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Water dispute with Ethiopia is an existential issue for Egypt
Building site machines stand on the construction site of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam in Guba in the North West of Ethiopia, 24 November 2017.
  • Commentary
  • Water dispute with Ethiopia is an existential issue for Egypt

    Egypt and Ethiopia remain at odds over the Great Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. Currently almost 70 percent complete, the giant upstream dam, which can hold the entire annual rainfall of the Nile, has the capacity to essentially turn the taps off on Egypt, depriving the country of the river water that supplies a mind-numbing 90 percent of its fresh water.

    The US eyes the exit as Afghan election results are once again delayed
    Independent Election Commission (IEC) workers sit at a computer terminal while election information from all over the country is gathered at the Data Centre in Kabul on October 2, 2019. - Voter participation in last weekend's Afghan presidential election will be much less than a third, the country's Independent Election Commission said on October 1, marking a record-low turnout. (Photo by WAKIL KOHSAR / AFP) (Photo by WAKIL KOHSAR/AFP via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • The US eyes the exit as Afghan election results are once again delayed

    In a move that surprised no one, on Oct. 19 the Afghan election commission said it was unable to announce the preliminary results of the Sept. 28 presidential election as planned, due to delays in processing biometric data. Held amid political uncertainty, terrorist violence, and general skepticism, the September election was the fourth presidential contest in Afghanistan since 2001, when the brutal Taliban regime was toppled in the wake of the Sept. 11 terror attacks on the United States.

    October 24, 2019

    Disrupting a delicate status quo: The Hamas crackdown on Salafi-jihadists
    Security forces loyal to Palestinian Islamist movement Hamas stop a vehicle at a checkpoint in Khan Yunis in the southern Gaza Strip on August 28, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Disrupting a delicate status quo: The Hamas crackdown on Salafi-jihadists

    Reports of a secret war being waged by Hamas against Salafi-jihadist groups in the Gaza Strip are indicative of increasing challenges to the former’s security control within the enclave. Hamas’ current approach to violent Salafist cells in Gaza is equally demonstrative of an ongoing warming of relations between Cairo and Hamas, and one that has afforded Hamas international legitimacy and an ease in border restrictions.

    October 22, 2019

    Balochistan: From the periphery to the center of attention
    LONDON, ENGLAND - JANUARY 22: People campaign for the United Nations to intervene regarding Baloch missing persons in Balochistan, Pakistan close to Downing Street on January 22, 2019 in London, England. (Photo by John Keeble/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Balochistan: From the periphery to the center of attention

    With an estimated $1 trillion in natural resources and sitting astride an international crossroads of increasingly critical importance, Balochistan is becoming a stage on which the world’s powers are playing out their ambitions. China, the U.S., and India have all formulated Balochistan policies in the past few years, hoping to utilize the region to achieve wider international goals — and the three countries across which Balochistan is divided, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Iran, have been eager to use it as a bargaining chip for their own purposes.

    October 21, 2019

    Trade, Reform, and Revitalization: Toward a US-Egypt Free Trade Agreement
  • Analysis
  • Trade, Reform, and Revitalization: Toward a US-Egypt Free Trade Agreement

    A question as to the value of a U.S.-Egypt Free Trade Agreement (FTA) misses the point. The question should not be whether an FTA would be in the interest of both parties since there is abundant evidence that it would. The question is what kind of FTA would best suit the needs, both short and long term, of the two parties: shallow integration or deep integration? This report argues that notwithstanding several hurdles, it is in the interest of both countries to move swiftly and decisively toward a deep FTA.

    Afghanistan may be headed for a post-election political impasse
    : Afghan vote in a key Presidential election on September 28, 2019 in Kabul, Afghanistan.
  • Commentary
  • Afghanistan may be headed for a post-election political impasse

    Preliminary results from the Sept. 28 Afghan presidential election will not be announced for at least another week. Yet events are shaping up that could drive Afghanistan into a political impasse similar to what the country faced in its last presidential election.

    What’s next after the sudden death of the Afghan peace process?
     Afghan workers move ballot boxes to trucks getting ready for the Presidential elections in five days in Kabul, Afghanistan on September 23, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • What’s next after the sudden death of the Afghan peace process?

    In the end, it all fell apart rather quickly. Instead of a long-awaited announcement about the details of a U.S.-Afghan Taliban peace deal, on Sept. 7 President Donald Trump tweeted that the talks were off, adding shortly afterwards that the Afghan peace process was “dead.” Only days earlier, Washington’s special representative for Afghanistan, Zalmay Khalilzad, had announced a draft agreement had been reached after nine rounds of gruelling negotiations.

    September 25, 2019

    Monday Briefing: Middle East takes center stage at UNGA
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: Middle East takes center stage at UNGA

    This week’s briefing on recent news and upcoming events in the region featuring Gerald Feierstein, Alex Vatanka, Eran Etzion, Gonul Tol, Amal Kandeel, Marvin G. Weinbaum, Michael Sexton and Eliza Campbell.

    Yemen’s peace process: The Hodeida Agreement that never was?
    Retired Dutch General Patrick Cammaert (C), who is leading a joint committee, which includes both government and rebel representatives, tasked with overseeing a truce in the Red Sea port city and the withdrawal of both parties, speaks with an official in the port city of Hodeidah on January 13, 2019. - Yemeni rebels on January 13, 2019, boycotted a meeting chaired by the head of a UN-led ceasefire monitoring team in the flashpoint city of Hodeida, accusing him of pursuing
  • Analysis
  • Yemen’s peace process: The Hodeida Agreement that never was?

    In late July, Lt. Gen. Michael Anker Lollesgaard left Yemen after his six-month term as the second head of the UN Mission in support of the Hodeida Agreement (UNMHA) came to an end. Unlike his predecessor, Maj. Gen. Patrick Cammaert, who departed quietly, Lollesgaard was given a proper sendoff from Sana’a. A senior Houthi commander, Maj. Gen. Ali al-Musheki, even went so far as to describe Lollesgaard as “a conscientious military commander.”

    September 16, 2019

    US negotiations with the Taliban: The cases for hope and skepticism
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • US negotiations with the Taliban: The cases for hope and skepticism

    Amb. Robin Raphel and MEI’s Marvin Weinbaum join guest host Jerry Feierstein to discuss the latest round of negotiations between the US and the Taliban and lay out their competing views on whether there is greater cause for optimism or pessimism as the US seeks to withdraw its troops after nearly twenty years in Afghanistan.

    September 6, 2019