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Saudi Arabia’s Deterrence Options Against Iran
Photo by Ryan Olson/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Saudi Arabia’s Deterrence Options Against Iran

    Of all the challenges to Saudi Vision 2030, arguably none is greater than Iran’s threat to Saudi national security. To succeed, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman must protect the kingdom, which will require not only fortifying its defenses against further Iranian and Houthi attacks but also establishing a level of deterrence against Tehran.

    August 28, 2023

    The dangerous precedent set by Tehran's recent international deals
    Photo by Vuk Valcic/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The dangerous precedent set by Tehran's recent international deals

    When discussing the recent deal between Tehran and Washington to release five American prisoners in exchange for Iran gaining access to $6 billion in seized assets in South Korea, Iranian officials use a specific key phrase: “honorable diplomacy.” According to Iranian officials, “honorable diplomacy” means dealing with America and Europe from a position of strength. They claim that, even after the brutal suppression of the 2022 protests, they have successfully used their leverage with foreign adversaries to win unexpected concessions — a claim that, while potentially exaggerated, points to an unprecedented series of developments in recent months.

    August 21, 2023

    Making sense of the Taliban’s counterterrorism assurances
    (Photo by Mohammad Noori/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Making sense of the Taliban’s counterterrorism assurances

    Two years on from the Taliban’s takeover of Kabul, Afghanistan’s neighbors are increasingly concerned that their return to power has emboldened terrorist groups and networks, which are using the hospitable environment to regroup, rearm, and recruit substantially. The main question now for Afghanistan’s neighbors in the region, and the international community more broadly, is just how reliable the Taliban’s counterterrorism assurances to other states really are.

    August 18, 2023

    Iran gleefully eyes the protests in Israel, looking for weaknesses to exploit
    Photo by Borna News/Matin Ghasemi/Iran Images ATPImages/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran gleefully eyes the protests in Israel, looking for weaknesses to exploit

    As Israel grapples with fundamental questions of identity and societal fissures years in the making, Iran and its Axis of Resistance continue to employ their escalation-ready approach of pushing the envelope in multiple geographic theaters, launching cyber operations to foment disunity in Israeli society, and attempting to neutralize the regional gains Israel has made after signing the Abraham Accords with several Arab neighbors in 2020.

    August 3, 2023

    Iran’s renewed Africa policy: Raisi’s ambition and the perception of Western decline
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s renewed Africa policy: Raisi’s ambition and the perception of Western decline

    Amin Naeni discusses the revival of Iranian foreign policy with non-Western states, particularly African nations, in light of President Raisi’s recent visit to the continent. Additionally, the piece touches upon how this process has differed between Raisi versus Ahmadinejad, and whether Raisi’s Africa policy will prove any more successful than his predecessor’s.

    July 31, 2023

    Realigning priorities: Egypt's strategic shift toward Qatar, Turkey, and Iran
    Photo by Murat Kula/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Realigning priorities: Egypt's strategic shift toward Qatar, Turkey, and Iran

    While some analysts attribute Egypt’s realignment toward Turkey, Qatar, and Iran to a change in the foreign policies of its influential allies, the UAE and Saudi Arabia, it can be argued that Egypt’s shift is primarily motivated by its domestic dynamics and its unfulfilled foreign policy objectives between 2014 and 2018. Egypt’s realignment, in that sense, seeks to achieve multiple unmet domestic and regional aims.

    July 25, 2023

    July 4 from abroad: The many ages of America in the Arab world
    Photo by MANDEL NGAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • July 4 from abroad: The many ages of America in the Arab world

    From the past century until today, the U.S. has cast a long shadow in the Middle East region and relations have gone through many highs and lows. It is important to be aware of this trajectory to better understand the relationship today; and perhaps there are lessons to inform the future of the relationship in the coming century.

    July 7, 2023