah
    Photo from Twitter, cropped to fit.
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  • Azerbaijan's Hoseyniyun: The prospects and challenges of a Caucasus Hezbollah

    The “Axis of Resistance,” a network of non-state actors aligned with Iran, has emerged as a significant force in the Middle East in the last two decades. Despite the attention given to the more well-known members of the Axis of Resistance, the Azerbaijani group Hoseyniyun, which also operates within the network, remains relatively unknown.

    June 12, 2023

    Henry Kissinger’s Latest Intellectual Conquest: Artificial Intelligence
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  • Henry Kissinger’s Latest Intellectual Conquest: Artificial Intelligence

    Now at 100, Henry Kissinger remains a larger-than-life statesman, strategist, and scholar. Alongside intellectual titans such as George Kennan and Zbigniew Brzezinski, his story intertwines with post-World War II American foreign policy. A recent flurry of articles and editorials that spanned news outlets, think tanks, and policy platforms were put out to celebrate Kissinger’s centennial and commemorate his legacy.

    Managing US-China relations in the Middle East among common and conflicting interests
    Photo by JASON LEE/AFP via Getty Images
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  • Managing US-China relations in the Middle East among common and conflicting interests

    The Biden administration has been trying to diplomatically reengage with China, although so far with little response from Beijing. Any broad reengagement would necessarily include reengagement in the Middle East and North Africa. Both sides have a long list of common interests in the Middle East; the areas where their interests diverge relate mainly to suspicions of the other side’s long-term strategy and global ambitions. How can Washington and Beijing build on common interests in the region while addressing their long-term concerns, reducing some of them and accommodating robust competition or even sharp adversarial attitudes in other areas?

    June 8, 2023

    War as a catalyst for greater Black Sea-Gulf interconnectivity
    Photo by Saudi Foreign Ministry / Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
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  • War as a catalyst for greater Black Sea-Gulf interconnectivity

    Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine has destabilized and distressed the entire Black Sea neighborhood. Yet despite the war, or perhaps because of it, strategically important foreign direct investments into Black Sea littoral countries, including from the Gulf, have endured or even grown.

    Turkey 2030: How did we get here?
    Photo by Julian Stratenschulte/picture alliance via Getty Images
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  • Turkey 2030: How did we get here?

    To analyze the crossroads Turkey faces in the 2023 elections, it could prove useful to “look back from the alternative futures” and explore how the possible outcomes might play out. What could it look like if we look back from 2030 to another victory by Erdoğan? And how might have the last seven years played out had the opposition won?

    May 24, 2023

    The technical is geopolitical: Expanding US-UAE relations through AI
    Photo by STEFANI REYNOLDS/AFP via Getty Images
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  • The technical is geopolitical: Expanding US-UAE relations through AI

    With AI development disproportionate attention is given to the world’s technological heavyweights, the U.S. and China, as they seek an innovative edge in their great power competition. But Gulf states like the UAE are also moving rapidly to invest in and adopt AI, with significant implications for bilateral relations. The momentum in both the U.S. and the UAE can be leveraged by anchoring further ideas for political, diplomatic, and military cooperation in the technical evolution of AI.