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Research & Commentary Results

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Neither East nor West: Turkey’s calculations in the Ukraine crisis
Photo by Celestino Arce/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Neither East nor West: Turkey’s calculations in the Ukraine crisis

    The crisis in Ukraine, from the perspective of Ankara, carries significant risks, but also some opportunity. It is neither a crisis of their own making, nor one that they welcomed; nevertheless, Ankara has clearly developed a basic blueprint for weathering the storm. From the perspective of Washington policymakers, their strategy is likely to hold more frustration than reassurance.

    February 25, 2022

    تركيا وأوكرانيا تكثفان تعاونهما الدفاعي
  • تعليق
  • تركيا وأوكرانيا تكثفان تعاونهما الدفاعي

    وسط مخاوف الغرب من أن روسيا على وشك مهاجمة أوكرانيا، وقعت تركيا وأوكرانيا اتفاقية للتجارة الحرة وأعلنتا عن صفقة لأوكرانيا لتصنيع طائرات مُسيّرة تركية خلال زيارة الرئيس رجب طيب أردوغان الأخيرة إلى كييف في 3 فبراير/شباط. تمثل الزيارة جزءًا من خطة أردوغان لتعميق علاقات تركيا بأوكرانيا، التي لا تعد فقط سوقًا مهمًا لتصدير منتجات الدفاع التركية، ولكنها أيضًا أساسية لجهود أنقرة للتخفيف من التداعيات السلبية للعقوبات الأمريكية على صناعتها الدفاعية. إحدى هذه المجالات التي خلقت فيها العقوبات الأمريكية مأزقًا للصناعات الدفاعية التركية هي تكنولوجيا المحركات.

    Confronting climate change, Turkey needs “green” leadership now more than ever
    Photo by STR/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Confronting climate change, Turkey needs “green” leadership now more than ever

    Turkey, like all other countries, is facing the harsh reality of climate change. Last year, it experienced one of the hottest summers on record. Blistering heat waves led to widespread wildfires in the country’s southwest, affecting five times more land than normal during the summer. Though Turkey usually has large water surpluses, some areas experienced shortages due to extreme drought. Others suffered heavy flooding, leaving scores dead.

    January 25, 2022

    Strong Turkey-Ukraine ties are key to Black Sea security
    Photo by Yörük Işık
  • التحليل
  • Strong Turkey-Ukraine ties are key to Black Sea security

    On Jan. 6, 2019, the eve of Orthodox Christmas, the Ecumenical Patriarchate in Istanbul awarded a decree of independence, known as a tomos, to the then-newly established Orthodox Church of Ukraine — a milestone in the country’s history. The move reversed a 1686 decision that had transferred jurisdiction over Kyivan Orthodox churches to Moscow. After 333 years, however, it’s not only the faithful who have changed their direction from Moscow toward Istanbul. Ukraine and Turkey are strengthening their strategic partnership by deepening their cultural, political, military, and economic cooperation.

    January 13, 2022

    Competing over Islam: Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Iran in the Balkans
    Photo by Ercin Erturk/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Competing over Islam: Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Iran in the Balkans

    Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Iran have been the main competitors in a struggle over who — and in what manner — should act as the patron of Muslims in the Balkans. These three countries are very different in terms of their historical footprint, economic and political presence, and local networks. What they share, however, is the use of Islam to exert soft power. This paper will discuss how they are seeking to wield influence, how regional actors respond to their overtures, and whether these three countries are meeting their objectives in the region.

    January 11, 2022

    أزمة العملة في تركيا هي صناعة ذاتية
  • تعليق
  • أزمة العملة في تركيا هي صناعة ذاتية

    عقب استقالة وزير المالية واستبداله بأحد الموالين للرئيس رجب طيب أردوغان في الثاني من ديسمبر/كانون الأول، واصلت الليرة التركية تراجعها المطرد أمام الدولار، لتصل خسائرها خلال العام إلى قرابة 50٪. من جديد تقع العملة التركية تحت وابل من المضاربات، على غرار الحلقات السابقة في يوليو/تموز 2018 وأكتوبر/تشرين

    December 7, 2021

    Turkey’s self-made currency crisis
    Photo by OZAN KOSE/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Turkey’s self-made currency crisis

    Following the resignation of the finance minister and his replacement by a loyalist on Dec. 2, the Turkish lira continued its steady decline against the dollar, bringing its losses for the year to nearly 50%. The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey’s early cuts to the policy rate since September have resulted in an exodus of foreign capital and a rush in demand for foreign exchange among domestic investors.

    December 3, 2021

    The 3+3 format in the South Caucasus doesn’t add up
    Photo by VANO SHLAMOV/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The 3+3 format in the South Caucasus doesn’t add up

    During his recent visit to Tbilisi, U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin poured cold water on the idea of American support for a so-called “3+3 format” in the South Caucasus. When asked about the proposal, he said, “I would just say that Russia, which currently occupies 20% of Georgia’s territory, should focus on honoring its 2008 cease-fire commitments before promoting any new discussion platforms.”

    November 9, 2021

    A storm brews over the Black Sea: Turkey’s contradictory maritime policy
    Photo by Yörük Işık
  • التحليل
  • A storm brews over the Black Sea: Turkey’s contradictory maritime policy

    Turkey’s official policy supports the territorial integrity of Ukraine and Georgia, and it sells UAVs and ships to Ukraine. Yet, trade continues with the Russian-occupied territories of Abkhazia and Crimea. By allowing this illegal trade, Turkey undermines both its own credibility and its trading partners’ security. Shipped goods not only help connect occupied zones to Russia, but trade also brings hard currency into these zones, which are outside the international banking system.

    October 29, 2021

    Turkey finally ratified the Paris Agreement. Why now?
    Photo by Ali Balikci/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Turkey finally ratified the Paris Agreement. Why now?

    Turkey, like many countries worldwide, has recently faced severe environmental events. Suffering from floods and the worst wildfires in its history in the summer of 2021, the country finally took an important step to tackle climate change, ratifying the Paris Agreement international treaty on climate change on Oct. 6, 2021.

    October 27, 2021