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From port to port: Both Lebanon and Turkey would benefit from greater shipping connectivity
Photo by Sezgin Pancar/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • From port to port: Both Lebanon and Turkey would benefit from greater shipping connectivity

    Following the devastating explosion that rocked Beirut on Aug. 4, one of the first foreign state dignitaries to visit Lebanon to pledge support was Turkish Vice President Fuat Oktay. Oktay said that not only would Turkey help to rebuild the damaged port and the surrounding buildings, but it could also provide temporary support in the form of linking Turkey’s largest Mediterranean port, Mersin International Port, with the Port of Beirut.

    September 2, 2020

    How is the crisis in Lebanon impacting Syria’s economy?
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • How is the crisis in Lebanon impacting Syria’s economy?

    The explosion at the Port of Beirut on Aug. 4 has resulted in a further escalation of the political and economic crisis in Lebanon. Its repercussions can already be deeply felt in neighboring Syria and are expected to take an even greater toll on the country given its complex links to Lebanon. This crisis is feeding into Syria through multiple channels and has severe implications for its ability to import goods and, ultimately, its food security.

    August 28, 2020

    What to expect from Syria’s new cabinet
    Photo by LOUAI BESHARA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • What to expect from Syria’s new cabinet

    On Aug. 25, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad tasked Hussein Arnous with forming a new cabinet. What should we expect from it? Ayman Abdel Nour highlights 12 important considerations that will factor into its makeup.

    August 28, 2020

    Turkey’s Black Sea gas find
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Turkey’s Black Sea gas find

    Mehmet Öğütçü and Gonul Tol join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the recent announcement of Turkey’s biggest-ever natural gas discovery—the Sakarya field in the Black Sea—and what it might mean for Turkey’s economy, domestic politics, and foreign policy.

    August 27, 2020

    Strategic pause: What explains Russia’s inertia in eastern Syria?
    Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Strategic pause: What explains Russia’s inertia in eastern Syria?

    Moscow has been scaling down its activities in eastern Syria and the most likely reason for this inertia lies in Moscow’s reluctance to be associated with actors seeking to erode the quasi-autonomy of the Trans-Euphrates region. Instead, Russia prefers to stand to the side and watch events unfold, while contemplating the right moment to jump in as a mediator and reap the political rewards.

    Assad tends to his base by making amends with the Makhloufs
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Assad tends to his base by making amends with the Makhloufs

    Reports emerged this week that President Bashar al-Assad traveled on Sunday to his ancestral hometown and Alawi stronghold of Qardaha for a meeting with members of the powerful Makhlouf family.

    August 26, 2020

    Erdogan pulls a rabbit out of his hat with Black Sea gas find, but is it all it seems?
    Photo by Mustafa Kamaci/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Erdogan pulls a rabbit out of his hat with Black Sea gas find, but is it all it seems?

    “God has opened the door to unprecedented wealth for us,” said an enthusiastic Recep Tayyip Erdogan as he announced that Turkey had made its biggest-ever discovery of natural gas on Aug. 21. He promised that gas from the 320-billion-cubic-meter deep-sea find would reach consumers in 2023, but industry experts are skeptical and have raised questions about the feasibility of the discovery.

    Conflict in the South Caucasus
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Conflict in the South Caucasus

    Tom de Waal, Nicole Grajewski, and Theodore Karasik join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the recent border hostilities between Azerbaijan and Armenia and the role that Russia, Turkey, and Iran are playing in the geostrategically important South Caucasus.

    August 21, 2020

    The Impact of Middle East Regional Competition on Security and Stability in the Horn of Africa
    Photo by Volkan Furuncu/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Impact of Middle East Regional Competition on Security and Stability in the Horn of Africa

    The relationship between the Middle East and the Horn of Africa is centuries-old and complex. While the world’s attention is focused mainly on the “great power competition” in the region, primarily between the U.S. and China, the Horn of Africa has also become a central battleground for influence among competing regional players, principally Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Turkey, Qatar, Iran, and Egypt. As they pursue their interests in the region, from Ethiopia and Sudan to Somalia and Djibouti, these competing states are the main drivers of tension and instability in the Horn of Africa.

    August 18, 2020

    Turkey’s democratic resilience under populist authoritarian rule
    Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Turkey’s democratic resilience under populist authoritarian rule

    After almost two decades of rule by the AKP and its leader President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Turkey has experienced major institutional, political, and social transformations, including a dramatic autocratization in recent years. There is another side to the story, however, one that still gives us hope for the re-establishment of democracy and the rule of law in the near future.

    August 17, 2020

    Censorship, streamlined: Turkey’s social media law and the future of free speech online in the Middle East
    Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Censorship, streamlined: Turkey’s social media law and the future of free speech online in the Middle East

    In an unexpected and disappointing turn of events, Turkey’s ruling Justice and Development Party and its parliamentary ally, the Nationalist Action Party, rushed through a stifling social media amendment to Turkey’s Internet Act.

    August 11, 2020

    Turkey and India: “Natural Allies”?
    (Photo by Ahmet Bolat/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Turkey and India: “Natural Allies”?

    Both Turkey and India are middle-income secular democracies with deep historical connections, leading one senior Turkish lawmaker recently to refer to the two countries as “natural allies.” However, there has long been an impediment to developing more fruitful ties with India: Turkey’s pro-Pakistan orientation. The origins of this friction point date to the early 1950s, namely the inception of the Cold War and the early stages of the Indo-Pakistan conflict. This stumbling block has yet to be overcome. In fact, the “Pakistan factor,” specifically the Kashmir conflict, has lately resurfaced as a source of Turkey-India contention. 

    August 11, 2020

    Syria is facing a COVID-19 catastrophe
    Photo by LOUAI BESHARA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Syria is facing a COVID-19 catastrophe

    After months of under-reported cases and relaxed lockdown measures, the rapidly spreading COVID-19 pandemic has gripped government-held areas. A worrying rise in daily deaths and infections, especially in Damascus, has left Syria facing what could be its biggest challenge yet.