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Biden's First Year
  • Podcast
  • Biden's First Year

    Brian Katulis and Randa Slim join the program to discuss the Biden administration’s Middle East policy one year in, and look ahead to the challenges it will face in the region in the year ahead.

    February 1, 2022

    Algeria’s recurring food crises: The sign of an ailing economy
    Photo by Billal Bensalem/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Algeria’s recurring food crises: The sign of an ailing economy

    Beset by severe socioeconomic grievances, Algeria is now facing the most challenging economic situation since the 1988 October Riots, when thousands of young people took to the streets to protest an economic crisis caused by the decline in oil prices, austerity measures, and a youth bulge that led to mass unemployment. The latest food shortages are not the first, however, and given the administration’s current approach, they are unlikely to be the last. While the authorities have blamed business owners and even consumer behavior for the crisis, the underlying drivers are more systemic and structural.

    February 1, 2022

    Women’s labor force participation and COVID-19 in Jordan
    Photo by Xinhua/Mohammad Abu Ghosh via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Women’s labor force participation and COVID-19 in Jordan

    Jordan has the lowest rate of women’s economic participation of any country not at war. According to the ILO, the kingdom’s female labor force participation rate is below 15%, while that of men is about 60%. This is lower than rates of female labor force participation in neighboring Lebanon (23%), Saudi Arabia (22%), and the West Bank and Gaza (18%). As the COVID-19 pandemic stretches on, the government of Jordan should take the opportunity to expand the accessibility of remote work and corresponding opportunities for Jordanian women who aim to play a role in their nation’s economy.

    February 1, 2022

    Helping the Lebanese People Move Toward Recovery: Recommendations for US Policy
    Photo by JOSEPH EID/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Helping the Lebanese People Move Toward Recovery: Recommendations for US Policy

    Lebanon is currently at a crossroads as the government faces the daunting tasks of rebuilding the economy, restoring public trust, and clearing the way for free and fair parliamentary elections in May of 2022. The country finds itself spiraling downward — an agreement with the IMF is yet to be realized, poverty and emigration are increasing, and there are growing threats to stability due to a failing economy and widespread corruption. Given this critical situation, it is worthwhile to review U.S. interests in Lebanon’s survival and consider key recommendations for U.S. policy to help Lebanon avoid complete collapse and help the Lebanese people move toward economic recovery, political legitimacy, and a more capable, transparent, and sovereign state.

    February 1, 2022

    Reassessing women’s role in peace and security in the Middle East
    Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Reassessing women’s role in peace and security in the Middle East

    When addressing security challenges in the Middle East, the United States must re-examine how it engages with and views women’s potential security contributions.

    January 31, 2022

    For Gulf producers, decarbonization does not mean zero oil production
    Maya Siddiqui/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • For Gulf producers, decarbonization does not mean zero oil production

    Gulf oil producers do not envisage a post-2050 world devoid of hydrocarbons, even though two of the region’s biggest producers, the UAE and Saudi Arabia, have committed to net-zero carbon emissions by 2050 and 2060, respectively. Reconciling their future environmental commitments with their current reliance on hydrocarbons is going to be an arduous and expensive journey that starts with decarbonizing their oil and gas production to reduce their carbon footprint and increasing their domestic green energy production. With demand for oil and gas forecast to continue post-2050 — albeit at lower levels than now — their net-zero target does not equate to zero oil and gas production. Instead, their transition will differ from that of other countries and will happen at a different pace.

    January 31, 2022

    The UAE paves way for Syria’s return to the Arab fold, but plenty of hurdles remain
    Photo by UAE Ministry of Foreign Affairs/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The UAE paves way for Syria’s return to the Arab fold, but plenty of hurdles remain

    The UAE has made bold strides to normalize relations with embattled Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, opening itself up to criticism as many countries remain reluctant to reconcile with Damascus. Despite this measured reintegration of Assad into the Arab fold, many serious complications and challenges lie ahead. The most important of these is the lack of support from a hesitant Saudi Arabia, which would impede the crucial next step of Syria’s restoration to full membership in the Arab League before its upcoming summit.

    Expert Views: The UN, climate, and security
    Photo by John Minchillo - Pool/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Expert Views: The UN, climate, and security

    On Dec. 13, 2021, at a United Nations Security Council (UNSC) meeting, a draft resolution that would have recognized climate change as a security threat was rejected. The resolution, co-sponsored by Niger and Ireland, would have incorporated climate change as a security risk within the U.N. framework of conflict prevention strategies. What are the potential implications of this and what comes next? We asked seven experts to weigh in with their thoughts.

    How Oman’s history inspires its novelists
    Young Omani author Ammar Alnaaimi. Image by Muhanna Al Siyabi.
  • Analysis
  • How Oman’s history inspires its novelists

    Why have authors revisited it over the decades through literary works, and what makes it appealing to international readers?

    January 31, 2022

    The MBS Economy
    Faisal Al Nasser/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The MBS Economy

    Saudi Arabia has undergone tremendous social change in recent years, but it has struggled to make good on some of its more ambitious financial goals. Much of the promised foreign direct investment has yet to arrive, and the kingdom’s growth agenda has drained its foreign reserves. Most of Mohammed bin Salman’s more eye-catching promises, including futuristic urban megaprojects, remain unfinished.

    The strengthening ties between China and the Middle East
    Photo by Wang Dongzhen/Xinhua via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The strengthening ties between China and the Middle East

    In a sign of strengthening relations, a long procession of foreign ministers from MENA visited China earlier this month. In addition, two MENA nations signed MoUs involving the BRI, China’s global infrastructure development effort.

    January 26, 2022

    Iran to remain a key partner for Ethiopia in the Tigray conflict
    Photo by Minasse Wondimu Hailu/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran to remain a key partner for Ethiopia in the Tigray conflict

    Ethiopia is Iran’s gateway to the Horn of Africa and the broader East Africa region. By helping Ethiopia in its ongoing conflict with the rebel Tigray Defense Forces, which represent the Tigray ethnic minority, Iran is preserving its so-called strategic depth in the region to bolster its influence.

    January 26, 2022

    Halal trade cooperation between Iran and Russia
    Photo by PAVEL BEDNYAKOV/SPUTNIK/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Halal trade cooperation between Iran and Russia

    Since the fall of the Soviet Union and the rise of Vladimir Putin in the 1990s, military and economic relations between Iran and Russia have improved, as their tensions with the West have intensified. One aspect of the relationship that has received little attention is their growing economic and trade cooperation involving the production, export, and import of halal meat and other products since 2015.

    January 26, 2022