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Research & Commentary Results

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Will Europe go wobbly on Ukraine?
  • تعليق
  • Will Europe go wobbly on Ukraine?

    French President Emmanuel Macron is taking Ursula von der Leyen with him on his trip to China next week. Von der Leyen is president of the European Commission and, until now, one of the European Union’s (EU) staunchest supporters of Ukraine. The two are scheduled to arrive in Beijing on April 4. While Macron’s visit had been announced some time ago, von der Leyen’s recent decision to join gives the trip a pan-European stamp of approval. But for what?

    Assessing US Assistance to the Lebanese Armed Forces
    Photo by Fadel Itani/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • Assessing US Assistance to the Lebanese Armed Forces

    In January 2023, the United States began to reroute $72 million of assistance to Lebanon to support the salaries of Lebanese soldiers and police officers, most of whom could barely make ends meet due to the disastrous economic situation in the country. It took Washington more than two years to make that decision, partly because US laws regarding this type of aid were slightly unclear. But more importantly, the voices inside and outside the US government who argued against further support to the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF), let alone direct cash assistance, succeeded in delaying the process. This was yet another example of how, despite continued US commitment to the LAF through successive administrations, the US military assistance program remains vulnerable to US domestic politics.https://apnews.com/article/politics-united-states-government-lebanon-bu…

    March 30, 2023

    Unexpected beneficiary: The implications of the China-brokered Saudi-Iran deal for Pakistan
    Photo credit AAMIR QURESHI/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Unexpected beneficiary: The implications of the China-brokered Saudi-Iran deal for Pakistan

    The implications of the apparent rapprochement between Saudi Arabia and Iran are likely to have significant consequences for vital neighboring regions like South Asia and other populous Muslim countries, including, notably, Pakistan.

    March 29, 2023

    Arab women break boundaries and stereotypes in Middle Eastern militaries
    Photo by Laughlin Air Force Base
  • تعليق
  • Arab women break boundaries and stereotypes in Middle Eastern militaries

    As Women’s History Month in the U.S. draws to a close, women in the armed forces of several Middle Eastern countries continue to achieve historic milestones, with many now serving as pilots, engineers, peacekeepers, and in special forces units. The role of women is steadily increasing as the result of new initiatives, policies, and gradually changing mindsets in the Middle East.

    March 28, 2023

    A Saudi-Houthi deal won’t bring lasting peace in Yemen
    الصورة من تصوير محمد حمود/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • A Saudi-Houthi deal won’t bring lasting peace in Yemen

    The recent agreement to restore diplomatic relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran raised hope among Western leaders and some Yemen watchers that it could help bring an end to the war in Yemen. The international community, however, can do more harm than good if its actions are driven by hope and desperation rather than a careful reading of the reality on the ground. Yemen must not be a sacrificial lamb for improving relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia.

    Russia’s occupation strategy — the biggest long-term threat to Ukraine’s stability
    Photo by ALEKSEY FILIPPOV/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Russia’s occupation strategy — the biggest long-term threat to Ukraine’s stability

    Repeatedly throughout Russia’s history, its authorities have employed unlawful occupations, annexations, deportations, filtration, and ethnic dilution through an influx of Russian settlers to control and reshape the Eurasian map in favor of Russian expansionism. The de-occupation and reintegration of the Russian-controlled territories of Ukraine can be the only guarantee of durable peace in the heart of Europe.

    March 23, 2023

    Why Washington should say no to Riyadh
  • تعليق
  • Why Washington should say no to Riyadh

    Now that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has clarified what he expects from Washington in return for normalizing ties with Israel—mainly U.S. security guarantees—the question is: Should U.S. decision-makers accept his price?

    March 21, 2023

    The challenge of defending NATO’s Black Sea borderland: The view from Bucharest
    Photo by MIHAI BARBU/AFP
  • التحليل
  • The challenge of defending NATO’s Black Sea borderland: The view from Bucharest

    While the U.S. and its NATO allies work on developing a Black Sea strategy, Washington should continue to cooperation with the Romanian Armed Forces, encourage the Romanians to build up their capabilities, and support the Romanian military’s officer corps development. In a multipolar world, solutions will need to be first and foremost regional — and in the Black Sea region, the Romanian Naval and Special Forces are a solid anchor for European stability.

    March 15, 2023

    Assessing the threat of Iran's drone carriers
    الصورة من مورتزا نيكوبزل/نورفوتو عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • Assessing the threat of Iran's drone carriers

    Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy is converting two merchant container ships into vessels capable of carrying and launching combat drones against maritime or coastal targets. For now, Iran’s drone carriers are unlikely to pose a clear and present danger to the U.S., but they possess symbolic significance as a potential tool to defy American initiatives in the Middle East and respond to Israel’s attacks against Iran.

    March 7, 2023

    The race to replace Ali Shamkhani, Iran’s most palatable interlocutor with the West
    Photo by Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The race to replace Ali Shamkhani, Iran’s most palatable interlocutor with the West

    Rear Admiral Ali Shamkhani has served for 10 years as secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, Iran’s top policymaking body in both domestic and foreign policy matters. A number of recent developments have aroused speculation that he could soon vacate his seat. Such a change would be an important signpost of how the Iranian establishment is posturing itself against the backdrop of continued revolutionary sentiment among significant segments of the population.

    March 6, 2023

    Defending submarine cables in the Black Sea: A challenge for NATO and the region
    Photo by Carsten Rehder/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Defending submarine cables in the Black Sea: A challenge for NATO and the region

    As fighting rages on in Ukraine, crucial submarine communication cables in the Black Sea could be in danger of disruption. Not only have risks of accidents grown with the increase in regional naval activity, but deliberate attacks on these cables follow the Kremlin’s modus operandi of targeting critical infrastructure below the threshold of war. Black Sea states need to more resolutely protect submarine cables, either within the format of NATO or novel regional frameworks.

    March 2, 2023

    What NAVCENT’s Task Force 59 needs to be a true success
    U.S. Navy photo/Dawson Roth
  • تعليق
  • What NAVCENT’s Task Force 59 needs to be a true success

    The Middle East is proving to be a test-bed for military innovation that could be incredibly helpful for other priority regions such as the Indo-Pacific, write Jasmin Alsaied and Bilal Saab of the Middle East Institute.

    March 1, 2023

    US Military Aid to Egypt Should Transcend Politics
    Photo by KHALED DESOUKI/AFP via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • US Military Aid to Egypt Should Transcend Politics

    It is advantageous for the United States to maintain its military aid to Egypt without implementing slight reductions that may not influence Egypt’s policies on homeland security or defense against foreign threats.

    March 1, 2023