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Sweeping the minefield: The case for a NATO Black Sea Fleet
Photo by YASIN AKGUL / AFP) (Photo by YASIN AKGUL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Sweeping the minefield: The case for a NATO Black Sea Fleet

    Since the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the threat of sea mines to maritime traffic in the region has become exponentially more acute. The Turkish-Romanian-Bulgarian trilateral minesweeping mission is a welcome sign of regional willingness to cooperate in this space and could, with the right incentives and sufficient political will, open the door to the establishment of a NATO Black Sea Fleet.

    March 19, 2024

    As Western options narrow, Yemen's anti-Houthi forces vie for US military support
    Photo by KHALED ZIAD/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • As Western options narrow, Yemen's anti-Houthi forces vie for US military support

    In recent weeks, Yemen’s main anti-Houthi leaders have increasingly been sending the same message to the US, urging it to provide support in the fight against the Houthis on the ground. The provision of military assistance is still hypothetical but seems more and more plausible given developments in Yemen, triggered by the Houthis’ continuing attacks on maritime shipping in the Red Sea.

    March 6, 2024

    History rewrite: Did Saddam try to kill Bush?
    Photo by Diana Walker/Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • History rewrite: Did Saddam try to kill Bush?

    In his new book, Steve Coll casts doubt on whether Iraqi intelligence had actually tried to assassinate former President George H. W. Bush in Kuwait in April 1993. If the Kuwait plot were a fabrication, it would fit yet another brick in the wall of many well documented falsehoods and misunderstandings that led to the US invasion. Unfortunately for that allegation, the plot was very likely to have been quite real.

    March 5, 2024

    Why Gulf Arab states are not intervening in the Red Sea
  • Commentary
  • Why Gulf Arab states are not intervening in the Red Sea

    As Yemen’s Ansarullah movement—better known as the Houthis—steps up attacks on commercial vessels in the Red Sea, Gulf Arab states have opted to stay on the sidelines. They have their reasons for not engaging, including security concerns and the fact that their economies have, to a significant extent, remained shielded from the impact of the strikes. More importantly, these countries are bracing for the more serious economic risks they may face in the future.

    Are Iran and Turkey on a collision course over West Azerbaijan?
    Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Are Iran and Turkey on a collision course over West Azerbaijan?

    Over the centuries, Iran and Turkey have engaged in an ebbing and flowing, but continual, rivalry for regional influence and supremacy. Yet such potentially escalatory dynamics have not been limited to geopolitical competition by proxy; they have also spilled over into efforts to meddle in each other’s internal affairs.

    February 27, 2024

    From Yemen to Palestine: The strategic depth of the Houthi-Iranian alliance
    Photo by Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • From Yemen to Palestine: The strategic depth of the Houthi-Iranian alliance

    Houthi rhetoric focusing on Palestine underscores the militia’s strategic alliance with Tehran as part of the “Axis of Resistance.” This relationship, central to understanding the Houthi movement’s actions and narratives, frames its position within the larger geopolitical contest in the Middle East.

    February 16, 2024

    The implications of Red Sea instability on the global LNG market
    Photo by Dana Smillie/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The implications of Red Sea instability on the global LNG market

    Well over 30 attacks against commercial shipping in the Red Sea have been reported since mid-November 2023, although none have targeted crude oil or liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers to date. But that is not to say that global energy flows through this critical maritime chokepoint are invulnerable; any harm that came to hydrocarbon carriers traveling into or out of the Red Sea via the Bab el-Mandeb would have far-reaching consequences for international markets.

    February 7, 2024

    The ideological underpinnings of the Houthis’ Red Sea attacks
    Photo by Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The ideological underpinnings of the Houthis’ Red Sea attacks

    The Houthis’ attacks in the Red Sea are a manifestation of their ideology, rooted in Islamic fundamentalism. Today, aligned with Iran’s “Axis of Resistance,” this ideology aims to expel the US from the Middle East, destroy Israel, and institute a worldwide Islamic Caliphate with Jerusalem at its core. The following analysis delves into the ideological framework that propels the Houthis’ actions in the Red Sea and its broader implications.

    What it means when nine nations bomb in the Middle East in two weeks
    Photo by Ammar Ghali/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • What it means when nine nations bomb in the Middle East in two weeks

    Nine nations, including terrorist groups that are de facto governments, have attacked other countries in the region over the course of about two weeks. Numerous commentators have drawn the conclusion that a regional war is already underway or soon will be.

    January 21, 2024