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Research & Commentary Results

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The IRGC and the Persian Gulf Region in a Period of Contested Deterrence
Credit: DefaPress.
  • التحليل
  • The IRGC and the Persian Gulf Region in a Period of Contested Deterrence

    The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world’s most important maritime chokepoints, vital to the global supply of both oil and liquefied natural gas. The issue of freedom of navigation in the strait has long been a source of tension, but until recently any attempt by Iran to physically close it looked highly implausible, unless it resulted from either a major embargo or total blockade of Iranian ports by the West, or a large-scale military confrontation. However, the events of the past three years showed Iran can still ensure a major disruption of the flow of energy without a formal blockade and without an increased risk of military confrontation with the West. Iran has a variety of means at its disposal, especially through its Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps naval forces, and the Iranians make no secret of their desire to be recognized as the dominant military power in the Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz.

    November 3, 2021

    Saudi-Iran Talks
    معهد الشرق الأوسط
  • Podcast
  • Saudi-Iran Talks

    Mohammed Alsulami and Kasra Aarabi join Banafsheh Keynoush to discuss the latest talks between long-time regional rivals Saudi Arabia and Iran. Several rounds of talks between Riyadh and Tehran been held in Baghdad since April. They are taking place amid a broader regional trend toward deconfliction and as negotiations in Vienna over the revival of the 2015 Iran nuclear deal appear to have bogged down.

    المزيد من الحلقات

    October 29, 2021

    A net-zero Saudi Arabia? Not so fast
    Photo by FAYEZ NURELDINE/AFP via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • A net-zero Saudi Arabia? Not so fast

    The kingdom is unlikely to achieve net zero emissions soon, but the ambition to do so, and the plan, is an impactful step in the right direction, write Jim Krane and Karen E. Young in their new piece for Al-Monitor.

    The US competes to be the “partner of choice” in the Gulf
    Photo by Smith Collection/Gado/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The US competes to be the “partner of choice” in the Gulf

    Even as the United States continues the strategic pivot to the Pacific inaugurated by the Obama administration, the competition for security and control of maritime space in the Red Sea and eastern Mediterranean is intensifying.

    October 25, 2021

    Where to now for Saudi-Iranian dialogue?
    Photo by Royal Hashemite Court/Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Where to now for Saudi-Iranian dialogue?

    Iran is a neighboring country for Saudi Arabia and we from the Gulf states respect its people and culture, sharing many similarities as nations throughout different historical periods. However, there are, unfortunately, profound disagreements that have significantly increased since the 1979 revolution because of Tehran’s foreign policy approach based on ideological promotion and projection.

    October 21, 2021

    Century-old grievances continue to fester in Yemen’s Tihama region
    Photo by NABIL HASAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Century-old grievances continue to fester in Yemen’s Tihama region

    Grievances have been piling up unaddressed in Tihama, Yemen’s Red Sea coastal plain, for almost a hundred years. Since the revolt of al-Zaraniq against Imam Yahya Hameed al-Din of the Mutawakkilite Kingdom (then North Yemen) in 1925-26, consecutive Imams and the republican elite have pursued policies that have systematically marginalized the Tihamis. They have been deprived of a fair share of their region’s wealth, as well as opportunities for equitable power-sharing and economic empowerment.

    October 14, 2021

    Cyclone Shaheen: A reminder of the Arabian Peninsula’s vulnerability to extreme weather events
    Photo by HAITHAM AL-SHUKAIRI/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Cyclone Shaheen: A reminder of the Arabian Peninsula’s vulnerability to extreme weather events

    On Oct. 3 Cyclone Shaheen made landfall in Oman, near Muscat, after traveling through the Gulf of Oman from the Arabian Sea. According to the India Meteorological Department, which monitors and tracks the formation of cyclones in the North Indian Ocean, Cyclone Shaheen was categorized as a severe cyclonic storm when it made landfall with sustained winds of 70 miles per hour. Its arrival brought on heavy rainfall and excessive flooding in the many valleys that are a natural part of Oman’s topography. The high winds of the cyclone generated massive storm surges along the coast and caused serious damage to infrastructure and homes, displacing many.

    October 8, 2021

    هل سيكون السيستاني آخر العظماء؟
    Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE/AFP via Getty Images.
  • تعليق
  • هل سيكون السيستاني آخر العظماء؟

    بعد غزو العراق في ٢٠٠٣، تحولت الأنظار إلى السيد علي السيستاني في النجف بوصفه نقطة محورية ليس فقط على مستوى العراق، بل في عموم المنطقة. اليوم، يبلغ السيستاني ٩١ عامًا مما يجعل مسألة خلافته أمرًا يشغل المتابعين، ليس فقط على مستوى الساحة الشيعية، ولكن على مستوى منطقة الشرق الأوسط بشكل عام. وعليه، تهدف هذه الدراسة إلى تسليط الضوء على مستقبل المرجعية الشيعية على أساس التغيير المرتقب القادم بعد السيستاني.

    September 28, 2021