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Research & Commentary Results

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بايدن بحاجة إلى الهدوء في العراق
  • تعليق
  • بايدن بحاجة إلى الهدوء في العراق

    لقاء الرئيس جو بايدن مع رئيس الوزراء العراقي مصطفى الكاظمي يوم الاثنين 26 يوليو/تموز لن يفتح آفاقًا جديدة، لكن الأمريكيين بدلًا من ذلك يحاولون إبراز الجوانب غير العسكرية للعلاقة الثنائية. ففي وزارة الخارجية الأمريكية في نهاية الأسبوع الماضي، قاد وزير الخارجية أنتوني بلينكن ووزير الخارجية العراقي فؤاد حسين فرقًا ناقشت التعاون المستمر في مجالات مثل الصحة العامة، حيث يدعم الأمريكيون جهود بغداد للتعامل مع تفشي فيروس كورونا. كما أعلن بلينكن يوم الجمعة الماضي عن مساعدات إنسانية أخرى بقيمة 155 مليون دولار للعراقيين النازحين داخليًا وكذلك لتجمعات اللاجئين العراقيين في الدول المجاورة.

    All in the family: How an animated series reflects social change in Saudi Arabia
    Image courtesy of Malik Nejer
  • التحليل
  • All in the family: How an animated series reflects social change in Saudi Arabia

    Masameer County, the Netflix animated television series taking Saudi Arabia by storm, reveals how the country’s creative class, over the last two decades, has posed awareness-raising questions while reevaluating the assumptions and terms used to discuss contentious social issues. This is not the Saudi Arabia of clerics, oil, and the royal family, but the one experienced by everyday people.

    July 27, 2021

    Hezbollah’s Regional Activities in Support of Iran’s Proxy Networks
    Photo by Marwan Naamani/picture alliance via Getty Images.
  • التحليل
  • Hezbollah’s Regional Activities in Support of Iran’s Proxy Networks

    As a Lebanese actor ideologically tied to Iran, Hezbollah has multiple allegiances and objectives that do not always align symmetrically. Hezbollah’s regional activities are a reflection of the group’s increasingly close alignment with Iran, rather than the interests of the Lebanese state or citizenry. Today, Hezbollah’s regional adventurism is most pronounced in its expeditionary forces deployed in Syria and elsewhere in the region, but no less important are the group’s advanced training regimen for other Shi’a militias aligned with Iran, its expansive illicit financing activities across the region, and its procurement, intelligence, cyber, and disinformation activities. Together, these underscore the scale and scope of the group’s all-in approach to transforming from one of several Lebanese militias into a regional player acting at Iran’s behest.

    July 26, 2021

    The changing Saudi banking landscape
    Photo by Simon Dawson/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The changing Saudi banking landscape

    While Western banks saw their valuations drop substantially during the first 18 months of the COVID pandemic — and have yet to recover — the declines among Saudi banks have been smaller and their valuations are now closer to, if not above, their pre-pandemic levels. Identifying the drivers of this seemingly contradictory trend helps us better understand the shifts within the Saudi banking sector and the growing impacts of policies related to Vision 2030, the country’s long-term economic development and diversification program.

    July 22, 2021

    A eulogy for Iraq’s democracy
    (Photo by Arshad Mohammed/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • A eulogy for Iraq’s democracy

    The idea for writing this piece came late last Tuesday as feelings ran high — the author’s included — amid scenes of patients’ charred bodies being pulled out from what remained of a burned-out coronavirus isolation ward in Nassiriya. It was originally meant to be a eulogy for those lost to Iraq’s stubborn corruption and chronic mismanagement, but it has since become a eulogy for democracy in Iraq.

    July 20, 2021

    Exploring the rising workforce participation among Saudi women
    Photo by FAYEZ NURELDINE/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Exploring the rising workforce participation among Saudi women

    In the past few months, several articles have been written on the significant rise in the Saudi female labor force participation rate (LFPR) from 17.7% in Q2, 2016 to 33.2% in Q4, 2020. Interestingly, this increase in female LFPR was not coupled with a rise in unemployment, which often occurs when workforce participation rises for a particular group. In fact, the unemployment rate among female nationals declined to its lowest level in four years, at 24.4% in Q4, 2020. However, it still remains over twice as high as that for male nationals. Another positive labor market indicator, albeit one receiving little attention from analysts, is the significant change in the employment rate among Saudi women. In other words, Saudi women not only increased their share in the workforce, but were also able to gain jobs once they entered the labor force.

    July 9, 2021

    Singapore and the Gulf: Economic engagement beyond hydrocarbons
    Lauryn Ishak/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Singapore and the Gulf: Economic engagement beyond hydrocarbons

    Oil and gas have long dominated trade and investment flows between Singapore and the Gulf. In the wake of two new projects — one in Singapore and the other in the United Arab Emirates — unveiled last month, this article considers whether Singapore and the Gulf are on the cusp of a new level and type of economic relations.

    The War at Home: The Need for Internal Security Sector Reform in Iraqi Kurdistan
  • التحليل
  • The War at Home: The Need for Internal Security Sector Reform in Iraqi Kurdistan

    The forces and agencies of Kurdistan’s Ministry of Interior and the Kurdistan Region Security Council, collectively referred to the Kurdistan Region Interior Forces, are now the region’s main security actors, but their role as instruments of partisan rivalry and enforcers of public loyalty to the political bureaus threatens the Kurdistan Region’s stability. This report makes the case that coalition security sector reform efforts should be refocused on them. Although Peshmerga reform is necessary to improve the Kurdistan Region’s ability to combat external threats, it is equally, if not more important to start the same reform within these internal forces and agencies to achieve durable stability.

    July 6, 2021

    الضربات الجوية الأمريكية على الميليشيات العراقية وخطر دوامة التصعيد
  • تعليق
  • الضربات الجوية الأمريكية على الميليشيات العراقية وخطر دوامة التصعيد

    مهما كانت شدة محاولات الحكومة العراقية لتوجيه البلاد بعيدًا عن الصراع الإيراني الأمريكي، فإن الميليشيات العراقية المدعومة من إيران ستظل تسحبها مجددًا لهذا الصراع

    June 29, 2021

    The promise and the pitfalls of Iraq’s tripartite New Mashreq
    Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The promise and the pitfalls of Iraq’s tripartite New Mashreq

    Sunday was a festive day in Baghdad. The last time Iraqis had received an Egyptian president 30 years ago, the region was gearing up for war and uncertainty as the late President Hosni Mubarak shuttled between Baghdad and Gulf capitals prior to Saddam Hussein’s invasion of Kuwait in 1990. The circumstances were quite different on June 27, when Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah el-Sisi and King Abdullah II of Jordan were given the red-carpet treatment at a tripartite summit marking the fourth meeting between the leaders of the three countries aiming to form a new regional alliance.

    June 29, 2021

    Games without Frontiers: Renegotiating the Boundaries of Power in Iraqi Kurdistan
  • التحليل
  • Games without Frontiers: Renegotiating the Boundaries of Power in Iraqi Kurdistan

    Over the past year, intensifying political and economic conflicts between the Kurdistan Region’s two hegemonic parties, the Kurdistan Democratic Party and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, have challenged the legal and institutional order in which the Kurdistan Regional Government operates. A new generation of leadership within the parties, a fraught relationship with the federal government, and a prolonged economic crisis have strained the relationship between the two parties to its breaking point.

    June 23, 2021

    Changing the rules of the game: Reforming the party system in Iraq
    Photo by Haydar Karaalp/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Changing the rules of the game: Reforming the party system in Iraq

    The performance of Iraqi political parties over the past two decades can be assessed in how they manage three major transformations: the transition from an authoritarian political system to a democratic and pluralistic one, the participation of these parties in managing the transformation of the state from a central to a federal system and the smooth transition from a directed economy to a free market one, and the social transformation from an oppressed society to a free, productive, and reconciled one. Despite the great challenges faced by the various governments since 2003, the parties that participated in the political process (to varying degrees) were unable to succeed in managing these three transformations.

    June 16, 2021