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Research & Commentary Results

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Navigating complex maritime security challenges in the Black and Mediterranean seas: Insights from the updated EUMSS
Photo by ALBERTO PIZZOLI/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Navigating complex maritime security challenges in the Black and Mediterranean seas: Insights from the updated EUMSS

    Russia’s February 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine helped influence the updated European Maritime Security Strategy’s approach to the Black and Mediterranean seas, with implicit and explicit references to the war dispersed throughout the document. The updated EUMSS showcases the wide array of security issues present in the region, including seaborne UXOs, human and drug trafficking, and threats to critical infrastructure. But security in the Black and Mediterranean seas will require greater cooperation with non-EU countries.

    May 11, 2023

    We're abandoning Syria and our D-ISIS policy
    Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • We're abandoning Syria and our D-ISIS policy

    The U.S. administration is tacitly contributing to growing acceptance and re-normalization of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, the 21st century’s most notorious war criminal, putting in jeopardy the continuation of our counter-terrorism mission in Syria. Assad is toasting his survival on the ashes of his victims — but within the small community of optimistic actors in Syria, ISIS is sitting pretty comfortably too.

    The Turkish Elections and the Future of Northwest Syria: Scenarios and Policy Implications
    Photo by Murat Kocabas/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The Turkish Elections and the Future of Northwest Syria: Scenarios and Policy Implications

    The Syrian conflict has had a major impact on Turkey’s internal political discourse, with much of the discussion centering around the conflict itself, Turkey’s role in northern Syria, and the refugee crisis. This paper employs a scenario analysis methodology to explore potential outcomes that may impact Northwestern Syria following the upcoming Turkish presidential and parliamentary elections on May 14.

    2 مايو 2023

    Getting ahead of the Middle East’s climate refugee conundrum
    Photo by Hazem Turkia/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Getting ahead of the Middle East’s climate refugee conundrum

    Over the coming decades, the worsening effects of climate change will increasingly displace many millions of vulnerable people in the Middle East and North Africa, and many of these refugees will attempt to relocate to the Global North. To avert such a monumental looming problem requires pragmatic solutions and their swift implementation.

    April 26, 2023

    ISIS beats back Wagner offensive in central Syria
    Photo by GEORGE OURFALIAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • ISIS beats back Wagner offensive in central Syria

    It has been an accepted fact that ISIS ceased being a territory-controlling entity in Syria after its March 2019 defeat in the town of Baghouz. Yet it is perhaps time to reevaluate this perspective on the group and its insurgent trajectory in the country. While recent massacres of civilians in central Syria have refocused some international attention on the desert region, known as the Badia, the renewed widespread battles between militants and regime security forces that have occurred in parallel to these attacks have gone unnoticed.

    April 21, 2023

    The road to Marrakech: US-China tensions loom over IMF/WB spring meetings
    Photographer: Samuel Corum/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • The road to Marrakech: US-China tensions loom over IMF/WB spring meetings

    Last week’s spring meetings of the IMF and World Bank in Washington, D.C., were an important occasion for financial and economic leaders from the MENA region to meet with their counterparts from these IFIs and major bilateral donor countries. At the same time, they serve as a lead up to the important Annual Meetings that will be held in Marrakech, Morocco, in the fall — the first time they will be hosted by an Arab or African country.

    20 أبريل 2023

    Naturalized Syrians are in the spotlight ahead of Turkey’s upcoming elections
    Photo by Valeria Ferraro/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Naturalized Syrians are in the spotlight ahead of Turkey’s upcoming elections

    The most consequential elections in Turkey’s recent history are less than a month away, set to be held on May 14. While the more than 200,000 Syrians who have been granted Turkish citizenship since their arrival in the wake of the Syrian war will not play a significant role in determining the outcome given their numbers, migration is a top campaign issue, putting them at the heart of the vote.

    April 19, 2023

    Monday Briefing: Military power struggle explodes in Sudan
  • تعليق
  • Monday Briefing: Military power struggle explodes in Sudan

    اقرأ تقرير MEI الأسبوعي الذي يتضمن تحليلات الخبراء للتطورات الإقليمية الرئيسية للأسبوع المقبل.

    April 17, 2023

    Why the Iranian public remains silent in the face of Israeli attacks
    Photo by STR/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Why the Iranian public remains silent in the face of Israeli attacks

    The silence from Iran is deafening. Judging by social media reactions and media reports from Iran, few, if any, members of the Iranian public seem to care that, since 2011, the Israeli air force has attacked Iranian and Iranian-affiliated positions in Syria on more than a thousand occasions, reportedly killing a number of Iranian members of the IRGC.

    March 29, 2023

    A message to the donors convening in Brussels to aid Syria’s earthquake recovery
    Photo by Bekir Kasim/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • A message to the donors convening in Brussels to aid Syria’s earthquake recovery

    On March 20, the EU will hold an international donors’ conference in Brussels to raise funds for Turkey and Syria’s recovery from the devastating earthquakes that struck in early February. While Turkey’s foreign minister will speak before the pledging session, no one will represent or even speak on behalf of Syrians.

    March 18, 2023