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Shifts in the Middle East balance of power: An historical perspective
  • Analysis
  • Shifts in the Middle East balance of power: An historical perspective

    Read the full report on Al Jazeera Centre for Studies.

    The Middle East has undergone several geopolitical transformations over the decades since World War II. While these in part were driven by political and economic realities indigenous to the region, the most profound changes have come about through the actions of outside actors, first by the Europeans and later by the United States and the Soviet Union.

    Turkey’s damage-control campaign in Idlib | Weekly Briefing
  • Analysis
  • Turkey’s damage-control campaign in Idlib | Weekly Briefing

    In this week’s briefing, MEI experts Robert S. Ford, Randa Slim, Gerald Feierstein, and Marvin G. Weinbaum provide analysis on recent and upcoming events including Turkey’s attempts to prevent a major escalation in Syria’s Idlib province, ongoing political turmoil in Iraq, the implications of the Trump administration’s decision to cut off U.S. aid to UNRWA, and Sec. Pompeo’s upcoming trip to Pakistan.

    Anchor

    Iran and Pakistan vow to bolster ties in defiance of U.S. pressure
  • Analysis
  • Iran and Pakistan vow to bolster ties in defiance of U.S. pressure

    Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif today held meetings with Pakistan’s new Prime Minister Imran Khan and his Pakistani counterpart Shah Mehmood Qureshi in Islamabad to discuss ways to boost bilateral relations between the two countries, Iranian and 

    August 31, 2018

    Is Iran replicating Lebanon model in southern Syria?
  • Analysis
  • Is Iran replicating Lebanon model in southern Syria?

    Russia announced in early August that it had convinced Iranian forces in Syria to keep away from the Israeli border by about 85 kilometers (53 miles). The Russian mediation came in the backdrop of an escalation in Israeli military strikes against Iranian-led forces in Syria.

    August 31, 2018

    Despair and hope in the Yemen conflict
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Despair and hope in the Yemen conflict

    UN Special Envoy Martin Griffiths will lead a new round of negotiations next week to attempt to end the long and costly war in Yemen. A new UN report this week that outlines possible war crimes by the parties engaged in the conflict underscores the need to find a resolution. MEI’s Gerald Feierstein, a former U.S. ambassador to Yemen, and Randa Slim, who was a member of the last UN negotiating team on Yemen, join host Paul Salem to assess the prospects for the peace talks.

    August 30, 2018

    The new economics of Qatar-Turkey relations
  • Analysis
  • The new economics of Qatar-Turkey relations

    On Aug. 15, Qatari Emir Shaykh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani pledged to invest $15 billion in Turkey’s economy. The pledge will provided temporary relief to Turkey’s beleaguered banking industry following tense Turkish-U.S. diplomatic relations that most recently led to a precipitous drop in the value of the Turkish lira.

    August 30, 2018

    Rouhani’s path to becoming Supreme Leader
  • Analysis
  • Rouhani’s path to becoming Supreme Leader

    Read the full article on Foreign Policy.

    On Tuesday, President Hassan Rouhani appeared in front of Iran’s parliament to defend his government’s economic record. He faced a tough crowd. The body had already removed his economy minister, Masoud Karbasian, on Sunday. And before that, it had canned his labor minister, Ali Rabiei. Both were ousted on charges amounting to incompetence.

    Community Leadership and Early Warning Systems in Fragile Disaster Zones
  • Analysis
  • Community Leadership and Early Warning Systems in Fragile Disaster Zones

    Over the past 25 years, the world has seen a rise in the frequency of natural disasters in rich and poor countries alike. Today, there are more people at risk from natural hazards than ever, with those in developing countries particularly at risk. This essay series explores measures that have been taken, and could be taken, in order to improve responses to the threat or occurrence of natural disasters in the MENA and Indo-Pacific regions.

    August 28, 2018

    The bureaucratic battle for Saudi Arabia’s future | Monday Briefing
  • Analysis
  • The bureaucratic battle for Saudi Arabia’s future | Monday Briefing

    In this week’s Monday Briefing, MEI experts Jean-François Seznec, Randa Slim, and Charles Lister provide analysis on recent and upcoming events including Saudi Aramco’s stalled IPO, the Iraqi Kurds’ evolving role in government formation talks, and ratcheting tensions in Idlib.

    Anchor

    The bureaucratic battle for Saudi Arabia’s future
    Jean-François Seznec, MEI Scholar

    August 27, 2018

    US-Taliban talks a momentous shift in Afghan strategy
  • Analysis
  • US-Taliban talks a momentous shift in Afghan strategy

    In August 2017, President Donald Trump gave a speech outlining his Afghanistan policy, a major aim of which was to compel the Taliban to begin peace negotiations with the Kabul government by applying military pressure on the insurgency. Simultaneously, he criticized Pakistan—terming it deceitful—while praising neighboring India for its development work in Afghanistan.

    August 27, 2018

    Turkey’s economic crisis and political fallout
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Turkey’s economic crisis and political fallout

    Turkey is under enormous strain as it faces an economic crisis that has caused the lira to lose 40% of its value since the beginning of this year; an ongoing crisis in domestic politics; and an international relations crisis with the United States. Gönül Tol, MEI’s director of Turkish studies, and Ömer Taşpınar, professor at the National War College, join host Paul Salem to explain the causes of these challenges and what lies ahead.

    August 23, 2018

    Relocating the Fifth Fleet?
    Fleet Bahrain
  • Analysis
  • Relocating the Fifth Fleet?

    Read the full article on The American Interest.

    As Bahraini government security services cracked down hard on popular protests against the ruling Al-Khalifa family in February 2011, the U.S. Department of Defense quietly considered alternative basing options for the Fifth Fleet, stationed permanently in Bahrain since 1995.

    August 22, 2018

    Afghan Hazara Refugees in Indonesia: In “Transit” or in “Limbo”?
    Asylum Seeker
  • Analysis
  • Afghan Hazara Refugees in Indonesia: In “Transit” or in “Limbo”?

    Over the past 20 years, Indonesia — the world’s fourth most-populous country and the largest Muslim-majority nation — has evolved into a democracy based on tolerance and a moderate interpretation of Islam, and has emerged as one of Asia’s fastest-growing economies. This essay is part of a series on “Indonesia and the Middle East: Exploring Connections,” which examines the nature, scope, and implications of Indonesia’s ties with the MENA region.

    August 21, 2018

    The US needs to rethink its Syria strategy
    Syria
  • Analysis
  • The US needs to rethink its Syria strategy

    There are numerous, unmistakable signs that the crisis in Syria is moving to a new phase, one that will push Washington further to the sidelines. Not least among these fresh developments is the rapidly evolving situation in Syria’s northeast, where Washington’s Kurdish allies are slowly but surely reconciling with the Assad regime. 

    August 21, 2018