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Research & Commentary Results

تصفية حسب
1529 Results
Robust diplomacy is Washington’s only chance to stop a Lebanon-Israel war
Photo by Houssam Shbaro/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Robust diplomacy is Washington’s only chance to stop a Lebanon-Israel war

    In navigating the thickening fog of war, ongoing US-led mediation must actively take two critical steps to pull Lebanon and Israel back from the brink and avoid a direct US-Iran confrontation: secure credible guarantees on compliance and endorse local efforts to elect an independent president.

    US options to counter Houthi threat to global shipping
    Photo by UK Ministry of Defence/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • US options to counter Houthi threat to global shipping

    Overnight US and UK strikes on Thursday delivered a strong message to the Houthis: their attacks on global shipping in the Red Sea will not go unpunished.

    January 12, 2024

    Houthis see domestic and regional benefit to continued Red Sea attacks
    Photo by Houthi Movement via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Houthis see domestic and regional benefit to continued Red Sea attacks

    Since the outbreak of the Israel-Hamas conflict in October, Yemen’s Houthi rebels have sought means to capitalize on the war in Gaza to raise their profile, enhance their pan-Arab legitimacy, and burnish their credentials both domestically and in the region. In their effort to insert themselves into the Gaza conflict, the Houthis believe their actions will strengthen their support base at home while also cementing their movement more firmly into the Iranian “Axis of Resistance.”

    11 يناير 2024

    Reinventing a square wheel: Can a revitalized Palestinian Authority lead the way to a better “day after?”
    Photo by EVELYN HOCKSTEIN/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Reinventing a square wheel: Can a revitalized Palestinian Authority lead the way to a better “day after?”

    As questions about regarding who can take over governance of the war-torn Gaza Strip, Washington and other are pinning their hopes on a revitalized Palestinian Authority. But such “revitalization,” if limited to “strengthening” the PA cabinet and making only minor improvements in governance, will ensure that Gaza will remain a “super camp” and a source of recurring/persistent instability for Palestine and Israel.

    January 10, 2024

    The US is key to preventing an Israel-Lebanon war
    Photo by JALAA MAREY/AFP via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • The US is key to preventing an Israel-Lebanon war

    The current escalation between Israeli and Hezbollah forces necessitates immediate action from the international community to prevent a widening of the Gaza war, and the US is positioned in a leadership role to mollify tensions, beginning with diplomatic actions to stabilize the Lebanese-Israeli border, helping to pacify the broader region as a result.

    January 5, 2024

    Dynamic Force Employment is the Future of America’s Middle East Presence
    US Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Maxwell Orlosky
  • تعليق
  • Dynamic Force Employment is the Future of America’s Middle East Presence

    The US Department of Defense has stepped up and proposed some creative ideas regarding the future of America’s military presence in the Middle East region, as exemplified by the adoption of the concept of dynamic force employment.

    December 28, 2023

    Israel and Lebanon are sliding into war, but the US can still stop it
  • تعليق
  • Israel and Lebanon are sliding into war, but the US can still stop it

    A battle for hearts and minds is being waged in the winding alleyways of Beirut. The Lebanese are anxiously going about their lives while keeping an eye on the intensifying border skirmishes between Israel and the Iranian-backed militant group Hezbollah. 

    Plastered across the city walls and hanging from lampposts is the enigmatic image of Abu Obeida, Hamas’s masked spokesperson. Wrapped in a red kufiyah, the traditional Arab head garb, he is put forth as a symbol of defiance against Israel.

    Is Saudi-Israel normalization still on the table?
    Andre Malerba/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Is Saudi-Israel normalization still on the table?

    In response to the Oct. 7 attacks and subsequent bombing and invasion of the Gaza Strip, most media outlets and think tanks concluded that Hamas initiated the war to sever the path toward normalization between Saudi Arabia and Israel. Prior to the Hamas strike, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MbS) said his country was moving steadily in the direction of normalizing relations with Israel.

    December 22, 2023

    Soleimani birthed Iran’s Axis of Resistance, Ghaani coordinated it
    Photo by STR/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Soleimani birthed Iran’s Axis of Resistance, Ghaani coordinated it

    Iranian strategy in the Middle East has long centered on nurturing regional proxies and partners — a so-called “Axis of Resistance” — to mount an existential threat to Israel by encircling it in a ring of fire. The bloody war between Israel and Hamas sparked by the latter’s Oct. 7 massacre is the first large-scale implementation of this Axis of Resistance doctrine. Quds Force commander Esmail Ghaani’s lasting contribution will be the network’s entry into the battlefield in a comprehensive and coordinated manner.

    December 15, 2023

    Reflections on the Dubai Future Forum 2023
    Photo by GIUSEPPE CACACE/AFP via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • Reflections on the Dubai Future Forum 2023

    Two weeks ago, I had the privilege of joining more than 800 fellow futurists, and another 1,500 “futures-adjacent” collaborators, from over 100 countries at the second annual forum convened by the Dubai Future Foundation. Arriving with high expectations, I left even more enthused than I’d anticipated, and with invaluable new learning from those around me.

    December 15, 2023

    Pakistan’s military and foreign policy under Gen. Asim Munir
    Photo by IRANIAN PRESIDENCY/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Pakistan’s military and foreign policy under Gen. Asim Munir

    Gen. Qamar Javed Bajwa orchestrated a paradigm shift in Pakistan’s traditional geostrategic focus, transitioning from geopolitics to geoeconomics. His successor, Gen. Asim Munir, in command of Pakistan’s military for the past year, now faces the challenging task of turning Gen. Bajwa’s unrealized vision into a reality, a goal that requires cultivating positive interdependence and multi-alignment with a diverse range of partners, while also ensuring domestic stability.

    December 14, 2023

    Gaza war hasn’t halted de-escalation efforts in Yemen
    الصورة من وكالة فرانس برس عبر غيتي إيمدجز
  • التحليل
  • Gaza war hasn’t halted de-escalation efforts in Yemen

    Over the past two months, the Houthi rebels in Yemen have launched missiles and drones into Israel, attacked several commercial ships in the Red Sea, and threatened to block all ships sailing to Israel, regardless of nationality, until Gaza receives humanitarian aid. In the Gulf, there is a growing fear that the situation could constrain ongoing de-escalation talks between Riyadh, the Republic of Yemen Government, and the Houthis, or even take them back to square one were conflict dynamics to escalate.

    December 12, 2023