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New leadership and new challenges for Saudi Arabia's oil industry
Saudi and Foreign investors stand in front of the logo of Saudi state oil giant Aramco during the 10th Global Competitiveness Forum on January 25, 2016, in the capital Riyadh. The an annual event brings together high-ranking Saudi officials and world business leaders. / AFP / Fayez Nureldine (Photo credit should read FAYEZ NURELDINE/AFP/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • New leadership and new challenges for Saudi Arabia's oil industry

    Saudi Arabia surprised the global oil and gas industry earlier this month by reshuffling its top two energy positions. Long-serving technocrat Khalid al-Falih was ousted as chair of Saudi Aramco one day and as head of the Ministry of Energy the next.

    September 17, 2019

    Yemen’s peace process: The Hodeida Agreement that never was?
    Retired Dutch General Patrick Cammaert (C), who is leading a joint committee, which includes both government and rebel representatives, tasked with overseeing a truce in the Red Sea port city and the withdrawal of both parties, speaks with an official in the port city of Hodeidah on January 13, 2019. - Yemeni rebels on January 13, 2019, boycotted a meeting chaired by the head of a UN-led ceasefire monitoring team in the flashpoint city of Hodeida, accusing him of pursuing
  • Analysis
  • Yemen’s peace process: The Hodeida Agreement that never was?

    In late July, Lt. Gen. Michael Anker Lollesgaard left Yemen after his six-month term as the second head of the UN Mission in support of the Hodeida Agreement (UNMHA) came to an end. Unlike his predecessor, Maj. Gen. Patrick Cammaert, who departed quietly, Lollesgaard was given a proper sendoff from Sana’a. A senior Houthi commander, Maj. Gen. Ali al-Musheki, even went so far as to describe Lollesgaard as “a conscientious military commander.”

    September 16, 2019

    Monday Briefing: Attack on Saudi oil facilities has an impact far beyond the kingdom
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: Attack on Saudi oil facilities has an impact far beyond the kingdom

    This week’s briefing on recent news and upcoming events in the region featuring Ruba Husari, Paul Salem, Gerald Feierstein, Amal Kandeel, Grace Wermenbol, Robert S. Ford, Charles Lister, and Gonul Tol.

    September 16, 2019

    Is it too late to save Lebanon from financial collapse?
    A demonstrator argues with riot police guarding the entrance of the Lebanese Central Bank during a protest by retired Lebanese army and security personnel as part of a preemptive strike against austerity measures in the 2019 draft state budget that might affect their retirement wages.
  • Analysis
  • Is it too late to save Lebanon from financial collapse?

    Things seem to be going from bad to worse for Lebanon’s economy. On Aug. 23 Fitch downgraded its credit rating to CCC, meaning both it and Moody’s now rate the country’s bonds as junk. Ten days later, on Sept. 2, Lebanon’s top officials and bankers declared the country was in a state of economic emergency and said emergency measures would be taken.

    September 6, 2019

    Libya’s Hifter and the false narrative of authoritarian stability
    Self-proclaimed Libyan National Army (LNA) Chief of Staff, Khalifa Haftar arrives for a conference on Libya on November 12, 2018 at Villa Igiea in Palermo. - Libya's key political players meet with global leaders in Palermo on November 12 in the latest bid by major powers to kickstart a long-stalled political process and trigger elections. (Photo by Filippo MONTEFORTE / AFP) (Photo credit should read FILIPPO MONTEFORTE/AFP/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Libya’s Hifter and the false narrative of authoritarian stability

    Khalifa Hifter has managed to garner outside support by appealing to foreign states’ desire for a stable Libya, but this rogue former general and would-be authoritarian has proven a troublesome proxy. In supporting his ongoing offensive on Tripoli, foreign states are undermining their own narrative of authoritarian stability.

    September 3, 2019

    International Politics of Syrian Refugee Return: The Case of Lebanon
    (Photo by Marwan Naamani/picture alliance via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • International Politics of Syrian Refugee Return: The Case of Lebanon

    There are three sets of actors whose involvement has significantly affected the Syrian refugee situation in Lebanon: UN agencies, humanitarian organizations, and key regional countries (notably, Iran) and major powers (especially the US, EU, and Russia). This article briefly examines the international politics of Syrian refugee return in the case of Lebanon.

    August 20, 2019

    Monday Briefing: US-Turkey dispute over Syria comes to a head
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: US-Turkey dispute over Syria comes to a head

    This week’s briefing on recent news and upcoming events in the region including the Turkish-U.S. crisis meeting in Ankara on Syria, the resumption of U.S.-Taliban negotiations, Trump’s creation of a new “dovish” line on Iran, a rise in Egypt’s poverty levels, Sudan’s democratic transition, the easing of female guardianship rules in Saudi Arabia, and the end of the ceasefire in Idlib, featuring Charles Lister, Marvin G. Weinbaum, Paul Salem, W. Robert Pearson, Mirette F. Mabrouk, Thomas W. Lippman, and Robert S. Ford.

    The Gulf states, the “deal of the century,” and the Iranian threat
    Former British Prime Minister Tony Blair and Jared Kushner, U.S. President Donald Trumps senior White House adviser and son-in-law attend U.S.-led workshop in Manama, Bahrain on June 26, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • The Gulf states, the “deal of the century,” and the Iranian threat

    Many analysts have been dismissive of the plan’s prospects, but for Gulf states like Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Bahrain, there’s at least one major reason to line up with Washington on the issue: Iran.

    July 25, 2019

    Divided over narratives: The new fault line in the Arab World
    a helicopter flying over flags at the Ithra center during the 29th Summit of the Arab League in Dhahran in Eastern Province, Saudi Arabia on April 15, 2018.
  • Analysis
  • Divided over narratives: The new fault line in the Arab World

    Many of the divisions in the Arab World today are ideological and revolve around narratives — carefully constructed ontological representations of both how the world works and how it is supposed to work conforming to clearly set out interests and values. While the old sectarian narratives might still play an underlying role, what divides Arabs from Morocco to Oman are different grand-strategic visions of the region’s future after the Arab Spring.

    July 24, 2019

    OPEC+ agrees to production-cut extension and new charter amid rising Middle East tensions
    Oil ministers attend the 176th meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) conference and the 6th meeting of the OPEC and non-OPEC countries on July 1, 2019 in Vienna, Austria.
  • Analysis
  • OPEC+ agrees to production-cut extension and new charter amid rising Middle East tensions

    OPEC+ nations have ended speculation about whether they would continue oil production cuts by agreeing to a nine-month extension. Led by the global petroleum powers Saudi Arabia and Russia, the group agreed on July 2 to extend the current level of cuts until the second quarter of 2020.

    July 24, 2019

    Avoiding an Economic Crisis in Lebanon
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Avoiding an Economic Crisis in Lebanon

    As it combats continuing stagnant growth, Lebanon’s economy is facing a looming debt crisis. Omar Slim, senior investment manager and committee member with Lebanese International Finance Executives (LIFE), joins host Alistair Taylor to discuss the current threats to Lebanon’s economy and the need for financial consolidation.

    July 18, 2019

    Shale oil and the illusion of US energy independence
    GREELEY, CO - SEPTEMBER 03: Northern Colorado is on the front lines of the effort to cut reliance on foreign oil, as oil and gas companies explore the Niobrara shale formation in Weld County. (Photo by RJ Sangosti/The Denver Post via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Shale oil and the illusion of US energy independence

    U.S. crude oil and energy product exports surged to an all-time high in the third week of June, making the country a net exporter of oil and products for the third time since November 2018. This change lends credence to American officials’ presumption that amid growing U.S.-Iran tensions in the Persian Gulf, Washington is less compelled to police oil transit routes in the region, especially the Strait of Hormuz, than it was during the 1980s. However, while the U.S. is less reliant on oil imports than in the past, it still remains dependent on Gulf producers, albeit in different ways.

    July 15, 2019