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Research & Commentary Results

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Protracted conflict on Yemen’s island of Socotra reflects rival geopolitical ambitions
Photo by Sylvain CORDIER/Gamma-Rapho via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Protracted conflict on Yemen’s island of Socotra reflects rival geopolitical ambitions

    On April 30, roughly a week after the Southern Transitional Council (STC) declared self-administration in Aden, a military confrontation broke out on the remote Yemeni island of Socotra between members of the STC and government forces. After just a few days, the situation was diffused when the island’s governor and the STC asked the Saudis to intervene. Although an agreement was reached quickly, it is likely to be fragile because the causes of the conflict are not entirely local. The island of Socotra is simply too important to multiple international players that are not willing to let it easily slip outside their sphere of influence.

    May 8, 2020

    It's not about the Patriots
    Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • It's not about the Patriots

    The best way to describe the Trump administration’s decision to remove Patriot missile defense systems from Saudi Arabia is by highlighting its military irrelevance and political significance.

    May 8, 2020

    Russia signals growing dissatisfaction with Syria’s Assad regime
    Photo by ALEXEY NIKOLSKY/SPUTNIK/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Russia signals growing dissatisfaction with Syria’s Assad regime

    In recent weeks, a flurry of commentary from prominent voices and publications in Russia has seen a wave of criticism directed at Syria’s Assad regime. Accusations have been leveled against the regime of corruption, warlordism, and incompetence, as well as an obsession with achieving unrealistic military objectives at the expense of dwindling resources, reconstruction, and political and economic reforms.

    Tragedy and farce in Libya
    Photo by Hazem Turkia/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • تعليق
  • Tragedy and farce in Libya

    Last week Libya witnessed one of the oldest tricks in the book: unilaterally declare a cease-fire at exactly the moment when your opponents are poised to gain territory.

    May 4, 2020

    Yemen's competition for Saudi patronage heats up as the STC declares self-rule
    Photo by SALEH AL-OBEIDI/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Yemen's competition for Saudi patronage heats up as the STC declares self-rule

    On April 25, the Southern Transitional Council declared self-administration and claimed authority over state institutions in the interim capital of Aden. The declaration demonstrates the region’s volatility, the limited reach of Yemen’s government, and the difficulty of imposing a solution to the problem of secessionism. It is also sparking political competition for Saudi patronage, and all of this poses a major diplomatic challenge for the Saudis.

    April 29, 2020

    No time for NATO complacency in the Black Sea
  • التحليل
  • No time for NATO complacency in the Black Sea

    For an organization whose primary mission is collective security in the North Atlantic area, the Black Sea is a very important region for the North Atlantic Security Organization (NATO). This region forms the southeastern frontier of NATO’s area of responsibility. Thanks to Russia’s actions in the region, there are more miles of coastline under illegal military occupation along the Black Sea than in any other place in the world. 

    April 27, 2020

    Gen. Joseph Votel on US military challenges in the Middle East
    معهد الشرق الأوسط
  • Podcast
  • Gen. Joseph Votel on US military challenges in the Middle East

    MEI Distinguished Senior Fellow Joseph Votel, a retired four-star general in the Army and former commander of U.S. Central Command, joins host Alistair Taylor to discuss the challenges facing American forces in the Middle East today, from COVID-19 and ISIS to the turbulent situations in Iraq and Afghanistan.

    April 22, 2020

    Child soldiers in the Middle East
    معهد الشرق الأوسط
  • Podcast
  • Child soldiers in the Middle East

    MEI senior fellows Mick Mulroy and Eric Oehlerich join host Alistair Taylor to discuss child soldiering, a growing global problem that has a disproportionate impact on the Middle East and Africa. Click here to read their new report, “Begin with the children: Child soldier numbers doubled in the Middle East in 2019.”

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    April 17, 2020

    The times have changed, but the need for a US-led MFO hasn’t
    Photo by Bettmann/Contributor via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • The times have changed, but the need for a US-led MFO hasn’t

    This is not the time to hang out the “Mission Accomplished” banner for the MFO. At a nominal cost to the U.S. in money and manpower, for nearly 40 years, the mission has been a phenomenal success. At a time when the U.S. commitment to the region is being viewed with increasing skepticism, the MFO is a prime example of U.S. capacity to organize and lead a multinational effort to support regional security and stability.

    April 16, 2020

    Saudi Arabia eyes the exit in Yemen, but Saudi-Houthi talks alone won’t resolve the conflict
    Photo by Andrew Renneisen/Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • Saudi Arabia eyes the exit in Yemen, but Saudi-Houthi talks alone won’t resolve the conflict

    During the Munich Security Conference in February 2020, Saudi Arabia’s foreign minister, Prince Faisal bin Farhan, signaled that the Saudi-Houthi backchannel talks were not “ready to move to the highest level.” However, the situation changed following the Houthi ballistic missile attack on Jazan and Riyadh in late March, and on April 8, the coalition’s Joint Forces Command 

    April 15, 2020

    “A Force They Haven’t Seen Before”: Insurgent ISIS in Central Syria
    Photo by STRINGER/AFP via Getty Images
  • التحليل
  • “A Force They Haven’t Seen Before”: Insurgent ISIS in Central Syria

    Immediately after the Syrian regime and its allies captured central Syria in late 2017, ISIS began waging an effective and deadly insurgency in the area. It first targeted urban centers along the western Euphrates before shifting focus in spring 2018 to the transport lines and mountains running along the M20 from Khunayfis to Shoula. These wide-ranging operations have killed a minimum of 860 pro-regime fighters of all ranks, units, and types. This report tracks self-reported regime losses in the region, as indicated on loyalist Facebook pages, community pages, and unit pages, from Nov. 10, 2017 through March 31, 2020.

    April 15, 2020